Gold Market Braces for Acceleration: Cyclical Rhythms Signal further Gains
The Gold market is currently experiencing a pivotal synchronization of short- and long-term cycles, bolstering expectations for further price recognition. Analysis indicates that a powerful convergence of 30, 60, 90, and 360-day cycles is solidifying a bullish trajectory, with potential targets extending toward $4,915 per ounce.
the Foundation: 30- and 60-Day Cycles
A key turning point arrived on September 28, 2025, when Gold approached the $4,000 level, establishing a base for the current advance. This formed a critical harmonic low, completing a 30-day cycle originating from the prior August peak. Subsequent price action has demonstrated resilience, with repeated dips to the $3,825-$4,018 range met with increasing buying pressure.
This price behavior mirrors a classic mean-reversion pattern within an expanding Fibonacci spiral-a signal often preceding sustained upward momentum. According to recent data from the World Gold Council, global gold demand rose 9% in the first half of 2025, underscoring strong investor interest.
90-Day Cycle Initiates Bullish Phase
the 90-day cycle,typically associated with more notable breakouts,is now actively propelling prices higher. The breach of the $4,205 level – a key variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) mean – validates the completion of the shorter-term accumulation phases. This suggests a clear path toward the $4,586 resistance level, representing the culmination of the 90-day expansion.
| VC PMI Weekly Levels | Price (USD) |
|---|---|
| Buy 2 | $3,825 |
| Buy 1 | $4,018 |
| Pivot | $4,205 |
| Sell 1 | $4,389 |
| Sell 2 | $4,586 |
The 360-Day Cycle: A Year-Long Bullish trend
From a broader outlook, the dominant 360-day cycle, which began near the October 2024 lows of $2,600, continues to exert influence. The current market phase represents the third 90-day sub-phase within this cycle-a period historically marked by the most aggressive price increases, akin to the “third wave” in Elliott Wave theory or GannS “vibration of maximum acceleration.”
This ascent coincides with macroeconomic shifts, including evolving expectations regarding interest rates and increasing demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical uncertainty. The Square of 9 harmonic projection – a technique developed by trader W.D. Gann – aligns the $4,320-$4,380 zone with a significant turning point, indicating a move into a phase of heightened volatility. Did you know that Gann’s techniques are still used by traders today, over 70 years after his death?
Geometric Resonance and Key Price Targets
Further harmonic projections from the Square of 9 identify $4,586, $4,735, and $4,915 as crucial resonance points, representing angular extensions of the prevailing trend. The convergence of the $4,586 level with the VC PMI Sell 2 Weekly zone highlights a “Time-Price Convergence” – a hallmark of Gann’s trading philosophy.
The MACD (14,3,3) on the 15-minute chart reveals a bullish crossover from negative territory, confirming increasing short-term momentum. This reinforces the expectation of continued gains within the next 30-45 days.
Pro Tip: Always utilize risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, when trading volatile assets like Gold.
Looking Ahead: Potential for an Extended Rally
If Gold sustains its position above the $4,205-$4,267 pivot cluster, it is anticipated to target the $4,460-$4,586 range. A definitive break above $4,586 would confirm the synergy between the 90-day and 360-day cycles, potentially driving prices toward the $4,735-$4,915 harmonic cluster. This cyclical compression suggests the current upswing isn’t merely a temporary rally, but the third accelerating phase of the broader bull market initiated in 2022.
what impact will central bank policies have on the Gold market in the coming months? Do you believe gold can reach $5,000 per ounce in 2026?
Understanding Cyclical Analysis in Financial Markets
Cyclical analysis, rooted in the work of W.D. Gann and others, posits that financial markets operate within predictable, recurring patterns. Thes patterns are influenced by natural cycles-such as time,price,and geometry-and can be used to forecast potential turning points. While not foolproof, cyclical analysis provides a valuable framework for understanding market dynamics and identifying potential opportunities.
Frequently asked Questions about Gold cycles
- What is a 360-day cycle in Gold trading? A 360-day cycle refers to a long-term pattern observed in Gold prices, often spanning nearly a year, influencing overall market direction.
- How does the Square of 9 apply to Gold price predictions? The Square of 9 is a geometric tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as timing for price reversals.
- What is the role of VC PMI in predicting Gold price movements? The Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) helps identify key buy and sell zones based on mean reversion principles.
- What does ‘Time-Price Convergence’ mean in the context of Gold trading? Time-price Convergence occurs when key cyclical levels align with specific price points, potentially signaling significant market moves.
- Is cyclical analysis a reliable method for Gold trading? While cyclical analysis is a useful tool,it should be used in conjunction with other forms of technical and fundamental analysis.
- What is the significance of the 90-day cycle in Gold? The 90-day cycle typically generates the most visible breakout within a quarterly rhythm and can indicate a strong bullish phase.
- How can I learn more about W.D. gann’s techniques? Numerous books and online resources are available on W.D. Gann’s trading methods, however, it requires extensive study and practice.
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