Four partial legislative elections marked by a record abstention

The candidates feared abstention records. They were right. On Sunday May 30, the first round of the four partial legislative elections organized in France was above all marked by a very low turnout: only 15.5% of those registered went to the polls in the 20e arrondissement of Paris, 18.1% in Indre-et-Loire, 24.3% in Pas-de-Calais, less than 25% in Oise.

The disinterest of a part of the French with regard to the elections was accentuated by the circumstances. Several times postponed due to the Covid-19 epidemic, these elections take place one month from the regional and departmental, which feeds the confusion. In addition, future elected officials will only sit in the National Assembly for one year, before the next legislative elections. The stake could therefore appear limited.

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In all four cases, however, these elections were closely scrutinized, in particular for their test value before the regional elections and then the presidential election of 2022. The first round finally proved rather favorable to the incumbents or their natural successors, even if a certain suspense is maintained in Paris. The Republicans (LR) party can find satisfaction there, while the ecologists, for their part, are the losers of this day.

In the Oise, the heir Dassault is leading the race

The clearest success is that of Victor Habert, the LR candidate for the first constituency of the Oise. After the death of his uncle Olivier Dassault in a helicopter accident, the 28-year-old apprentice lawyer was very quickly chosen by his aunt and invested by LR to try to take over the family torch in the National Assembly.

The parachuting in Hauts-de-France of this heir had then made cough, on the left as on the right. The name Dassault has nevertheless proved effective. In the first round, the great-grandson of Marcel Dassault came far ahead, ahead of the National Rally (RN) and the left candidate. The Republic on the Move (LRM) has been eliminated.

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Success also for Sophie Métadier, the mayor of Beaulieu-lès-Loches, invested by the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) and LR, and supported by LRM in Indre-et-Loire. She finished clearly at the head of the first round with 45% of the vote, followed by the socialist Murielle Riolet (20.1%). She thus seems able to succeed outgoing MP Sophie Auconie (UDI), who resigned for health reasons.

Brigitte Bourguignon, the minister responsible for autonomy, a former socialist rallied to LRM, for her part, achieves an encouraging score in the Pas-de-Calais. In July 2020, after entering the government, his deputy refused to take his place, privileging his mandates as mayor and president of agglomeration, and thus causing a by-election. Based on her local roots, Brigitte Bourguignon won 35% of the vote on Sunday, against 24% for Marie-Christine Bourgeois (RN), her unfortunate opponent in 2017.

PS-LFI duel in Paris

In Paris, finally, in one of the leftmost constituencies of the capital, the second round will be marked by a duel between the Socialist Party (PS) and La France insoumise (LFI).

Socialist Lamia El Araaje, protected by Anne Hidalgo, arrived as expected in the lead, with 25.7% of the vote. The PS hopes to keep this constituency, the only one it kept in the capital during the Macronist surge of 2017. But Danielle Simonnet (20.8%), the LFI candidate, very active in working-class neighborhoods, intends to do well lie the forecasts, by seducing part of the green voters (18.4%), and those of the Communist Party (10.6%), which achieved its best score for forty years in the district (20e).

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François-Marie Didier (LR) for his part plans to file an appeal. Coming in third position (18.5%), he was probably the main victim of the arrival in extremis of a candidate whose ballots displayed the LRM logo, while he had not been invested by the party presidential; he even tried in vain to ban this manipulation.

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