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MEF: Kurt Burneo Minister of Economy announced economic reactivation in subsidy for basic services and financing for mypes | Ministry of Economy and Finance | press conference | MEF public investment | Economy

by archyde

Burneo: The issue is not to be a member of the OECD, but to replicate its good practices

The Minister of Economy, Kurt Burneo, spoke about Peru’s intention to be part of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

“The issue is not being a member of the OECD, in my opinion. The issue is to replicate the good public governance practices that are evidenced through the policies developed by the OECD member countries. In other words, the very fact of replicating these practices means that the management of economic activity and, in particular, the management of the country with efficiency, responds to replicating these good practices of public governance,” he said at a press conference.

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Anti-crisis without loans and a moratorium – Newspaper Kommersant No. 162 (7363) of 09/03/2022

by archyde

The government has identified the first packages of anti-crisis measures, the effect of which it is ready to extend, and those that, on the contrary, it intends to curtail soon. As the head of the Ministry of Economy Maxim Reshetnikov said yesterday, the extension will affect 37 points of the plan of priority measures. These are, in particular, the permission of parallel imports and a simplified procedure for the sale of certain types of medicines. Programs being completed include preferential lending to strategic enterprises introduced at the peak of interest rates and a moratorium on bankruptcy that has had mixed consequences.

Economics Minister Maxim Reshetnikov announced the White House’s decision in principle to extend part of the anti-crisis measures yesterday. According to him, we are talking about the prolongation of 37 support measures. Recall that the anti-crisis plan includes more than 300 events. Earlier, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, along with the completion of a number of targeted measures, announced the extension of some of the measures (see Kommersant of August 30). These are, for example, an increase from 30% to 50% in advance payments for state contracts and a simplified purchase by retail chains of shares in companies controlled by foreign owners. Yesterday, Maxim Reshetnikov did not disclose the entire list of renewals, reporting only on the priorities that remain: support for the population, simplification of the sale of certain types of medicines, and stimulation of imports.

As part of the latter direction, it is planned to extend the operation of the parallel import mechanism. Recall that since May 6, it is allowed to import more than 50 categories of products into Russia without the permission of the copyright holders and bypassing official distributors. Such an order was legalized temporarily – until the end of the year. By mid-August, as part of parallel imports, products worth $6.5 billion were imported (the main volume is auto parts, consumer products and critical imports), by the end of the year this figure is expected to grow to $16 billion.

With the legalization of the parallel import of goods in the government, the recovery of consumer imports is associated (its reduction is now estimated at 3-5%). Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Industry Denis Manturov promised that the temporary mechanism would end as groups of foreign goods are replaced by domestic counterparts, but so far, apparently, it is too early to talk about this.

It should be noted that this week the Association of Internet Trade Companies announced its intention to ask the authorities to prolong the regime in order to avoid a shortage of goods. Also, to support imports for a year, until September 2023, the simplified procedure for declaring imported products has been extended. We recall that it provides the applicant with the opportunity to assess the conformity of goods with mandatory requirements based on their own evidence without passing certification.

At the same time, Maxim Reshetnikov said yesterday that there are no plans to extend the current “package” zeroing of part of customs duties – we recall that duties on 1.3 thousand goods have been zeroed until September 30. According to the minister, further the authorities are ready to discuss targeted proposals of business in this area. In the meantime, as reported on the legal portal of the Eurasian Economic Commission, the Russian Federation has proposed to its partners in the EAEU to extend until March 31, 2023 the zeroing of duties only for certain types of products.

The program of concessional lending to backbone companies will not be extended either: at 10% per annum for the agro-industrial complex and 11% for industry and trade. This decision is connected with the fact that the program was of a situational nature: as Maxim Reshetnikov noted, it was introduced at the peaks of the Central Bank’s key rate.

The moratorium on bankruptcy, which is in effect from April 1 to October 1 this year, should also end. This mechanism involves a ban on the submission of insolvency applications by creditors in relation to all individuals and legal entities (except for developers who are included in the register of problematic ones). As the minister explained, the refusal to extend it is due to the fact that the measure was of an “urgent” nature. It should be noted that the nature of the moratorium, ambiguous in its consequences, could also play a role here. On the one hand, it is designed to prevent the emergence of a chain of non-payments in the economy, on the other hand, due to the “freezing” of enforcement proceedings, the moratorium endangers the financial position of creditors (therefore, utilities in the housing and communal services sector have already proposed partially lifting the moratorium, see “Kommersant” ” dated April 29).

Evgenia Kryuchkova

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Minister Kurt Burneo Warns of Recession Risk: What Does This Mean for the Economy? | GDP | Moody’s Investment | Projection to 2023 | ECONOMY

by archyde

READ ALSO: SNI rejects that authorities “invoke citizens for political confrontation”

He asserted that the recessive forces come mainly from the external front, given the slowdown in economies such as the United States, China and Europe. This has a negative impact on the international price of the metals that Peru exports and, therefore, this would have consequences, in general, on exports. While, on the local side, Burneo warns of a “particularly conflictive” political situation as well as monetary and fiscal policies that “have clearly operated in the direction of cooling the economy.”

The minister’s diagnosis ends by stating that the situation described justifies a reactivation plan that revolves around fiscal policy.

Figures and evidence

Technically, a recession mainly implies the drop in economic activity for two consecutive quarters and that this spreads to other sectors through lower consumption and production, according to Víctor Fuentes, principal economist at the Peruvian Institute of Economy.

However, this has not happened. “On the production side, the seasonally adjusted GDP registered a quarterly growth of 0.7% in the first quarter and 0.1% in the second. This result, in fact, confirms that the economy has slowed down as a result of the impact that inflation has had on items linked to consumption, and due to the stoppage of mining production”, he pointed out.

MIRA: Canon stabilization fund would work as a savings, according to the Minister of Economy: what risks does the project pose?

That is why for Luis Arias Minaya, former head of Sunat, there is no risk of recession today. “The minister is in charge of completely deflating expectations and this is in order to enter a stage of greater public spending,” he said.

However, he did consider that today there is a risk of a slowdown. “Slowing growth is very different from starting to fall two quarters in a row. The numbers are not showing that. The non-primary GDP in the first semester has positively exceeded expectations. The second semester is going to be more difficult, but I don’t see that risk,” he added.

factors

Jaime Reusche, Vice President of Moody’s, explains that the current growth forecast for the Peruvian economy is 2.5%. “We did get a bit of a surprise on the upside from some of this year’s growth results. We were looking at the possibility of even adjusting the growth forecast a little higher. However, we want to wait to see what indications of economic activity there are in July,” he said.

Thus, the possibility of a recession is difficult for the current year, but the risk rises in 2023. “It is difficult for the Peruvian economy to fall into recession this year, but it becomes a little more likely next year depending on what is happening globally,” he said.

Reusche adds that the situation of the US economy is still uncertain, so it is difficult to make projections about the magnitude of its slowdown. “Meanwhile, in the Chinese economy there are clearer signs of slowdown. There is real concern that it will slow down into the rest of the year and that will weigh on global demand and commodity prices and possibly the Peruvian economy,” he stressed.

MIRA: El Comercio and Apoyo will hold a debate on reform of the pension system

effective responses

For Luis Miguel Castilla, executive director of Videnza and former Minister of Economy and Finance, the answer to the slowdown in the economy lies in recovering business confidence.

“What has stopped is private investment due to the completion of projects like Quellaveco and because the environment remains pessimistic due to the government’s measures and the entire political issue that afflicts us”he argues.

In his turn, Elmer Cuba, a partner at Macroconsult, considered that fiscal policy loses reactivating potential in a context of pessimistic expectations.

“One way to break this state of affairs would be to jointly repeal the labor regulations that have made the companies leave the CNT. That has never happened. That the issue of outsourcing and strikes be reviewed outside of the list of claims. That would help gain credibility,” he added.

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Sergio Massa’s debut as Economy Minister and the new measures | Minute by minute, the news in economic matters

by archyde

16:50

a few seconds ago

Massa’s tour to reinforce the reserves of the Central Bank

Massa will travel in the second half of the month to the United States, France and Qatar in search of funds and credits to reinforce the reserves of the Central Bank. This mission will include meetings with the head of the Monetary Fund, Kristalina Georgieva, with representatives of the Treasury, the Paris Club and the Qatar Sovereign Fund.

In addition, as a sign of harmony, Massa will board the plane with the former Minister of Economy, Silvina Bartakis, who is already exercising the role of president of Banco Nación.

The Government made official the unification of the Ministries of Economy, Productive Development and Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries

Minutes before Sergio Massa swears in his new position as minister, The national government made official through the Decree 451/2022 the unification of the Ministries of Economy, Productive Development and Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries.

“For operational reasons of government it is necessary to unify the powers assigned to the Ministry of Economy, the Ministry of Productive Development and the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries in order to implement new objectives and government policies“, says the text published in the Official Gazette.

The Decree, which modifies the Law of Ministries 22,520, establishes that the portfolios headed by Daniel Scioli and Silvina Batakis go to Economy together with “the dependent units and organizations, the Companies and Entities of the National Public Sector acting in their orbit, the budget credits , goods, personnel with their current positions and allocations to date. The personnel will maintain their current review situation”.

“The Ministry of Economy is successor to all its effects of the Ministry of Productive Development and the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, and should be considered modified by such denomination each time reference is made to the ministerial portfolios cited in the second term,” adds the Decree.

The axis of the measures that Massa will announce

Although the government keeps the secret under lock and key, as Pagina/12 learned, there will be issues focused on the dollar, the growth of reserves and the progress of prices. In the Massa environment they point to Argentina being “a dollar factory” and that would be done with plans to promote exports of different sectors of the economy.

A few days ago Massa shared a message on Twitter in which he announced that today he will communicate “the work plan, objectives and axes to be addressed, as well as the mechanics of the first 10 days that will give us a path to follow and the challenges to deal with as a country.

Massa believes that the official exchange rate must be “corrected”. He analyzes alternatives that range from sliding it by 15% to an exchange rate split, although a more moderate proposal, such as extending the benefits of the soybean dollar to all export sectors, generates greater consensus.

Guillermo Moreno’s prediction about the future of Massa

Former Secretary of Internal Trade Guillermo Moreno remarked that “if Sergio Massa is successful, he will be the candidate for president next year and head of Peronism, which is much more.”

“He is between bronze and devout, we would say,” Moreno summed up the challenge that was presented to the president of the Chamber of Deputies until yesterday. But you have to have training and have managed something in your life, like a business in the private sector. Massa is a lawyer who has just received his degree, well, he is audacious. I wish you the best of luck, ”he completed.

Castagneto’s management in the AFIP

The appointed head of the Federal Administration of Public Revenues (AFIP), Carlos Castagneto, stated that in his administration he will look for a “friendly” organization that can make it easier for the taxpayer to pay their taxes.

“It is not easy to unify taxes, nor is it something from one day to the next, but it is necessary to review the tax part because one has national, provincial, and municipal taxes. Each jurisdiction has its right, but actions must be coordinated so that a tax bill does not arrive every day,” said Castagneto.

The replacement for Mercedes Marcó del Pont explained that he intends to make “a friendly AFIP, make it easier for the taxpayer to pay their taxes or contributions and contributions, or in the case of Customs, import duties.” He also considered “indispensable the articulation of these organisms with the Ministry of Economy and with the Central Bank.”

The cabinet of Sergio Massa

In recent days, Massa confirmed a good part of his collaborators. José Ignacio de Mendiguren will be in charge of the Production area; Juan José Bahillo will be the secretary of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries; Matías Tombolini will command the Secretary of Commerce; and Daniel Marx will integrate the committee for the development of the capital market and follow-up of the public debt.

Marco Lavagna will continue to lead the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (Indec); Jorge Solmi will continue in the new scheme of the Ministry of Agriculture in charge of the Federative Coordination Unit; and Gabriel Delgado was appointed to the Unit for the Opening of New Protein Markets.

The Secretariat for Development Planning and Federal Competitiveness will be headed by Jorge Neme. Meanwhile, Raúl Rigo will be Secretary of the Treasury and Eduardo Setti, Secretary of Finance.

The new minister’s team is completed with Sandra Mayol in the Undersecretary for Institutional Affairs; and Sabrina Vettel and Katia Blanc in strategic areas of the portfolio.

Arroyo highlighted the conditions of Massa

The national deputy for the province of Buenos Aires (FdT) Daniel Arroyo affirmed this Wednesday that Massa “has all the conditions” to serve as Minister of Economy, Productive Development and Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries, and said that his priority should be “to recover reserves and income, work on a part of the population that does not have them and stabilize the exchange rate and food prices”.

Massa “has all the conditions to hold office (…). He is a person who has a team, a plan and all the instruments, “said Arroyo hours after the assumption of the Tigrense as the new Minister of Economy.

“This is a time of balance that must include the 48 million Argentines. To govern is to provide certainty to the people so that they can know how much money they need to live,” added the legislator, who insisted on universal citizen income, emphasizing that “Latin America as a whole” follows that line.

“It must be discussed in Congress, approved and given the power to the Executive to implement it in stages. At least that is how it works in the world. If it were up to me, I would start implementing this universal income through the provinces of northern Argentina,” he said. .

Regarding the unification of the Ministries of Economy, Production and Agriculture, he opined that “the areas should be dispersed in moments of tranquility” but “in times of crisis they must be centralized to give the official in charge the possibility of all the keys of the button panel”.

Massa swears before some 500 people

After two and a half years as, in which he collaborated to reach the necessary consensus to convert important projects of the National Executive into law, Sergio Massa lands in the cabinet of Alberto Fernández after two and a half years as head of the Chamber of Deputies. He will be sworn in as Minister of Economy at the Casa Rosada Bicentennial Museum, after which he will announce the main guidelines for his administration.

From massism they assure that the swearing-in ceremony will be attended by about 500 people. Businessmen, trade unionists, leaders of the Renovating Front, national and provincial officials of the ruling coalition and provincial leaders were invited.

Manzur highlighted the importance of Massa in the Frente de Todos

Juan Manzur affirmed that Sergio Massa “is a very important man for the ruling coalition” and maintained that the expectations regarding his performance at the head of the Ministry of Economy “are the best and very positive.”

“Despite all the difficulties at a global level, we have full confidence in the management of the Government and all the ministers. Massa is a very important man for the coalition and we see him very well”, said Manzur.

Manzur specified that after Massa’s swearing-in “we are going to have the first general guidelines on macroeconomic policy.” “Until now they have been responding favorably to the expectations it has generated,” he analyzed, adding that “the economy is in a complex and difficult situation, in a very complex global context and with variables that impact Argentina, which is not an island.”

The redefinition of the economic area

Massa assumes as Economy Minister to replace Silvina Batakis, who took over after the departure of Martín Guzmán.

His arrival comes from the hand of a redefinition of the economic area for which the Ministries of Productive Development and Agriculture become secretariats and will remain under his orbit within the organization chart of the portfolio in his charge.

When and where Massa assumes in Economics

Sergio Massa’s act will be at 5 pm at the Bicentennial Museum. Until yesterday, the president of the Chamber of Deputies joined the national cabinet after presenting his resignation from the position he held since the beginning of Alberto Fernández’s administration.

Massa’s appointment has the backing of Vice President Cristina Kirchner, who made her support explicit with the publication of a photo of a meeting the two had last Monday in her Senate office.

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Rumors multiply about the arrival of Sergio Massa to the Cabinet | The leader of the Renovating Front will meet with the President between Friday and Saturday

by archyde

Eternal refrain since the defeat in the PASO, los rumors about the landing of Serge Massa in the national cabinet are getting louder. “Only Cristina’s green card is missing,” a leader who in the past has functioned as an intermediary between the president and the vice president told this newspaper. Gone are, however, the times of broken telephone between Alberto Fernandez y Cristina Fernandez de Kirchnerwho in recent weeks have resumed a direct line of communication and are now analyzing, in tandem, how to relaunch the cabinet. Massa’s name resonates strongly, but doubts persist as to what his place would be: the Chief of Staff or a super Ministry of Economy that has under its orbit areas such as Tourism or Transport.

The internal organization is a difficult puzzle to accommodate because at Casa Rosada they know that they cannot “throw out the window” John Manzur, the only governor who is part of the cabinet, which tilts the speculative balance in favor of a position in Economy. At night, however, the man from Tigre went out to calm things down through his social networks, assuring that no offer had yet been made and that he would meet with the president “only on Friday or Saturday.”

https://twitter.com/SergioMassa/status/1552441279996645377

“There will be a cabinet change. Alberto usually takes his time, but he will be here by the end of the week,” he assured Page 12 a high source of the national government. The versions about the possible landing of Serge Massa to the national cabinet are as old as the Front of All itself, however, in recent days, the President and the Vice President have been discussing how to oxygenate the cabinet and both agree that the incorporation of the President of the Chamber of Deputies would give greatest political muscle.

There is no agreement, however, on the place that the third coalition partner should occupy. CFK wants Massa to occupy the Ministry of Economy and Governor Jorge Capitanich to go to the Chief of Cabinet. Alberto Fernández, meanwhile, would prefer that Massa go to the Chief of Staff. There is also a disagreement on the level of intensity of the changes to be promoted: the former president, who has a tougher view of the social and economic situation, insists that there should be a comprehensive replacement of the cabinet, while Alberto considers that a rather surgical adjustment should be made.

Beyond the internal debate, the support of the two Fernández to Massa would imply the transfer of control of key areas. Whether it was in the case that he was as Chief of Staff or Super Minister of Economy, Massa’s position would imply a merger of ministries that would remain under his orbit. That would be the case of the portfolio of Silvina Batakiswho took over in Economy only three weeks ago —and which, it should be noted, both CFK and Massa and Alberto want to keep—, but also that of Matías Lammens (Turismo), alexis warrior (Transportation) and Dario Martinez (Energy).

“It’s not going to be like going to the supermarket to grab whatever you want,” warned an Albertismo official. In that sense, as this newspaper learned, Alberto Fernández resists handing over the Central Bankin charge of Miguel Pesceand the AFIPwhose owner is Mercedes Marco del Ponttwo places that Massa had claimed for himself when, after the resignation of Martin Guzmanthe president offered him the Economy portfolio.

“We still need to finish putting the puzzle together,” said a source from Casa Rosada. The most difficult piece, in this context, is the current chief of staff, John Manzur. The Tucuman governor on leave was, after the defeat of the PASO, the great token that landed in the national cabinet to give it greater “political volume.” Now, he occupies one of the places that, both the president and the vice, consider that it is necessary to adjust. The problem is that Manzur has no interest in returning to Tucumán and close to Alberto Fernández they recognize that there are not many places to move him. Removing him from the national cabinet would be a direct affront to the governors, who are already annoyed by the lack of participation they have in decision-making (a central point of the summit that took place in Pink House with provincial president), so another destination would have to be found. Foreign Ministry was an option, but Alberto Fernández does not want to lose his right hand, santiago cafiero.

Negotiations continue and the Government will wait for Batakis to arrive in Argentina before making any announcements (since the minister was still in the United States, where she had traveled to maintain a meeting with the head of the FMI, when rumors of a hypothetical cabinet change began to circulate). “I see many rumors and versions. I did not have any offer and I just agreed to chat with President Alberto Fernández about the work agenda between Friday and Saturday“Sergio Massa himself had to go out to tweet at night, when all the media were already speculating about his arrival at Casa Rosada.

https://twitter.com/SergioMassa/status/1552441282299334657
https://twitter.com/SergioMassa/status/1552441284711030785

Rumors, however, had started early. The first was his own wife and owner of ISA, Malena Galmariniwho at dawn on Wednesday had published on their networks a Massa campaign spot from 2013: “At a time when everyone remains, he comes to propose something crazy. Add,” he maintained the message in the video, while Axel’s “Everything Comes Back” played in the background.

https://content.jwplatform.com/previews/AZYpNsNR-buQgiLVC

Hours later, the Buenos Aires chief of staff joined Martin Insaurraldewho supported the possible arrival of Massa to the Executive during an act in Merlo: “I have known him for many years and I value his great management capacity. I think his vision and experience would come in handy at this stage to channel the reconstruction,” he assured the former mayor of Lomas de Zamora.

The president of the Chamber of Deputies, meanwhile, spent the day in Congress. From those around him they let it be known that, in addition to meeting with directors of the Argentine Wine Corporation, Massa had spent the day talking with some of his economic bishops: the head of Customs, Guillermo Michelthe former Minister of Economy, Miguel Peirano, the deputy director of the ANSES Sustainability Guarantee Fund, Lysander Cleriy Gabriel Delgado. The names, in the midst of the sea of ​​rumors, soon rumbled as a possible future economic team.

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Sergio Massa would be the new Minister of Economy and would be announced after the arrival of Batakis in the country | “I agreed to chat with the President between Friday and Saturday,” clarified the head of the Deputies

by archyde

Sergio Massa was the name of the day. Since early Wednesday, the rumors about his arrival at the cabinet did not stop and, at the end of the day, far from being minimized, they were enlarged: the tigresen is placed at the head of the Ministry of Economy, once Silvina Batakis arrives in the country. The maneuver, they clarify from the ruling party, could come accompanied by other modifications in the structure of the government that Massa would have put as a condition and that could imply movements in the Banco Central – currently leading Miguel Pesce– and in the AFIPled by Mercedes Marco del Pont, among other areas. It is necessary to know what place the now head of the Treasury Palace will occupy, Silvina Batakiswhich he took over a few weeks ago.

In all this turmoil, Massa said that he had not yet received any offer and agreed to “chat” with Alberto Fernández between Friday and Saturday. He also ruled out the versions that accounted for alleged economic projects, explaining that he has been “working in line with the BCRA and the Ministry of Economy.”

https://twitter.com/SergioMassa/status/1552441279996645377

To complete, Massa indicated: “when you have something to say or the government decides to announce something, IT WILL BE DONE THROUGH THE CORRESPONDING LANES.”

a hectic day

The novelty, however, is the office in which Massa was expected. It is that in the runrún of Casa Rosada, it was believed that for now the President of Deputies will take charge of the Chief of Staff. The change implied that Manzur would return to his province, in a return to the governorship that, now, seems dissipated, although the possibility of Jorge Capitanich replacing the former Minister of Health also resonates. From the Executive they clarified that the arrival of Massa also “It would open the door to bigger reconfigurations because that’s what happens when a weight figure arrives.”

Who also fueled the rumors was the partner of the leader of the Renovating Front, Malena Galmarini. Aysa’s head shared a suggestive video on social networks of her, from a campaign spot for the 2013 legislative elections, when the then leader of the Renovator Front he ran for national deputy, facing Kirchnerism.

“Trapped by insomnia, I set out to order the audiovisual library on my phone… I came across this “little pearl”, Aysa’s owner wrote in a Twitter post, which closed with an eloquent phrase: “Everything comes back, everything happens, everything arrives. A shirt that says”.

https://content.jwplatform.com/previews/AZYpNsNR-buQgiLVC

The spot, with the theme “Everything returns” by Axel, had as its campaign motto: “If we want to change the future, let’s start today. At a time when everyone is subtracted, he comes to propose something crazy: adding”.

The images refer to the legislative elections of 2013, whose results implied a victory for Massa (43%) against the candidate of the Front for Victory, Martin Insaurralde (31%) in the province of Buenos Aires.

Photo with the governors and something else

The possible changes in the Cabinet were also part of the menu that characterized Alberto Fernández’s summit with 13 provincial chiefs that make up the League of Governors. “We informed him of our vision of the economic situation as a result of the exchange rate run. The President conveyed that he is working to take the pertinent measures,” explained the governor of Santa Cruz, Alicia Kirchner, once she concluded the meeting.

“We told him that the governors have to be participants and protagonists of the decisions that affect our provinces. The country is made up of 23 provinces, if we are not minimally consulted it will be difficult,” he commented in dialogue with Page 12 another of the provincial leaders who participated in the meeting.

The meeting with Fernández was not in the plans of the governors, even from Casa Rosada they commented that the invitation was to have lunch, but the provincial leaders had already had lunch at the Federal Investment Council (CFI). At the end of the meeting in the Eva Perón Room of the Government House, those present left without making any kind of statement to the press and, after a few hours, they began to publish limited messages on their social networks that said, in their great majority, that “the President told us that work is being done to move forward with measures to respond to this situation that we are going through”.

News in development.

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