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NYC Skyscraper Collapse Risk: The 1-in-16 Secret

by James Carter Senior News Editor

The Near-Collapse of Citigroup Center: A Story of Engineering Hubris and a Last-Minute Save

(Hook – Compelling & Intriguing) Imagine a scenario: a towering skyscraper, a symbol of financial power in the heart of Manhattan, secretly teetering on the brink of collapse. Not due to a terrorist attack, or a natural disaster, but a fundamental flaw in its very design. For years, the Citicorp Center (now 601 Lexington Avenue) stood as a testament to architectural ambition, unknowingly vulnerable to the very winds that swept through New York City. This is the story of how two sharp college students, a courageous engineer, and a fortuitous newspaper strike averted a potential catastrophe that could have claimed thousands of lives.

(AI-Identified Keyword: Citicorp Center Structural Flaw – This phrase encapsulates the core of the story and is likely to be a high-volume search term.)

(Target Audience: Readers interested in architecture, engineering, history, urban studies, and true stories of near-disasters. Specifically, those who enjoy detailed narratives with a focus on problem-solving and human drama.)


Article Body:

On October 12, 1977, the Citicorp Center pierced the New York skyline, becoming the tallest new skyscraper in the city in decades. Its distinctive sloped roof and seemingly floating design above a sunken plaza were initially met with mixed reviews, but its sheer scale and engineering prowess were undeniable. Little did New Yorkers know, this architectural marvel harbored a potentially fatal secret.

The story of the Citicorp Center’s near-disaster isn’t one of malicious intent, but of a complex interplay of architectural compromise, innovative engineering, and a critical miscalculation. The building’s unusual design stemmed from a unique challenge: a stubborn holdout. St. Peter’s Lutheran Church, nestled on a corner of the desired block, refused to sell, forcing Citicorp to build around it. An agreement was reached – the bank would construct a new church, but crucially, the skyscraper couldn’t overshadow or physically connect to it.

This constraint led architect Hugh Stubbins to structural engineer William LeMessurier with a daring proposition: could the tower cantilever over the church corner? LeMessurier, sketching on a napkin during lunch, envisioned a revolutionary solution – a skyscraper supported by stilts, resting on four corner supports instead of the traditional corner foundation.

This innovative approach, however, introduced a critical vulnerability. Supporting the 59-story building on four widely spaced columns created inherent instability, likened to balancing a heavy load on a chair with legs positioned at the middle of each side. To compensate, LeMessurier designed a complex bracing system – a network of V-shaped chevrons and mast columns anchored deep into the bedrock – effectively dividing the building into six independent structural segments. He also proposed a 400-ton tuned mass damper to counteract swaying in high winds.

Initial calculations and wind tunnel tests appeared to validate the design. The Citicorp Center opened to acclaim, propelling LeMessurier’s career to new heights. But in July 1978, just over a year after its opening, a phone call shattered that success.

The call came from Diane Hartley, a Princeton University engineering student researching tall buildings for her thesis. Hartley had requested and received detailed plans from LeMessurier’s firm. As she modeled the building’s response to wind loads, a disturbing discrepancy emerged. Her calculations showed that quartering winds – gusts hitting the building diagonally – exerted 42% more stress than perpendicular winds, a factor not accounted for in the original designs.

Initially, Hartley assumed she was the one making the mistake. “It never occurred to me that I had discovered something unusual,” she recalls. But her persistence, coupled with a follow-up from another student, led her to realize the gravity of the situation. The building, under specific wind conditions, was dangerously unstable. A power outage disabling the tuned mass damper could, in theory, lead to a catastrophic collapse, with winds strong enough to trigger such an event occurring, on average, every 16 years.

LeMessurier, facing the horrifying realization that his design contained a critical flaw, was confronted with an impossible dilemma. Disclosure meant professional ruin, but silence could cost thousands of lives. He chose to act.

Working in secrecy, and aided by the fortuitous timing of a New York newspaper strike that kept the story from public view, LeMessurier and a team of welders embarked on a frantic, months-long effort to reinforce the building. Under the cover of darkness, they strengthened the connections between the columns and beams, essentially adding a hidden steel skeleton to the structure.

The crisis remained largely unknown to the public for nearly two decades. Now, Michael M. Greenburg’s new book, “The Great Miscalculation: The Race to Save New York City’s Citicorp Tower,” meticulously details the events of 1978, highlighting the courage of LeMessurier and the crucial role played by Hartley and her colleague.

The Citicorp Center, now known as 601 Lexington Avenue, still stands today, a silent testament to a near-disaster averted. It serves as a powerful reminder of the importance of rigorous engineering, the courage to admit mistakes, and the often-unseen vulnerabilities hidden within the structures that define our cities. It’s a story not just about a building, but about the human fallibility and resilience that shape our world.


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  • External Linking: Link to reputable sources (e.g., The New York Times articles about the Citicorp Center, Princeton University’s website).
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