Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics: July 8, 2025 WNBA Prediction & Analysis

Mystics Fall to Lynx,Look to Bounce back Tonight

Washington,D.C. – The Washington Mystics suffered a 92-75 defeat against the Minnesota Lynx in their last outing. Despite a strong effort on the boards with 35 total rebounds (30 defensive, 5 offensive), the Mystics struggled with turnovers, committing 20 throughout the game while managing only 2 steals.

Washington capitalized on 23 free throw attempts, converting 18 for a 78.3% success rate. However,their three-point shooting was cold,hitting just 3 of 20 attempts (15.0%). the Mystics shot 45.0% from the field,going 27-for-60.

The Lynx proved efficient, shooting 46.3% from the floor (37 of 80) and connecting on 9 of 26 three-pointers (34.6%). They were perfect from the free throw line, making all 9 attempts (100.0%). Minnesota secured 30 rebounds in total, with 7 coming on the offensive end.

Guard lucy olsen provided a spark for the Mystics, shooting an extraordinary 70.0% from the field (7-for-10) and contributing 19 points, 1 rebound, and 3 assists in 17 minutes of play.

Currently holding an 8-10 record for the season, the Mystics average 78.9 points per game and 35.4 rebounds. they average 20.1 fouls per game and shoot 74.9% from the free throw line. Washington ranks 7th in the league in field goal percentage (43.0%), 11th in assists (17.9 per game), and averages 14.7 turnovers.

Defensively, the Mystics are 8th in the WNBA, allowing 80.7 points per game.Opponents shoot 30.4% from beyond the arc against them and 80.4% from the free throw line. Washington’s defense limits opponents to 18.8 assists and 32.9 rebounds per game, ranking 4th and 3rd in the league respectively, while forcing 12.8 turnovers and holding teams to a 42.2% field goal percentage (4th in the WNBA).

Looking ahead, the Mystics face a new challenge tonight. According to sports analyst Tony Sink, Chicago is favored to win tonight’s game against the spread.

Based on the provided data, what is the implied win probability for the Chicago Sky based on their moneyline odds?

Current Form & Key Stats (2025 Season)

As of July 8, 2025, the Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics are navigating a competitive WNBA season. Analyzing their recent performances is crucial for a reliable prediction.

Chicago sky: Currently holding a record of 12-8, the Sky are demonstrating strong offensive capabilities, averaging 84.5 points per game. Key to their success is kahleah Copper, consistently a top scorer in the league. Their defensive rating sits at 102.1, indicating room for improvement.

washington Mystics: The mystics are at 9-11, facing challenges with consistency. They average 79.8 points per game, relying heavily on Elena Delle Donne’s scoring prowess. Their defensive rating is 98.9, showcasing a solid defensive foundation, but struggles on the offensive end have hampered their overall record.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, the series between the Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics has been relatively even. In the last five matchups:

1. July 15, 2024: Mystics won 82-78
2. June 28, 2024: Sky won 85-80
3. August 10, 2023: Sky won 91-85
4. July 26, 2023: Mystics won 75-72
5. June 16, 2023: Sky won 88-82

This indicates a competitive rivalry with a slight edge to the Sky in recent encounters, especially at home.

Key Player Matchups

The outcome of this game will likely hinge on thes key player battles:

Kahleah Copper (Sky) vs. Elena Delle Donne (Mystics): This is the marquee matchup. Copper’s athleticism and scoring versatility will be tested against Delle Donne’s size and shooting range. Controlling this duel is paramount for both teams.

Courtney Williams (Sky) vs.natasha Cloud (Mystics): Williams’ playmaking and scoring ability will be crucial for the Sky’s offense, while Cloud’s distribution and defensive pressure will be vital for the Mystics.

Isabelle Harrison (Sky) vs. Shakira Austin (Mystics): The battle in the paint between these two centers will be significant, impacting rebounding and interior defense.

Offensive & Defensive Analysis

Chicago Sky Offense: The Sky thrive on a fast-paced offense, utilizing copper’s ability to drive to the basket and create opportunities for shooters like Marina mabrey. Their three-point shooting percentage is currently at 36.2%, a key indicator of their offensive success.

Washington Mystics Offense: The Mystics’ offense revolves around delle Donne, who commands double-teams, opening up opportunities for teammates. However, their reliance on her can become predictable. Their three-point shooting is lagging at 33.8%.

Chicago Sky Defense: While capable of strong defensive stretches,the Sky have shown vulnerabilities,particularly against teams with strong perimeter shooting. Their rebounding numbers are solid, but they can be susceptible to second-chance points.

Washington Mystics Defense: The Mystics boast a disciplined defensive scheme, focusing on limiting easy baskets and forcing turnovers. They excel at contesting shots and protecting the paint.

Injury Report (July 8, 2025)

Chicago Sky: Guard Dana Evans is listed as questionable with a minor ankle sprain.Her availability will impact the Sky’s bench depth.

Washington mystics: Forward Myisha Hines-Allen is out with a knee injury, a significant loss for the Mystics’ frontcourt.

Prediction: Chicago sky to Win

Considering the current form,head-to-head record,and key player matchups,the Chicago Sky are favored to win this game. Their stronger offensive output, coupled with the Mystics’ key injury, gives them a distinct advantage.

Predicted Score: Chicago Sky 86 – Washington Mystics 79

Betting odds & Trends (as of July 8, 2025)

Moneyline: Chicago Sky -150, washington Mystics +130

Spread: Chicago sky -3.5

Over/Under: 165.5 points

Trends:

The Sky are 7-3 against the spread at home this season.

The Mystics have struggled to cover the spread as underdogs.

Games involving the Sky have consistently exceeded the over/under total.

Fantasy WNBA Considerations

For daily fantasy basketball, consider these players:

Must-Start: Kahleah Copper (Sky), Elena Delle Donne (Mystics)

* Value Picks: Courtney