Curfew or confinement? A choice more political than epidemiological

DECRYPTION – The executive, more than ever under pressure, could announce new restrictions on Thursday to slow the progression of the virus on French territory.

For a year now, politicians have been juggling these two options, always on the razor’s edge: confinement or curfew? The choice is difficult. On the one hand, a measure which has proved its worth but whose economic and social consequences are devastating. On the other, a more flexible formula, but the outcome of which is more uncertain. How to choose? “The only measure whose effectiveness is proven is full containment, but it is violent and has very serious implications,” Nathan Clumeck, professor emeritus of infectious diseases at the Free University of Brussels. You can understand that the authorities are trying something sweeter. But if the effects of curfews are not felt, it announces confinement … “

The case of French Guiana, described in detail in a study released in October (not peer reviewed), is exemplary. In the wake of the first deconfinement, a curfew from 11 p.m. was immediately put in place and the borders

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