The bettor’s guide to NFL Week 7

What are the most important trends for betting on the NFL weekend? Casualties begin to become an option

For the first time this season, the majority of games ended in casualties in Week 6, ending 5-9. In total, registrations continue to have a greater margin with 49-42 and the totals between 45 Y 54 points are 31-22 with the discharges this campaign. The six games of the Arizona Cardinals have ended in casualties this season. All the other teams have had at least two games in highs. And in the case of New Orleans Saints Y Las Vegas Raiders, his five games have finished high.

The underdog finished 8-4 against the line (ATS) in Week 6 and are 48-41-1 ATS this season, including 14-5 ATS in primetime games. The Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, Pittsburgh Steelers, Los Angeles Chargers Y Green Bay Packers they are tied for the best ATS record at 4-1. The New York Jets Y Dallas Cowboys they are the only teams that are 0-6 ATS.

These are the rest of the trends to bet on the Week 7 of the NFL.

Odds shown are from Caesars Sportsbook and are subject to change:

  • Casualties are 8-1 in games ofPittsburgh as a visitor since the start of the 2019 season.

  • Pittsburgh is 10-2-1 ATS in October since the start of the 2017 season, the second-best percentage of coverage in the NFL in that period (Saints 11-2 ATS).

  • Since 2015, the underdog with an undefeated record in Week 5 or later are 6-0 ATS and 5-1 straight. In the past 30 seasons, disadvantaged hosts that are undefeated are 6-1 ATS and 4-3 straight in Week 5 or later (if Tennessee is disadvantaged).

  • In the Super Bowl era, when teams that are 4-0 or better meet, the underdog is 10-4 ATS.

  • Houston is 1-5 ATS, 0-4 ATS as underdog and 0-4 ATS against teams with winning record this season.

  • Green Bay has covered five straight games after a loss (3-0 ATS under head coach Matt LaFleur).

  • Green Bay they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

  • The five matches of New Orleans this season they have ended high. The longest discharge streak to start a season was with the Saints 2002, which started the campaign with nine consecutive registrations.

  • Teddy Bridgewater is 18-4 ATS and 12-10 straight in his career as an underdog, including 2-2 straight and ATS this season. Bridgewater is also 14-2 ATS as a career underdog. In total, Bridgewater is 30-10 ATS in his career.

  • New Orleans he’s 15-2 ATS in October since the start of the 2016 season, the best in the NFL in that span.

  • Since the start of the 2015 season, New Orleans It is 21-10 ATS against NFC South.

  • Since the start of the 2015 season, Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS against Cleveland.

  • Cincinnati they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after a loss going back to last season.

  • Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in October since the start of the 2016 season. Cleveland they are also 1-8 in their last nine road games.

  • Cleveland he has been a road favorite only seven times since the start of the 2014 season, finishing 1-6 ATS in that span.

  • The highs are 3-0 this season in games in which Cleveland play against a team with a losing record.

  • Dallas is 0-6 ATS this season, tied with the Jets with the worst coverage percentage in the league. This is the first time Dallas starts 0-6 ATS. Yes Dallas closed as a favorite, it would be the fifth team to be a favorite in their seventh game after starting 0-6 ATS. Each of the previous four teams fell to 0-7 ATS.

  • Washington is 3-12-1 ATS following a loss since the start of the 2019 season.

  • Dallas is 5-1 ATS against Washington since the start of the 2017 season.

  • Since the start of the 2017 season, Dallas It is 15-4 ATS against the NFC East.

  • The Jets They are 0-6 ATS this season. That is, two short of the longest winless streak against the line to start a season over the past 20 seasons. The Raiders 2003 failed to cover in each of their first eight games of that season.

  • The Jets are the first team to start 0-6 both direct and ATS from St. Louis in 2011. In the Super Bowl era, only Washington (0-7) from 1998, Indianapolis (0-7) of 1991 and Cincinnati (0-8) of 1991 have started 0-7 both direct and ATS.

  • In the past 25 seasons, the only other time that Buffalo was a double-digit visitor favorite in Week 16 of 2004 (-11 in San Francisco; won 41-7). The last time was Buffalo received more than 11 points as a visitor was in Week 13 of 1992 (-16.5 in Indianapolis), a match that he lost on the direct scoreboard.

  • Detroit they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.

  • Atlanta is 3-11 ATS in October since the start of the 2017 season, the second-worst percentage of coverage in that period.

  • Atlanta They are 5-10 ATS as a local favorite since the start of the 2018 season.

  • Tom Brady is 21-12 ATS as a road favorite since the start of the 2016 season. He is 1-1 ATS in that situation this season.

  • The highs are 5-0 in games of Las Vegas matches this season.

  • The highs are 7-0-1 in meetings between these teams in the last 30 seasons, including playoffs.

  • Tampa Bay he’s a 10-20-1 ATS favorite since the start of the 2014 season. That .333 coverage percentage is the second-worst favorite in that span.

  • The highs are 19-8 in matches of Tampa Bay as a visitor since the start of the 2017 season.

  • Since the start of the 2017 season, Tampa Bay it is 2-11-1 ATS in October, the worst coverage percentage in the NFL in that span.

  • Jacksonville he is 0-4 ATS after a direct loss this season.

  • Since the beginning of last season, Chargers They are 0-5-1 ATS as home favorites, tied for the worst coverage percentage in the NFL in that span.

  • The Angels is the perfect 8-0 ATS against Jacksonville since the start of the 2010 season.

  • Anthony Lynn is 5-14-1 ATS as a local favorite since becoming head coach of the Chargers in 2017.

  • The Angels he is a favorite despite being on a four-game losing streak. Teams favored by at least seven points in losing streaks of at least four games are 4-0 ATS in the past five seasons.

  • This is the first time since 2013 that a team with a 200 winning percentage has been favorites by at least eight points in Week 6 or later since Week 12 of 2013, when the Texans (2-8) lost at home as favorites by 10.5 points to the Jaguars (1-9).

  • Denver he is 4-1 ATS underdog this season. Denver he’s also 5-1 ATS in October from the start of last season.

  • Drew Lock is 5-1 ATS and 3-3 straight in six career starts as an underdog.

  • Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in their eight games against Denver since the start of the 2016 season.

  • Kansas City He is 21-10 ATS as a road favorite since the start of the 2013 season.

  • San Francisco It is 7-0 ATS when the line is between -3 and 3 since the start of the 2019 season.

  • San Francisco they are 6-0 ATS as an underdog since the start of last season.

  • New England he is 41-16 ATS after a loss since the start of the 2003 season and 52-27 ATS after a loss under head coach Bill Belichick.

  • Since the start of the 2016 season, New England he is 43-23 ATS as a favorite, the best percentage of coverage as a favorite in the NFL in that span.

  • All matches of Arizona they have finished in casualties this season, the only team to end in casualties in all their games this season.

  • Arizona they have covered four of the last five meetings and are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. Arizona he won the most recent game on direct score as an underdog by eight points.

  • Seattle has covered seven consecutive games with at least seven days between games, going back to 2018. Seattle he has covered three straight games after his bye week.

“MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL”

  • Chicago they are 4-1 straight and ATS underdog this season. With another surprise win this week, Chicago could join Jacksonville from 2004 and Detroit 1999 as the only teams with five surprise victories in their first seven games of a season in the Super Bowl era.

  • Since 2014, teams with a winning percentage of .800 are 9-4 ATS underdog by at least four points and 8-2 ATS underdog by more than four points.

  • The Rams They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.

  • The three parties of Chicago in October they have finished in losses, one of three teams to have all their games in losses this month.

  • Sean McVay is 14-8-1 ATS when he is a favorite by five points or more since he became head coach of the Rams in 2017.

THEY REST

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