A study released today in the United States estimates that covid-19 will cause 471 deaths in Portugal by August 4, also indicating that the peak in the daily number of deaths was reached on April 3.
In view of the official figures released today by the Directorate-General for Health (DGS), which indicate 345 deaths, the projections of researchers from the Institute for Health Evaluation and Metrics (IHME), at the University of Washington, point to another 126 deaths over the next three months.
The study also states that the mathematical model used for the estimates, which were made for several countries, “demonstrates that, although Portugal did not have a total lack of beds, it did not have enough intensive care units (ICU) for the demand, with the peak to appear with the lack of 118 beds on April 3rd ”.
At European level, IHME estimates that the daily peak in the death rate due to the covid-19 pandemic, the disease caused by the new coronavirus, will be reached in the third week of April.
According to estimates, about 151,680 people will die in Europe during the “first wave” of the disease, while for the United States an estimated 81,766 deaths.
The new coronavirus, responsible for the covid-19 pandemic, has already infected more than 1.3 million people worldwide, of whom more than 75,000 died. Of the infection cases, about 290 thousand are considered cured.
The European continent, with about 708 thousand infected and more than 55 thousand dead, is the one with the highest number of cases, and Italy is the country in the world with more fatalities, accounting for 16,523 deaths in 132,547 confirmed cases until Monday -market.
Spain is the second country with the highest number of deaths, registering 13,798 deaths, among 140,510 confirmed cases of infection to date, while the United States, with 10,994 deaths, accounts for the most infected (368,449).
China, apart from the territories of Hong Kong and Macau, has 81,740 cases and reports 3,331 deaths. Chinese authorities today announced 32 new cases, all from abroad.
In Portugal, according to the balance made today by the Directorate-General for Health, there were 345 deaths, 34 more than the day before (+ 10.9%), and 12,442 cases of confirmed infections, which represents an increase of 712 in compared to Monday (+ 6%).
Of those infected, 1,180 are hospitalized, 271 of whom are in intensive care units, and 184 patients have already recovered.