The CIS maintains Sanchez’s victory and gives him three tenths more than the result obtained on 10-N. He delivers these results, which trace those obtained at the polls, just one day after the President of the Government announced yesterday that he kept José Félix Tezanos in his position as president of the Center for Sociological Research.
The survey blesses the PSOE coalition – We can just two weeks after the investiture, since the PSOE would win the elections again with 28.3% of the votes and its government partner would also register the same support with respect to the last elections, although it would continue to run as the fourth political force in Congress. The block on the right would add practically the same votes. The Popular Party would lose just one point in two months and continue as a second force and Vox would add three hundredths. If these results are met, Citizens would confirm their drift initiated on 10-N, losing almost two points, going from 6.8% to 4.9% of the votes.
For the first time the barometer values respondents on their position regarding Franco’s exhumation and yes that decision influenced his vote last 10-N. The star measure of Pedro Sánchez after arriving at the government in 2018 and that took a whole year to execute. A decision not without controversy, but which, according to the CIS, did not influence when deciding the vote in the elections. 93.9% confirm this, while 5.7% say they have been decisive. On how Franco’s exhumation changed the vote of the Spaniards, for 76.9% he reaffirmed his will to vote for the party that was going to do so, while 11.1% led him to change his vote. 3.5% did not plan to vote and finally did so and for 2.3%, the decision of the Government made him abstain at the polls.
The situation that was then going through the independence conflict in Catalonia, weeks after knowing the sentence of “procés” to the Catalan independence leaders and after the waves of violence registered in Barcelona by radical groups influenced, according to the CIS, one in four electors (24.3%) compared to 75 , 3% that ensures that their vote was not conditioned by Catalonia. For voters who confess to having felt influenced by the Catalan situation, 42.7 percent confirm that this same concern led them to reaffirm the option they had raised beforehand, while 15.7% chose the party they considered to be I could better stop the supporters of independence. 13.3% confess that the latest events led him to vote for independence parties. 9.3% changed their vote in favor of a party that defended the unity of Spain.
As for the assessment of political leaders, the main presidents of each party continue to decline. None of them exceeds five. Pedro Sánchez is the best valued with 4.1 points, followed by Pablo Casado and Inés Arrimadas with 3.6. Behind is Pablo Iglesias with a 3.5. The leader of the United Left would obtain 3.4 points followed by Íñigo Errejón with 3.3. The worst valued would be Santiago Abascal collecting only 2.8 points of sympathy.
In the last barometer published at the end of November, the CIS produced results that differed from the data obtained by the right-wing block in the general elections. The PP would have achieved 13.7% of the data compared to the 20.8% it actually collected, while Vox would have remained at 8.1% of the votes compared to its current 13.7% vote. For Citizens, the barometer gives the same results as in the last general elections, 6.8%. The PSOE would have obtained 27.5% of the votes, while in the general election it scratched half a point more. For United We were granted 9% of the votes, but in the elections it obtained 3.8 points more.