Covid-19. Some indicators are on the rise, which departments are worrying?

Health authorities have identified 4,646 new cases of Covid-19 this Monday, down from 22,046 cases on Sunday, but up slightly from 4,376 cases on Monday, February 15.

The start of the week numbers are still down due to the closure of city labs on weekends.

The 7-day rolling average of the daily number of cases again crossed the 20,000 mark on Sunday. It now stands at 20,041 cases on average. Falling since early February, this average fell to 18,310 last Monday, before starting to rise again since.

The upward trend of the last few days is therefore confirmed:

This brings the number of confirmed cases in France since the start of the epidemic to 3,609,827.

Sunday, the government spokesperson Gabriel Attal asserted that “The trend is no longer good” , a finding made on Thursday 18 by Olivier Véran who noted that the number of cases had stopped falling last week.

Different dynamics

The increased circulation of the British, South African and Brazilian variants is cause for concern.

The situation is not uniform in the territory and there are important differences between the departments.

Here is the incidence rate by department as of February 19 (consolidated data released on February 22):

The Alpes-Maritimes are still by far the department with the highest incidence rate: 583 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. Further action was taken on Monday, and partial confinement in the coastal urban area will in particular be implemented.

The increase observed over the past few days has not been uniform, but it is more marked in certain territories. Here is the evolution of the incidence rate in recent days in the different departments:

We can see that in many departments the trend remains at a high plateau, often with a relatively slow decline.

But the trend is clearly on the rise in some regions. First, there are the three areas that have been in the spotlight for the past 10 days: the Moselle (with the South African variant), the North (with the British variant at Dunkerque) and the Alpes-Maritimes.

This virus dynamic is also observed in several departments of Hauts-de-France and Île-de-France: Pas-de-Calais, Somme, Oise, Yvelines, Seine-et-Marne, Seine-Saint-Denis, Val -de-Marne and Seine-et-Marne. In Paris too, the curve is on an uptrend.

Here is the specific evolution of the incidence rate for these departments:

Hospitalizations are on the rise again

The number of patients hospitalized due to a severe form of Covid-19 had been declining since early February. This figure has risen slightly since last weekend. On Monday, hospitals had 25,831 patients with the coronavirus (+ 367 compared to Sunday), including 3,407 in intensive care (+15).

333 deaths have been recorded in hospitals in the past 24 hours, bringing the toll of the epidemic in France to 84,613 deaths.

From next weekend, the Alpes-Maritimes will test localized containment, a measure that is applied for the first time in mainland France.

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A saliva sample is taken on February 19 on a child in Nantes, during a screening campaign.

Covid-19. Some indicators are on the rise, which departments are worrying?

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