The Russians and the West are inspired by the experience of the inventor of James Bond to “sell the war”

Germany As Nazism, Prime Minister Winston Churchill did his best to persuade the United States to enter the war. To this end, it was opened by British intelligence officer William Stephenson, who was the real-life inspiration behind the character "James Bond"a publicity office in New York responsible for "Sale" War for American Voters.

20 fictional stories every week

Between 1940 and 1941, Stevenson planted up to 20 fictional stories of British courage in the American media each week, and these efforts proved effective in changing the conservative opinion of the American public at the start of the war.

After World War II, intelligence agencies spread throughout the eastern and western blocs, as belligerents competed in cold War to expand their spheres of influence.

Long wars accepted

mentioned "Lombard Odia" that "History also teaches us that wars can often go on and on. In 1914, soldiers in World War I marched to the front expecting a quick victory, only to find themselves stuck in trenches for years. In that time, modern artillery such as machine guns and barbed wire doubled the number of dead, while giving no benefit to either side"Noting that today’s military arsenals contain greater threats, including, of course, nuclear weapons.

Nuclear danger escalates

owns all of Russia And NATO has about 6000 nuclear warheads, divided into two classes, the strategic bombs being the most powerful, with enough explosive charges to wipe out entire cities.

Given the risk of mutually assured destruction if deployed, global military powers then developed tactical nuclear devices with much lower power, with Russia possessing about 2,000 of these weapons and the United States about 200, the Swiss bank notes.

The most likely scenario

And while the latter category of weapons is more dangerous, the Swiss bank considers that "Their use in any conflict is likely to lead to rapid escalation, and the continuation of the current military conflict in Ukraine This is the most likely scenario".

Exorbitant economic bill

As the bank says it "It is difficult to quantify and quantify the impact of wars on financial markets, yet historical data shows that in addition to the tragic human cost, geopolitical conflict has an ongoing negative impact on economic activity, threatening capital, endangering production facilities, disrupting supply chains, and undermining consumer consequences. and delay investments companies".

1.5% losses to the US economy

In the case of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, for example, the Federal Reserve estimates that increased geopolitical risks this year will translate into a 1.5 percent loss in global GDP and a 1.3 percent increase in global GDP. inflation Global.

Clash fears fuel inflation

Bank believes "Lombard Odia" That tensions between the United States andChina It is likely to continue, that the war in Ukraine is also likely to continue – and perhaps even escalate – and that the troubling geopolitical background will only exacerbate the current high inflation, slowing growth and risks of stagnation, and that it is necessary to justify the usefulness of this war before the peoples, and to accept its prolongation and its consequences and its repercussions.

Expensive European and American costs

Recently, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the third time in a row by 75 basis points in September after disappointing inflation data in August, and indicated further tightening in the near term. while in EuropeThe first double-digit inflation number ever since the euro was launched in 1999 was recorded in Germany this month, which will put additional pressure on the European Central Bank to accelerate the monetary tightening cycle and raise interest rates.

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When the United Kingdom resisted the attacks Germany As Nazism, Prime Minister Winston Churchill did his best to persuade the United States to enter the war. To this end, British intelligence officer William Stephenson, the real-life inspiration behind James Bond, opened a New York propaganda office responsible for “selling” the war to American voters.

20 fictional stories every week

Between 1940 and 1941, Stevenson planted up to 20 fictional stories of British courage in the American media each week, and these efforts proved effective in changing the conservative opinion of the American public at the start of the war.

After World War II, intelligence agencies spread throughout the eastern and western blocs, as belligerents competed in cold War to expand their spheres of influence.

Long wars accepted

“History also teaches us that wars can often go on and on,” Lombard Odier stated. “In 1914, soldiers in World War I marched toward the front expecting a quick victory, only to find themselves stuck in trenches for years. At that time, artillery doubled Modern day machine guns and barbed wire have a death toll, while conferring little benefit to either side,” he said, noting that today’s military arsenals contain greater threats, including of course nuclear weapons.

Nuclear danger escalates

owns all of Russia And NATO has about 6000 nuclear warheads, divided into two classes, the strategic bombs being the most powerful, with enough explosive charges to wipe out entire cities.

Given the risk of mutually assured destruction if deployed, global military powers then developed tactical nuclear devices with much lower power, with Russia possessing about 2,000 of these weapons and the United States about 200, the Swiss bank notes.

The most likely scenario

While the latter category of weapons is more dangerous, the Swiss bank considers that “their use in any conflict is likely to lead to a rapid escalation, and that the continuation of the current military conflict in Ukraine It is the most likely scenario.

Exorbitant economic bill

The bank also says that “it is difficult to identify and measure the impact of wars on financial markets, yet historical data show that in addition to the tragic human cost, geopolitical conflict has an ongoing negative impact on economic activity, as it threatens capital, endangers production facilities, and disrupts economic chains.” supply, undermines consumer consequences and delays investments companies”.

1.5% losses to the US economy

In the case of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, for example, the Federal Reserve estimates that increased geopolitical risks this year will translate into a 1.5 percent loss in global GDP and a 1.3 percent increase in global GDP. inflation Global.

Clash fears fuel inflation

Lombard Odier Bank believes that tensions between the United States andChina It is likely to continue, that the war in Ukraine is also likely to continue – and perhaps even escalate – and that the troubling geopolitical background will only exacerbate the current high inflation, slowing growth and risks of stagnation, and that it is necessary to justify the usefulness of this war before the peoples, and to accept its prolongation and its consequences and its repercussions.

Expensive European and American costs

Recently, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the third time in a row by 75 basis points in September after disappointing inflation data in August, and indicated further tightening in the near term. while in EuropeThe first double-digit inflation number ever since the euro was launched in 1999 was recorded in Germany this month, which will put additional pressure on the European Central Bank to accelerate the monetary tightening cycle and raise interest rates.

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