Home » News » Presidential 2022: Macron consolidates his lead, Le Pen ahead of Zemmour according to an Elabe poll

Presidential 2022: Macron consolidates his lead, Le Pen ahead of Zemmour according to an Elabe poll

For the first time since the start of the school year, the undeclared candidate Éric Zemmour is left behind in the presidential race. According to a BFMTV survey and L’Express, produced by Elabe and published Thursday, the far-right polemicist loses one to two points of voting intention. Marine Le Pen, the RN candidate, is ahead of him by three to five points, according to different scenarios.

Five hypotheses are tested in the first round, depending on the candidate The Republicans that the members will have chosen at the end of the primaries. Thus, according to the poll, Emmanuel Macron comes first in all cases, with a score ranging from 25% to 30% of voting intentions. He would collect 25% of the votes in the event of Xavier Bertrand’s candidacy, and 30% if the right was represented by Eric Ciotti.

If the President of the Republic seems to be gaining popularity since his speech on Tuesday evening, Eric Zemmour, conversely, loses one to two points depending on the hypotheses, or remains stable at best. In the event of the candidacy of Xavier Bertrand or Valérie Pécresse, he collects 14% of voting intentions, 13% against Michel Barnier and 15% against Éric Ciotti and Philippe Juvin.

But Marine Le Pen is not necessarily better off. It may well widen the gap with Eric Zemmour, it also shows a drop of one to two points in this poll. It would collect 17% of the voting intentions in the first round in the event of the candidacy of Xavier Bertrand or Eric Ciotti, and 18% against Valérie Pécresse, Michel Barnier or Philippe Juvin.

BFMTV specifies that “the margin of error of this survey is between 1.1 and 3 points, a margin less than the difference observed between Marine Le Pen and Éric Zemmour. Currently, 56% of those registered on the electoral rolls questioned are completely certain of going to the polls, and 24% are seriously considering it.

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