Switzerland will run out of intensive care beds next Thursday due to the progression of the coronavirus pandemic, warns an EPFZ study relayed by several newspapers. Up to 1000 additional beds may be required across the country.
Taking into account the number of beds in intensive care units, estimated at 979, and the number of deaths related to coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), “our last report suggests that the system is close to saturation , based on available data, “said Friday in an interview with” La Liberté “and its partner newspapers.
Thomas Van Boeckel, assistant professor at the Institute for Environmental Decisions of the Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (EPFZ) and co-author of the report. In addition to Ticino, the bed capacity could even be exceeded in the cantons of Vaud, Geneva, Valais and Graubünden, he notes. “According to our models, we will arrive at a more global shortage on April 2”.
Valais heavily impacted
From that date, if no action is taken, 86 beds could be lacking in Zurich, continues the professor. “Lacks would also be felt in Bern and Solothurn. The situation could worsen significantly in Valais with more than 250 excess cases “, or 1000 throughout Switzerland, he adds.
He specifies that it is an estimate, which is not based on data that hospitals must transmit to the Federal Department of Defense and Civil Protection (DDPS) since March 13.
The beds still available in the north, center and east of Switzerland, as well as the large urban hospitals, could partially absorb the surplus of patients from Vaud and Ticino, the professor believes.
EPFZ researchers have reconstructed the probable acute cases of Covid-19 that can be expected, based on data from the Swiss Society of Intensive Care Medicine, the number of deaths in the canton of Zurich and the figures from the site www.corona-data.ch and with models of differential equations. Switzerland had 10,714 Covid-19 positive cases on Thursday morning, 1002 more than the previous day. The death toll reaches 170. (ats / nxp)
Created: 27.03.2020, 03h08