Amidst a deep financial crisis, Lebanon will have no president on October 31

help – ally Hizb allah – As head of state in the 2016 agreement witnessed the return of the politician Sa’ad Al Hariri to the position of Prime Minister.

And international competitions that have long played a role in local crises in LebanonIt may also complicate the process.

Aoun’s predecessor, Michel Suleiman, took office in 2008 in a consensus deal, during which he avoided a power struggle between Hezbollah and its allies and opponents.

What does this mean for the financial crisis?

The ruling elite failed to tackle the financial crisis that has thrown many into poverty and prevented depositors from accessing their savings in an inoperative banking system for three years.

And the vacancy of the office of the president may exacerbate the complexity of the processing steps.

In the event of a vacuum, presidential powers are transferred to the government headed by Najib Mikati, but Prime Minister Mikati’s government has been limited to conducting business since the parliamentary elections in May.

Analysts say this means it is unable to make big decisions that include international agreements.

This could complicate finalizing a draft agreement with the International Monetary Fund to provide much-needed aid, assuming ruling politicians eventually implement the long-awaited reforms needed to seal the deal.

Deputy Prime Minister Saad al-Shami said Lebanon could still present its progress to the International Monetary Fund’s board of directors for examination and approval of the financing, but he was not sure how much the final deal would need presidential approval.

Who might eventually become president?

The Maronite community is more divided politically than other sects in Lebanon, which has led to the emergence of many presidential hopefuls.

and one of the candidates, Suleiman FranjiehAn ally of Hezbollah and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Franjieh was considered a strong contender until Hezbollah and its allies lost the parliamentary majority in May.

It is noteworthy that Hezbollah has not yet announced its support for anyone.

Anti-Hezbollah legislator Michel Moawad won the largest number of votes in 4 unsuccessful presidential elections so far, but the number of votes was not enough to win.

The last three presidents of Lebanon were former army commanders, and the army commander is seen, General Joseph Aoun as a potential harmonic filter.

But analysts and political sources say he will face opposition, especially from Maronite politician Gebran Bassil, President Aoun’s son-in-law, who himself aspires to obtain the presidency.

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The post of president has been vacant many times since the 1975-1990 civil war.

The position is occupied only by a Maronite Christian, according to the Lebanese sectarian system, which makes the election of a president very difficult. So what is at stake? And who are the candidates?

What is the reason for the extreme complexity?

Lebanon’s president is elected by secret ballot of the 128 lawmakers in the parliament, which is divided equally between the Muslim and Christian sects.

But the required minimum votes mean that no single faction or coalition has enough seats to force its choice in the polarizing Lebanese politics.

This links the process to complex bargaining on broader issues, including the division of seats in the new government that takes office after the new president is sworn in.

The presidency was vacant for 29 months before it became help – ally Hizb allah – As head of state in the 2016 agreement witnessed the return of the politician Sa’ad Al Hariri to the position of Prime Minister.

And international competitions that have long played a role in local crises in LebanonIt may also complicate the process.

Aoun’s predecessor, Michel Suleiman, took office in 2008 in a consensus deal, during which he avoided a power struggle between Hezbollah and its allies and opponents.

What does this mean for the financial crisis?

The ruling elite failed to tackle the financial crisis that has thrown many into poverty and prevented depositors from accessing their savings in an inoperative banking system for three years.

And the vacancy of the position of the president may exacerbate the complexity of the processing steps.

In the event of a vacuum, presidential powers are transferred to the government headed by Najib Mikati, but Prime Minister Mikati’s government has been limited to conducting business since the parliamentary elections in May.

Analysts say this means it is unable to make big decisions that include international agreements.

This could complicate finalizing a draft agreement with the International Monetary Fund to provide much-needed aid, assuming ruling politicians eventually implement the long-awaited reforms needed to seal the deal.

Deputy Prime Minister Saad al-Shami said Lebanon could still present its progress to the International Monetary Fund’s board of directors for examination and approval of the financing, but he was not sure how much the final deal would need presidential approval.

Who might eventually become president?

The Maronite community is more divided politically than other sects in Lebanon, which has led to the emergence of many presidential hopefuls.

and one of the candidates, Suleiman FranjiehAn ally of Hezbollah and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Franjieh was considered a strong contender until Hezbollah and its allies lost the parliamentary majority in May.

It is noteworthy that Hezbollah has not yet announced its support for anyone.

Anti-Hezbollah legislator Michel Moawad won the largest number of votes in 4 unsuccessful presidential elections so far, but the number of votes was not enough to win.

The last three presidents of Lebanon were former army commanders, and the army commander is seen, General Joseph Aoun as a potential harmonic filter.

But analysts and political sources say he will face opposition, especially from Maronite politician Gebran Bassil, President Aoun’s son-in-law, who himself aspires to obtain the presidency.

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