Given the substantial increase in COVID-19 cases on the Island, the Mathematical Modeling Team of the Puerto Rico Public Health Trust (PRPHT) recommends a partial closure that lasts at least 14 days to flatten the curve.
In a thread of several tweets, the organization warns that in the face of a collapse of the health system, the number of deaths from any condition could skyrocket dramatically.
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“The levels of active cases exceed 9000 people and the levels of hospitalization have reached more than 600 in the last week. We need everyone’s cooperation to contain the levels of contagion that we have at the moment,” explained Dr. José Rodríguez, direct by PRPHT.
The tweets contain several graphs that separately show the gradual increase in deaths and hospitalizations and the use of rooms for patients who require intensive care.
PRPHT’s Mathematical Modeling Team (EMME) recommends partial closure (at least 14 days).
This “given the risk of collapse of the public health system causing as a consequence an increase in the number of deaths due to any health condition that cannot be treated.” pic.twitter.com/O8TNJ9NKTv
— Puerto Rico Public Health Trust (@PRPHealthTrust) November 30, 2020
“The recommendation for citizens is to stay in their homes as long as possible and not go out unless necessary; particularly vulnerable people with chronic conditions or over 60 years old,” Rodríguez recommended at the end of the thread.
Although nothing official has been announced, the Secretary of the Department of Health, Lorenzo González Feliciano, will be meeting this afternoon with Governor Wanda Vázquez Garced to discuss possible changes to the Executive Order.
Similarly, the agency reported this morning about 12 deaths from COVID-19 and 732 confirmed cases in Puerto Rico.