The electoral effects of Donald T.’s coronavirus …

Desde Washington D.C.

One campaign ended, another begins

There is a myth in US election campaigns. The October surprise, they call it. An unexpected event that suddenly changes the board days before the vote and seals the fate of one or the other candidate. In a peculiar campaign like the one in 2020, the shock could come from anywhere. In the end, it came from Donald Trump himself.

After months of minimizing the risks of the pandemic, the illness forced the president to cancel the acts in the final stretch of the campaign. Some will be virtual. Others will be postponed. Meanwhile, concern reigns in the White House and in the Republican Party, as new cases of contagion are confirmed.

In addition to Hicks, other close contacts of the president received positive test results. They were Ronna McDaniel, chair of the Republican National Committee, Y Mike Lee, Senator from Utah, who was last Saturday at the presentation of Amy Coney Barrett as Trump’s candidate for the Supreme Court. Without any “social distancing”, as seen in all the photos, the event became the ideal place for a “super contagion” who wiped out at least seven officials, including Trump, in addition to several journalists accredited to the White House.

The vice president tests, Mike Pence, and his wife Kareninstead, they were negative. The news gave little reassurance to an administration that is now rethinking its processes and, above all, the next steps in a re-election campaign that has only one month left.

The presence of a possible coronavirus outbreak within the White House itself led the government to ask the advisers to isolate themselves and to return only when they have two negative results of their tests. The campaign, whose focus is on Trump’s actions with his followers, will become virtual while the president cannot attend. Nothing prevents Pence, candidate for vice president again, from being present at some events. According to your doctor, you are free to continue your normal activities.

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The vice president has a debate on Wednesday with his Democratic rival, Senator Harris. With Trump in quarantine, nothing ensures that the two remaining presidential debates can take place as planned for October 15 and 22.. Therefore, the meeting between Pence and Harris now takes on a relevance that these events normally do not have.

From the Democratic Party they limited themselves to wishing a speedy improvement to the president, whom they assure to have in their prayers. According to the US media, the campaign plans to remove all negative ads and change the tone of its message. Biden, for his part, continued with his schedule and visited Michigan, one of the states you need to win.

Analysts still cannot agree on what effect Trump’s diagnosis will have on the election: Will he get a vote out of pity or will he play against him for having made fun of the prevention measures? All the effort that the Republican campaign put into getting the pandemic off the agenda vanished in the last 24 hours. From now on, that will be the focus of the discussion again, while the amount of Deaths from coronavirus amount to more than 208,000 and confirmed cases exceed 7 million.

For now, there is an immediate consequence. For the Democratic Party, the campaign continues. Instead, for Trump, whom polls put at a disadvantage in several key states and you need to shore up voting intentions in your favor, for now there is only quarantine.

Trump’s most critical moment

With a fever, cough and nasal congestion, the president of the United States was admitted “as a precaution” this Friday at the Walter Reed Medical Center in Bethesda, on the outskirts of Washington. No transfer of power to the vice president, the president will continue to work for a few days from the hospital, controlled throughout an experimental treatment. Because of the potential severity of the disease, it is perhaps the most critical moment for the health of a president of the United States since the shooting of Ronald Reagan in 1981.

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“I want to thank everyone for the tremendous support,” the mogul said in a video recorded before leaving for the hospital. A short 18 second clip in which he also assured that the first lady is fine, after being diagnosed with covid-19 with her husband. Trump walked out of the White House and wearing a chinstrap. He greeted the press and got on the helicopter that took him to the medical center.

Due to his 74 years and his overweight, the president is among the groups most at risk for this disease. “Until this afternoon, the president continues with fatigue but in good spirits. It is being evaluated by a team of specialists and together we will make recommendations to the president and the first lady on the steps to follow, “Trump’s doctor said in a statement on Friday. Melania Trump remains isolated in the White House with mild symptoms.

According to that medical report, the president received a dose of eight grams of Regeneron Polyclonal Antibody Cocktail. She was also prescribed. zinc, vitamin D, melatonin, a daily aspirin, and famotidine. As a precaution, you will be under medical supervision while you undergo this experimental treatment, with cardiac and oxygenation monitoring.

He has “mild symptoms,” his chief of staff, Mark Meadows, had said earlier. Trump’s announcement came through Twitter during the early morning. Both he and his wife Melania had been tested after it became known that Hope Hicks, one of the president’s top advisers, had coronavirus. “We will begin our quarantine and recovery process immediately. We are going to go through this together, ”the tycoon posted on the social network. The message quickly became the president’s most popular yet.

When the news broke, a kind of collective tracking in the media and on the networks: where Trump had gone in the last hours, who had he seen in recent days, in what events had he participated. In that enumeration, he excelled the debate last tuesday in which had come face to face with Democrat Joseph Biden, his rival in these elections.

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From the Biden campaign they maintained that no one from the Trump team contacted them to notify them of the health situation of the president, who shared the stage with the Democratic candidate three days before this diagnosis was known. Although they were separated and did not greet each other, both were without masks during the debate. Biden learned from the media about the news that shook the United States this Friday. Both he and his wife Jill were tested to see if they had been infected. The result was negative.

They also had to go through the test Kamala Harris, Biden’s running mate, and the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, who recently met with a lawmaker who had been in contact with Trump. In both cases, contagion was ruled out.

The wave of tests reached part of the presidential family, who had traveled on Air Force One with Trump recently. In the last 24 hours, there were tests for the tycoon’s children Barron and Ivanka and for son-in-law Jared Kushner. None tested positive.

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