The Andalusian government of change, the first without a socialist president, knew that it would encounter a pachydermic administration with very powerful inertia; with a parliamentary partner who was going to demand more than the real weight of his seats; with an uncooperative opposition with the new majority; on an extended budget and an inheritance like a minefield. All these absolutely foreseeable obstacles somehow slowed down decision-making in the first year of the legislature and forced to postpone or qualify the fulfillment of important commitments, such as the reduction of health waiting lists or the restructuring of the parallel administration . For this reason, the year 2019 was assumed as a transition exercise that would set the stage to address pending transformations in 2020 and would allow increasing the pace of job creation. What was hardly foreseeable is that a pandemic would paralyze the engines of the world economy and force all resources to be redirected to save lives and alleviate the tremendous disruption that the coronavirus has caused in the economic health of families. The management of the first and second waves of the coronavirus has conditioned the progress of the country and Andalusia to such an extent that analysts have run out of references that allow evaluating the Board’s policies in comparative terms because there is nothing comparable to what happened in the last year. With revenues plummeting, Andalusia has nevertheless been able to approve expansionary budgets thanks to the relaxation of fiscal policy. The community, like the rest of the autonomous regions, has a greater margin of deficit, which has allowed it to have more budgets for Health and Education, where spending on hiring personnel and investment in equipment has skyrocketed to levels never before recorded in its history. The Minister of Education and Sports, Javier Imbroda (Cs), was showing his chest this Monday because never before had an Andalusian government invested so much in education, so that it has managed to reach the “desired” 5% of regional GDP. But it is a conjunctural growth that will necessarily be reversed in the coming course if, as is to be expected, the health emergency goes into a less virulent phase thanks to the massive vaccination of the population. Something similar will happen in Andalusian healthcare, which has reached 7% of GDP in the 2021 budget. The powerful investment in expanding beds and ICUs and the extraordinary hiring of personnel to deal with the pandemic will hardly be sustained over time. The year 2020 and also 2021 will be years of exception to which years of severe contraction of public spending will inevitably follow. This is another argument for those in the Andalusian Government who speculate with a possible “technical” electoral advance before the time comes to retract the budget sails. All in all, the PP shows its chest when the two years have passed since the inauguration of Juanma Moreno (January 18) and his government (January 22). The general secretary of the Andalusian PP, Loles López, defended that “Andalusia has the best government at the worst time” and claimed, despite the seriousness of the situation, the “anticipation” in the decisions taken to stop the pandemic, in addition to the adoption of palliative economic measures such as the aid plan for SMEs and the self-employed, the Air Plan for city councils or purse cards for families with precarious income. He also recalled that Juanma Moreno fulfilled his commitment to eliminate the inheritance and gift tax, reduced other taxes and put an end to the auction of medicines.
The Andalusian Government will wield in the coming weeks the reform of the old Military Hospital in Seville, converted into a Covid Emergency Hospital, as one of the symbolic images of the fulfillment of its electoral promises. The president of the Board, Juanma Moreno, has already made it the setting for his New Year’s Eve Message. In addition, with three budgets approved despite the permanent pulse of Vox, Moreno defends as hallmarks of his executive the “political and institutional stability”, in addition to “honesty, transparency” and “strong social commitment”, as highlighted in a balance made today during a visit to La Roda de Andalucía (Seville). In the middle of the legislature, when other coalition governments expose the tensions between the partners, Moreno’s can boast of a high degree of internal cohesion to the point that there are those in Ciudadanos fantasizing about a joint candidacy with him. PP. And, although it is still too early for this type of conjecture, as soon as the pandemic takes a breather, the second half of the legislature will inevitably pick up an electoral rhythm.
“A worse”, the campaign of the PSOE-A
The PSOE-A has launched a campaign with the slogan “The change for the worse” to try to demonstrate “with data and facts”, coinciding with the halfway point of the legislature, that Andalusia has “regressed” in these two years of government of the PP and Citizens with the external support of Vox. The Socialists intend to take this campaign “to all corners of Andalusia”, for which they have summoned the entire organization so that citizens know “with data” what happened in These two “disastrous” years of the Government of Juanma Moreno, as announced yesterday by its Secretary for Organization, Juan Cornejo. The Andalusian PSOE reaches the halfway point of the legislature very weakened by the growing internal current that asks Susana Díaz to step back. This Monday, in a statement, the federal leadership of the party generically pointed to the need to renew some territorial leadership, in a message that abounds in the days ago in the same direction by Minister José Luis Ábalos or some referents of the Andalusian socialists , like Juan Espadas or Alfonso Rodríguez Gómez de Celis.
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