The initiative for responsible multinationals and that against the war trade are losing support, according to the latest polls by the SSR and Tamedia. These were published on Wednesday, ten days before the November 29 poll.
The outcome of the Responsible Multinationals Initiative remains open and the Anti-War Trade Initiative would be rejected, according to the third Tamedia survey. Currently, the first object is supported by 51% of the electorate, while the second receives 41% of the vote.
The SSR survey gives the same trends. She indicated that both initiatives would have been accepted if the vote had taken place on November 8.
The two objects must win the double majority of the people and the cantons to win. According to the Tamedia poll, even if the majority of the people accept the objects, the probability that the majority of the cantons will be reached is 50-50.
The two surveys agree that opinions are polarized, between left and right, and between urban and rural areas. There are also differences between sexes and generations.
Not beyond the left
The rejection of the initiative for responsible multinationals has increased within the grassroots of the SVP and the PLR. The growing opposition is due less to a change of opinion in the center than to a more pronounced rejection to the right, according to the Tamedia survey.
The left is losing support beyond its own camp, according to the SSR poll. A majority of PDC supporters are now opposed to the initiative and the “yes” is also crumbling among independent voters. The SSR poll again indicates that the opposition is progressing in German-speaking and French-speaking Switzerland, while the “yes” is gaining ground in Ticino.
According to the Tamedia survey, women accept the initiative at 58%, while only 45% of men support it. It is accepted at 59% in the cities and the same percentage of young people between 18 and 34 years old supports it.
According to the SSR survey, acceptance of the initiative could come, in addition to women, urban areas and young people, people with a high level of education (49%) and low-income groups (59% ).
In the camp of “yes” to the initiative for responsible multinationals, it is believed that profit should not take precedence over the environment and human rights, indicates the Tamedia poll. According to the SSR survey, the argument that voluntary measures are not enough hits the mark.
Among opponents, it is argued that complex supply chains cannot be controlled abroad, according to the Tamedia poll. They also believe that the initiative is harming Switzerland as an economic site, especially in the midst of the coronavirus crisis, according to the SSR investigation.
Loss of Liberal Support
Regarding the initiative against the war trade, the share of “yes” decreases as the age of voters increases. The “yes” wins out among women (51%) and city dwellers (52%), according to the Tamedia poll. According to the SSR survey, women (59%) accept the initiative more than men (42%). It is also supported by 57% of young people between 18 and 39 years old.
The electorates of the PS and the Greens approve the initiative, according to the Tamedia poll. Those of the UDC, PLR and PDC clearly reject it. Support from liberal voters rose from 67% to 46% in two weeks.
The initiative no longer convinces any majority in German-speaking Switzerland (49% yes), while approval remains in the majority in Ticino (56% yes) and in French-speaking Switzerland (54%). The Romand media largely echo the initiative, according to the SSR poll.
Supporters are convinced that investments in arms companies are incompatible with Swiss neutrality, the Tamedia investigation indicates. Opponents believe that the initiative has no influence on the supply and demand for war materiel at the global level. They also doubt that the initiative will have an effect on the war as a reason for the exodus, according to the SSR investigation.
The second SSR “Trend” survey was carried out by the research institute gfs.bern between 2 and 11 November among 10’069 holders of voting rights. The third Tamedia survey was carried out between 12 and 14 November, based on 13,884 responses weighted according to demographic, geographic and political variables.