Covid-22 .. Why do scientists expect an outbreak? And what do we know about him?

As experts warn of an impending fourth wave of COVID-19, new reports regarding an emerging new variable that could emerge in 2022 have raised global concern. According to a professor specializing in immunology at one of the most prominent Swiss scientific institutions, ETH Zurich, there must be strict preparations and precautions for such a new variant because it can present “significant risks”.

And according to what was published by Boldsky, a health affairs website, the potential variant is known as Covid-22, and it is said to be more likely to be deadlier than the delta variant, the most lethal of the Covid-19 mutant so far. But it should be noted that COVID-22 is not a real disease but only a future possibility, which the immunologist predicts.

Not officially approved

The term COVID-22 was coined by Dr. Say Reddy, professor of artificial systems and immunology at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, but the World Health Organization and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have not formally endorsed the term or projections for a possible variant.

And it was limited, according to some reports, to warnings by experts that a new variant may appear in 2022 and could pose a great danger.

Outlook for COVID-22

According to Dr. Reddy, the situation is likely to be:

• Worse on COVID-22 than COVID-19.
• He will need more than one vaccine in the next few years due to the emergence of new variants.
• Will require urgent adaptation of currently available vaccines.
• It will spread rapidly, which could contribute to a more severe pandemic.
• The new variant can create an environment in which vaccination alone cannot be relied upon.
• The situation could be similar to the expectations of a number of scientists and health experts, about the emergence of Covid-21, which is currently called the delta variable.

At the same time, a number of experts made an important observation that in order for the emergence of COVID-22 to actually be acknowledged, it must be significantly different from the original COVID-19 and that the coronavirus remains with the same variants and mutations.

COVID-20 and COVID-21

Since all the different variants that emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic were of the same lineage or family as the original SARS-CoV-2, the alpha, beta, delta, delta-plus, gamma, lambda, and other variants are of concern and are the result of progressive mutations in the substance The genetics of the original SARS-CoV-2 virus.

Previously, many public health experts believed that the epidemic would be over by 2022, similar to the 1918 influenza pandemic, which lasted for three years. But there are expectations that more infectious variants will emerge in 2022, because as long as the virus continues to multiply as the infection spreads, new variants that can be more severe are likely to emerge.



Critical and opposing opinions

In contrast, many health experts have criticized Dr. Reddy’s speculation, stressing that it is simply not possible to predict what will happen in the future with respect to the SARS-CoV-2 virus, especially given its unexpected nature.

Experts added that health authorities around the world can only predict the presence of new types of Covid-19, and predict whether some of these variables will be better or worse, and that the accuracy of any forecasts or predictions will only be confirmed over time and when the matter turns to Reality on the ground.

More than four million and 500 thousand deaths due to Covid-19 have been officially recorded in the world since the epidemic appeared in China in December 2019.

About 10,000 deaths per day from the virus are currently recorded worldwide, which is much lower than the peak recorded in late January (14,800 daily deaths), but it is about 30% higher than the number recorded at the beginning of the summer (7,800 daily deaths in early July).

With an average of 1,290 daily deaths over the past seven days, the United States is once again the country with the highest number of new deaths worldwide.


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