[Nakayama Kinen / Hole Rise]Blind spots around the assumed “7 popularity” “This is a delicacy due to the big defeat in the previous run” | SPREAD

Last 10 years,Nakayama KinenThe most popular is[3-0-0-7]. Duramente, the two-crowned horse, and Danon Kingly and Hishi Iguazu in the last two years have won, but there are also years of turmoil, with GI horses such as Diadora, Persian Knight, and Isla Bonita sinking outside the betting ticket.

GI horse that won the Hopeful S two years ago this year as wellDanon the KidParticipated in the war. From a temperamental point of view, he was a horse who walked the mile route last fall.AnomaI saw that there was plenty of room for it.

Looking at the popular horses in the past, the rise of Nakayama course masters is conspicuous. The course suitability is a thing only for the stage with a special layout that reaches the first corner immediately from the start of the straight uphill.

◆[Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast / Hole Rise vol.3]Explosive hole of “lower popularity” after a series of devastating defeats “One shot of the leading force that holds the key”

[Nakayama Kinen / Hole Rise]”Lower popularity” explosive hole after a series of devastating defeats “One shot of the leading force that holds the key”

■ Contra check

Fukushima Kinen, who lost to 15th place in the previous race, lost his rhythm due to the bullish escape of Pansalassa and was caught in the race. It’s been a long time since she started the 2000m race, so this big defeat can be ignored.

Four of the five career wins were given on the Nakayama course, with Flower C, Turquoise S, Ocean S and three heavy prizes. He is one of the most active Nakayama masters, and although he is the 12th most popular at the Keisei Hai Autumn Handicap last fall, he is producing a turbulent second place. It’s a horse that you should buy in Nakayama, and this time it’s not so popular because you lost the previous race.

However, because it is a difficult type, the concern is that Pansarassa will run again this time, but this time when the opponent’s appearance is known, the same rut should not be stepped on twice. The retirement of the famous Hakuraku and Kazuo Fujisawa is turbulently added to the glamor.

◆[Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast / Hole Rise vol.1]Assassins with winning odds of “double digits” or higher “If the stage is Nakayama, you can aim for a headache”

[Nakayama Kinen / Hole Rise]A thug with winning odds of “double digits” or more “If the stage is Nakayama, you can aim for a headache”

▼ Other, Anoma forecast
◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 1]One of the most popular horses is “erasing” What is one “should not buy” in a battle fortune-telling a middle-distance route in spring?

[Nakayama Kinen / Dangerous Popular Horses-Part 1]One of the most popular horses is “Erase”.

◆[Dangerous popular horse-Part 2]Pay attention to the explosion hole of a high-dividend maker again.

[Nakayama Kinen / Dangerous Popular Horses-Part 2]Refocus on the Explosive Holes of High Dividend Manufacturers

Nakayama Kinen 2022 Forecast Column List

▼ Overtake diagnosis
◆[S evaluation]Highest evaluation even if you have not won the heavy prize “S” “Win or lose rich” in the final chase of spirit

◆[A rating]One of the most popular points is the “A” rating.

◆[A rating]The “A” rating, which exceeds Danon, overturns the reputation of the Anoma camp, “quality and quantity of boarding”.

◆[B rating]”B” rating, which is dissatisfied with the top popularity.

▼ Data forecast
◆[Data capture-Part 1]One of the most popular walls is the wall of “0% quorum”.

◆[Data capture-Part 2]Blind spots around 30 times as expected.

◆[Jockey data]A human horse that cannot be underestimated even if it is about 20 times the day before.

▼ Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]Danon The Kid, who is popular with Pansarassa, starts from the large outer frame in the “good frame” with the most 3 wins.

◆[Pedigree tendency]A high-ranking horse that is expected to revive the “mysterious” single recovery value “959” for a horse that has been defeated continuously.

◆[Leg quality tendency]The “win rate of 90.0%”, which is a marvelous lead, is also a necessary condition for a good run.

◆[Previous Rote]It should be noted that the race class is also a “required condition” for the quinella.

◆[Popularity trend]1 Even if the popularity is winning in a row, what you should pay attention to is the “odds difference” with the 2 popularity.

▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Nakayama Kinen”

Author profile

Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.