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Summer COVID Surge: US States Rising

Summer COVID Surge: What the Latest Data Means for You

The familiar hum of summer might be in the air, but for many, it’s accompanied by a growing concern: a resurgence of COVID-19. Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) paints a clear picture, with case numbers on the rise across a significant portion of the United States. As of mid-July 2025, reports indicate that cases are either growing or likely growing in at least 26 states and the District of Columbia, marking a noticeable uptick that can’t be ignored.

The impact isn’t just abstract data; emergency room visits for young children due to COVID-19 are also reaching their highest point since March, a statistic that understandably raises alarm for parents and caregivers. This summer surge aligns with a pattern that medical experts have come to recognize, with Dr. Jon LaPook, CBS News chief medical correspondent, noting that both winter and summer spikes are now a part of our understanding of the virus’s behavior. While the overall trend in deaths and hospitalizations has been gradually decreasing season over season, this current rise serves as a crucial reminder that the virus remains a present concern.

Understanding the Summer Uptick

Dr. LaPook’s insights highlight that while the long-term outlook regarding severe outcomes shows improvement, individuals, particularly those most vulnerable, need to remain vigilant. The risk is amplified for very young children (under age 4), the elderly, and the millions of immunocompromised individuals. For these groups, contracting COVID-19 can lead to severe illness.

New Variants: Nimbus and Stratus

Adding to the conversation are the latest COVID-19 variants, dubbed Nimbus and Stratus. Current assessments suggest these new strains are “no more deadly” than their predecessors. Historical data on variants like NB.1.8.1 from earlier in the year also indicated a similar lack of increased severity. Symptoms associated with these variants broadly mirror those seen in earlier strains, primarily respiratory issues like cough and sore throat, alongside systemic symptoms such as fever and fatigue.

Vaccination Strategies in a Shifting Landscape

A key piece of positive news is that the vaccines developed for this season are designed to offer protection against the current variants. However, the landscape of vaccine recommendations has become more nuanced. While the CDC website continues to emphasize the vaccine’s effectiveness against severe illness, hospitalization, and death, there’s a noted divergence in specific guidance.

Organizations like the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, for instance, actively recommend vaccination for pregnant individuals. Dr. LaPook elaborates on this, explaining the vital role of maternal immunity in protecting infants before they are eligible for vaccination themselves. The antibodies passed from mother to child through the placenta offer a crucial layer of defense.

The approach to vaccination, particularly for healthy children, is increasingly framed as a matter of “shared decision-making.” This means that discussions between individuals and their healthcare providers are paramount. The CDC, while recommending the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine for most adults aged 18 and over, particularly stresses its importance for those 65 and older, individuals at high risk for severe illness, and those who have never received a COVID-19 vaccine.

Where Cases Are on the Rise

According to CDC data, states experiencing a growth in COVID-19 cases include:

  • Arkansas
  • Hawaii
  • Illinois
  • Iowa
  • Kentucky
  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • Pennsylvania
  • Texas
  • Virginia

Additionally, cases are considered likely growing in:

  • California
  • Delaware
  • District of Columbia
  • Georgia
  • Indiana
  • Maine
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts
  • Michigan
  • Mississippi
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Oklahoma
  • South Carolina
  • Tennessee
  • Wisconsin


Navigating the Summer Ahead

The consensus from experts like Dr. LaPook is clear: “Don’t be blasé.” While summer often brings a sense of freedom and increased social activity, it’s also a period where heightened caution is warranted. The availability of updated vaccines that cover current strains is a significant advantage, but responsible personal choices remain key. Understanding your personal risk factors, staying informed about local case trends, and practicing good hygiene can all contribute to a safer summer.

The evolving nature of COVID-19, with its seasonal surges and new variants, underscores the importance of ongoing vigilance and informed decision-making. For a deeper dive into public health guidelines and the latest scientific understanding, consulting resources like the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention remains essential.

What are your strategies for staying safe and healthy during this summer surge? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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