Atlas Faces Uphill Battle Against Toluca, Seeking too End Lengthy Home Losing Streak
Guadalajara, Mexico – November 1, 2025 – Atlas Football Club is navigating a challenging path to secure a spot in the final phase of the opening 2025 Liga MX tournament. Their immediate hurdle is a home match against Toluca, a team they haven’t defeated at Estadio Jalisco in over seven years.
The Stakes are High for Atlas
Atlas Currently finds itself in a precarious position, needing to win their remaining two matches and rely on favorable results from other teams to advance. The upcoming clash against Toluca represents a notable test of their resolve and a chance to defy recent history.
Historically, Atlas has maintained a strong record at home against many opponents. Though, Toluca has proven to be a persistent thorn in their side, consistently frustrating them on their own turf.
A Seven-Year Drought at Home
The last time Atlas secured a victory over Toluca in a regular-season Liga MX match at estadio Jalisco was in the Apertura 2018 season, achieving a 2-0 win with goals from Jefferson Duque and Ulises Cardona. Since then, the Red Devils have dominated the head-to-head matchups.
In the six encounters since that 2018 victory, Toluca has claimed three wins, while the other three matches ended in draws. The only exception was a 2-1 win for Atlas in the first leg of a 2019-2020 MX Cup tie, but they were ultimately eliminated in the second leg.
Recent Form and the threat of Paulinho
The recent 2-3 defeat to Toluca on Day 15 of Clausura 2025 serves as a stark reminder of the challenges Atlas faces. Portuguese striker Paulinho delivered a hat-trick in that match, further solidifying his position as a top goalscorer in the league.
Paulinho is now in contention for his second consecutive scoring title, currently tied with João Pedro on 11 goals, one ahead of Armando Gonzalez of Chivas. A successful title defense would make him the first player in the history of short tournaments to win three consecutive scoring crowns.
Did You Know? Paulinho’s hat-trick against Atlas wasn’t an isolated incident. He’s consistently been a prolific scorer in Liga MX,averaging over a goal every other game in his career.
Liga MX Top Scorers – 2025 Apertura
| Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|
| Paulinho | Toluca | 11 |
| João Pedro | [Team Name] | 11 |
| Armando Gonzalez | Chivas | 10 |
Pro Tip: Keep a close eye on Paulinho’s movement during the match. His ability to find space and capitalize on opportunities makes him a constant threat.
The Importance of Home Advantage in Liga MX
Across Liga MX, home advantage consistently plays a significant role in match outcomes. Teams often exhibit stronger performances in front of their home fans, fueled by the energy and support of their supporters.Understanding these dynamics is crucial for analyzing match predictions and evaluating team form. Recent studies suggest that home teams win approximately 45-50% of Liga MX matches, highlighting the impact of playing at home.
Frequently Asked Questions About Atlas vs. Toluca
- What is Atlas’s recent record against Toluca at home? Atlas hasn’t defeated Toluca at Estadio Jalisco in over seven years, dating back to apertura 2018.
- Who is the current top scorer in Liga MX? Paulinho of Toluca and João Pedro are currently tied for the lead with 11 goals each.
- what are the stakes for Atlas in this match? Atlas needs to win their remaining matches and hope for favorable results from other teams to qualify for the final phase.
- How does Paulinho impact his team’s success? Paulinho’s prolific goalscoring ability considerably elevates toluca’s chances of winning matches.
- Is home advantage important in Liga MX? Yes, home advantage is a significant factor, with home teams winning around 45-50% of Liga MX matches.
