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At a conference in Washington, Avril Haynes, the director of national intelligence, said: "complex US intelligence He sees 3 possible scenarios, which can be focused on in the coming weeks and months. Most likely, the conflict is still grinding in which the Russians are making increasing gains, but there is no breakthrough. Under this scenario, the Russian army will have secured Lugansk and a large part of Donetsk by the fall, in addition to Consolidation of control over southern Ukraine".
She noted that the second scenario is that Russia can make a breakthrough and refocus on Kyiv or Odessa, and the third scenario is that Ukraine can stabilize the front line and start making smaller gains, most likely in Kherson or elsewhere in the south of the country.
On the other hand, the Director of Russian Foreign Intelligence, Sergey Naryshkin, revealed Thursday that the Polish leadership has begun to develop scenarios "Ukraine dismemberment".
In statements to the agency "RIA Novosti" In the Russian Federation, the Russian official explained that Poland is now working on the issue of creating a proxy state in western Ukraine, which will be "under protection" Polish Armed Forces.
Head added Russian foreign intelligence: "In the current critical situation in Warsaw, they tend to bypass previous plans by equipping a Polish peacekeeping unit in western Ukraine, and creating a proxy state in the eastern sector under the protection of the Polish armed forces.".
He also pointed out that "A project is being considered for the formation of a buffer zone in the central regions of Ukraine, which, according to the Poles, will allow them to avoid a direct, and highly undesirable, clash with Russia.".
This is not the first time that Naryshkin has spoken about a Polish role in the conflict, as he said a few days ago, that "Poland vigorously defends the regime of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky"noting that "Warsaw is working to transfer effective control of the most important functions and institutions of the state to it".
He explained that Kyiv deliberately opened for Poles and Americans access to information of national importance, including information about taxpayers and, accordingly, the real financial situation of Ukraine..
The division began before the war
Commenting on this, the American analyst, Andrew Boyfield, said that the Russian talk about a Western scheme to divide Ukraine is illogical and contradicts reality. Crimea Then, immediately before the war, the recognition of independence Luhansk and science.
Boyfield added, to"Sky News Arabia"That Russia carried out the war in order to consolidate the division by completely separating the East and annexing it according to old beliefs that have nothing to do with the current reality or even the desire of the population, who showed fierce resistance and great steadfastness in the face of the Russian army, contrary to what Putin expected or as his security services deluded him.
He pointed out that the Russian army’s control of Kherson at the beginning of the battle increased Russia’s ambitions to invade Southern UkraineIn order to open a land corridor between Russia and the breakaway region of Transnistria in Moldova, which may be one of Moscow’s future goals as well, pointing out that Kherson will be the first city to join Russia in the coming days, according to the city administration appointed by Moscow..
Recently, General Kirillo Budanov, the head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, warned that Moscow might seek to divide his country into occupied and unoccupied regions and"Creation of North and South Korea in Ukraine".
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At a conference in Washington, Avril Hines, Director of National Intelligence, said, “The community of… US intelligence He sees 3 possible scenarios, which can be focused on in the coming weeks and months. Most likely, the conflict is still grinding in which the Russians are making increasing gains, but there is no breakthrough. Under this scenario, the Russian army will have secured Lugansk and a large part of Donetsk by the fall, in addition to Consolidation of control over southern Ukraine“.
She noted that the second scenario is that Russia can make a breakthrough and refocus on Kyiv or Odessa, and the third scenario is that Ukraine can stabilize the front line and start making smaller gains, most likely in Kherson or elsewhere in the south of the country.
On the other hand, the Director of Russian Foreign Intelligence, Sergey Naryshkin, revealed Thursday that the Polish leadership has begun to develop scenarios for “dismembering Ukraine”“.
In statements to the Russian “Novosti” agency, the Russian official explained that Poland is now working on the issue of creating a proxy state in western Ukraine, which will be “under the protection” of the Polish armed forces..
Head added Russian foreign intelligenceIn the current critical situation in Warsaw, they are inclined to bypass previous plans by equipping a Polish peacekeeping unit in western Ukraine, and to create a proxy state in the eastern sector under the protection of the Polish armed forces.“.
He also noted that “a project is being considered for the formation of a buffer zone in the central regions of Ukraine, which, according to the Poles, will allow them to avoid a direct, highly undesirable, confrontation with Russia.”“.
This is not the first time that Naryshkin has spoken about a Polish role in the conflict, as he said a few days ago, that “Poland is vitally defending the regime of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky,” noting that “Warsaw is working to transfer effective control over the most important functions and state institutions to it.”“.
He explained that Kyiv deliberately opened for Poles and Americans access to information of national importance, including information about taxpayers and, accordingly, the real financial situation of Ukraine..
The division began before the war
Commenting on this, the American analyst, Andrew Boyfield, said that the Russian talk about a Western scheme to divide Ukraine is illogical and contradicts reality. Crimea Then, immediately before the war, the recognition of independence Luhansk and science.
Boyfield added, to “Sky News Arabia”, that Russia carried out the war in order to consolidate the division by completely separating the East and annexing it according to old beliefs that have nothing to do with the current reality or even the desire of the population, who showed fierce resistance and great steadfastness in the face of the Russian army, contrary to what was Putin expects, or as his security services have deluded him,.
He pointed out that the Russian army’s control of Kherson at the beginning of the battle increased Russia’s ambitions to invade Southern UkraineIn order to open a land corridor between Russia and the breakaway region of Transnistria in Moldova, which may be one of Moscow’s future goals as well, pointing out that Kherson will be the first city to join Russia in the coming days, according to the city administration appointed by Moscow..
Recently, General Kirillo Budanov, head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, warned that Moscow might seek to divide his country into occupied and non-occupied regions and “create North and South Korea in Ukraine.”