The right-wing candidate, Valérie Pécresse, won only 14% of the vote. Marine Le Pen obtains the same score. Behind, 6% of the French see a victory for Éric Zemmour, and 5% imagine Jean-Luc Mélenchon winning. All the other candidates are below the 3% mark.
LREM supporters overwhelmingly support and believe in the candidacy of the outgoing president at 91%. Marine Le Pen has a good side, with 65% of those close to the RN who are hopeful of seeing their candidate win. Support that falls on the side of the Republicans with 52% of supporters who see a victory for their candidate Valérie Pécresse. Low confidence also perceived by Reconquête (54%).
Numbers that tumble on the left side. Supporters of La France Insoumise believe only 39% in the victory of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Only 16% of socialist voters see Anne Hidalgo or Christiane Taubira winning. And 11% of environmentalists believe in a victory for Yannick Jadot, yet ranked higher in the polls than the mayor of Paris or the former Minister of Justice.
On Monday, a poll already placed the president in the lead, ahead of Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse, neck and neck. According to this “rolling” survey (carried out on the principle of a rolling accumulation of waves of daily surveys) by the Ifop-Fiducial institute for Paris Match, LCI and Sud Radio, Emmanuel Macron, still not an official candidate, would obtain 24.5 % (-0.5 points), ahead of the RN candidate at 17% (+ 1) and that of LR 16.5% (=). Éric Zemmour would come in fourth position with 12.5% (-1.5%). Five left-wing candidates then arrive: Jean-Luc Mélenchon (9%, +0.5), Yannick Jadot (5.5%, -0.5), Christiane Taubira 4%, -0.5), Anne Hidalgo (3 %, -0.5), Fabien Roussel (2%, =).