Over the past hours, global space agencies have revealed some areas in which the Chinese space missile or its wreckage is likely to fall days after it went out of control, including an Arab country.
The American space corporation, “Aerospace Corporation,” expected that the debris of the Chinese space missile would fall over Sudan, as it had previously placed the coasts of Australia among the potential areas for falling.
A report by the American newspaper “New York Times” quoted the non-profit organization funded by the US government that the missile may enter Earth’s airspace on Saturday.
The report added, “If this is true, the debris of the missile may fall over Sudan.”
On the other hand, Dmitry Rogozin, head of the Russian Space Agency (Roscosmos), tweeted, on Thursday, the publication of a map of the Earth showing the potential collision areas of the missile.
According to Rogozin’s tweet, the potential areas include vast areas of most of the world’s continents, including entire continents such as Africa, South America and Australia.
The Russian “Suptank” news agency commented on the tweet, noting that some regions are currently excluded, such as the northern United States, Canada, most of Europe, Russia and most of Central Asia.
The Russian Space Agency announced Thursday that it is closely monitoring the uncontrolled movements of the missile, in an attempt to predict where it will fall.
In the same context, the European Space Agency had earlier estimated that the missile would fall between May 8 and 10.
A report by the British newspaper “The Guardian” quoted the agency as saying that “the trajectory of the missile means that any parts of it will remain upon its return to the ground will fall between 41 degrees north and 41 degrees south south, which is a strip of land that extends from the southern regions of Spain, Portugal and Italy to Australia.” “.
And on Tuesday, the US Department of Defense (Pentagon) said in a statement, that the location of the missile landing can only be determined within hours of its return to the Earth’s atmosphere.
US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said during a press conference, Thursday, in response to a question about when the missile is expected to fall: “According to the latest estimates that I have seen, it is expected that this will happen on the eighth or the ninth of May.”
A few days ago, China launched the first components of its space station (CSS) with a “Long March 5B” missile, and the body of this missile will land in a few days, and perhaps hours, in an unidentified location.
After the station’s space unit separated, the rocket began to orbit the Earth in an irregular path, with its gradual decline, making it nearly impossible to predict the point of entry into the atmosphere and thus the point of its fall.
The missile may disintegrate upon entering the atmosphere to leave pieces of debris, but if it remains completely there is a high probability that it will fall into a sea, since water covers 70 percent of the Earth’s surface.
But this is not certain, as it could crash in a populated area or on a ship, according to the space scientists.
This is not the first time that China has lost control of a spacecraft upon its return to Earth. In April 2018, the “Tiangong 1” space laboratory disintegrated upon its return to the atmosphere, two years after it had stopped working.
At the time, the Chinese authorities denied that they had lost control of the laboratory.