Russian mobilization and NATO maneuvers… Warnings of a direct military clash

Kremlin He said that the decision to send soldiers to Belarus "Part of a defensive operation"The Russian Defense Ministry said that the move "dictated by the activity going on in our vicinity".

maneuvers "nuclear deterrent"

  • NATO Military exercises started "routine"Monday, to test its nuclear deterrent system in Europe.
  • The exercises include 14 out of 30 NATO member states.
  • The maneuvers will include about 60 aircraft, including combat aircraft, surveillance aircraft and others for refueling.
  • US long-range bombers participate in the maneuvers "B-52"which is called "Stead fast noon"Which will last until October 30th.
  • Fighters capable of carrying nuclear warheads are also involved, but they do not contain any live bombs.

In this context, observers and military experts warn that Russia and NATO "They are already closer than ever to a direct military collision"warning of the consequences of what is happening from a military buildup and counter maneuvers".

Russian step accounts

The Russian expert in international relations, Timur Dowidar, said in an interview with the website "Sky News Arabia":

  • "The Russian military force that is successively deployed in BelarusIt is primarily defensive and deterrent, and it is a preemption to any aggressive move by NATO against Russia and its ally Belarus.".
  • "It should not be excluded that the Russian military presence on Belarusian soil may also be linked to Moscow’s own calculations and tactics in the Ukrainian field.".
  • "We are at a dangerous crossroads and all possibilities are open. Although Moscow calls for peace and dialogue, the Atlantic bloc is, unfortunately, insisting on escalation and prolonging the war in Ukraine, especially by supporting Kyiv with various forms of military aid and weapons.".

special relationship

On the other hand, Hassan Momani, a military expert and professor of international relations and conflict resolution, said in an interview with Sky News Arabia that:

  • "The deployment of these forces is the result of several factors, most notably the special relationship between Moscow and Minsk, especially between Presidents Putin and Lukashenko. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow remained keen to maintain close relations with the former Soviet republics, considering that they are vital areas of influence for it.".
  • "Being the heir of the Soviet state, Russia considers that it has the right to preserve its supreme interests and national security in its traditional vital areas, which constituted one of the most prominent motives for the outbreak of the Ukrainian war.".
  • "The outbreak of the war in Ukraine and the expansion of NATO after the admission of Sweden and Finland to it, undoubtedly increased the importance of strengthening Russian-Belarusian cooperation, to curb the Atlantic expansion, as the Baltic Sea has almost become a semi-Atlantic region, to the extent that Russia is almost surrounded by NATO".

Will the scenario of Georgia and Crimea be repeated?

The military expert points out that "On the other hand, the Russians’ deployment of their soldiers in Belarus constitutes a clear escalating message to NATO, that Moscow is taking a field step in its quest to confront the expansion of the Atlantic Alliance in Russia’s back gardens, and therefore the possibilities of a Russian-Atlantic collision have become very likely.".

And he concludes his speech to the site "Sky News Arabia" By saying: "Russia Whenever it sees a tangible threat to its interests in its vital spaces, it will intervene militarily, as happened in Georgia in 2008, as well as in the Crimea in 2014.”

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Defense release

Kremlin He said the decision to send soldiers to Belarus was “part of a defensive operation,” while the Russian Defense Ministry said the move was “dictated by the activity taking place in our vicinity.”“.

“Nuclear Deterrence” exercises

  • NATO On Monday, he began “routine” military exercises to test his nuclear deterrence system in Europe.
  • The exercises include 14 out of 30 NATO member states.
  • The maneuvers will include about 60 aircraft, including combat aircraft, surveillance aircraft and others for refueling.
  • The US B-52 long-range bombers, codenamed “Steed FastNone”, will participate in the maneuvers, which will last until October 30..
  • Fighters capable of carrying nuclear warheads are also involved, but they do not contain any live bombs.

In this context, observers and military experts warn that Russia and NATO “They are already closer than ever to a direct military confrontation,” warning of the consequences of what is happening in terms of a military build-up and counter maneuvers.

Russian step accounts

The Russian expert in international relations, Timur Dowidar, said in an interview with Sky News Arabia:

  • “Russian military power, which is successively deployed in BelarusIt is primarily defensive and deterrent, and is a preemption to any aggressive move by NATO against Russia and its ally, Belarus.
  • “It should not be excluded that the Russian military presence on Belarusian soil may also be linked to Moscow’s own calculations and tactics in the Ukrainian field.”
  • “We are at a dangerous crossroads and all possibilities are open. Although Moscow calls for peace and dialogue, the Atlantic bloc is, unfortunately, insisting on escalation and prolonging the war in Ukraine, especially by supporting Kyiv with various forms of military aid and weapons.”

special relationship

On the other hand, Hassan Momani, a military expert and professor of international relations and conflict resolution, said in an interview with Sky News Arabia that:

  • “The deployment of these forces is the result of several factors, most notably the special relationship between Moscow and Minsk, especially between Presidents Putin and Lukashenko. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow remained keen to maintain close relations with the former Soviet republics, as they are vital areas of influence for it.”
  • “Being the heir to the Soviet state, Russia considers that it has the right to preserve its supreme interests and national security in its traditional vital areas, which constituted one of the most prominent motives for the outbreak of the Ukrainian war.”
  • The outbreak of the war in Ukraine and the expansion of NATO after the admission of Sweden and Finland to it, undoubtedly increased the importance of strengthening Russian-Belarusian cooperation, to curb the Atlantic expansion, as the Baltic Sea has almost become a semi-Atlantic region, to the extent that Russia is almost surrounded by NATO “.

Will the scenario of Georgia and Crimea be repeated?

The military expert points out that, “in return, the Russians’ deployment of their soldiers in Belarus constitutes a clear escalating message to NATO, that Moscow is taking a field step in its efforts to confront the expansion of the Atlantic Alliance in Russia’s back gardens, and therefore the possibilities of a Russian-Atlantic collision have become very likely.”

He concludes his speech to “Sky News Arabia” by saying:Russia Whenever it sees a tangible threat to its interests in its vital spaces, it will intervene militarily, as happened in Georgia in 2008, as well as in the Crimea in 2014.”

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