The AFL Trade Landscape is Shifting: Why Player Movement Will Only Intensify
A staggering $7.5 million in draft picks was exchanged during the 2025 AFL trade period, a figure that signals a dramatic escalation in the cost of acquiring talent. While the dust has settled on moves sending Charlie Curnow to Sydney, Clayton Oliver to GWS, and Christian Petracca to Gold Coast, the underlying trends reveal a league bracing for an era of unprecedented player agency and escalating trade demands. This isn’t just about individual players; it’s a fundamental shift in the power dynamics of the AFL.
The Rising Price of Premiership Credentials
The Melbourne Demons’ willingness to dismantle a significant portion of their premiership core – trading away Oliver and Petracca – is a watershed moment. It demonstrates that even recent success isn’t enough to guarantee player retention. Teams are increasingly willing to sacrifice established stars for future draft capital, recognizing the cyclical nature of AFL success and the need for continuous list regeneration. The trade of Jack Steele to Melbourne for a relatively modest round-three selection in 2027 further highlights this; experienced leadership is valuable, but not at the cost of compromising future flexibility.
The Zach Merrett Saga: A Warning Sign for Clubs
The intense bidding war for Essendon captain Zach Merrett, ultimately unsuccessful for Hawthorn, underscores the growing leverage players now possess. The Bombers reportedly demanded an astonishing four first-round picks and a second-round selection – a price tag that reflects not just Merrett’s individual quality, but the potential disruption his departure would cause. Merrett’s direct plea to Essendon president Andrew Welsh speaks to a new level of player involvement in their own trade negotiations. This trend will likely continue, with players becoming more proactive in shaping their careers and demanding greater control over their destinations.
The Impact of Player Agency
The increasing influence of player managers and the rise of free agency are key drivers of this shift. Players are better informed about their market value and are more willing to explore their options. Clubs are facing a constant battle to retain their stars, not just with financial incentives, but with a compelling vision for the future and a commitment to player development. The Callum Ah Chee situation, potentially heading to the pre-season draft, illustrates the risk of failing to secure key players with long-term contracts.
Beyond the Big Names: The Emerging Trend of Pick Swapping
The Curnow trade to Sydney is a prime example of the sophisticated pick-swapping strategies now dominating the trade period. The Swans secured Curnow with a package of current and future draft selections, demonstrating a long-term approach to list building. This trend suggests that clubs are increasingly valuing draft capital as a strategic asset, using it to acquire players who fit their specific needs and timelines. AFL.com.au’s coverage details the intricacies of these complex negotiations.
Buckley’s Role and the Coaching Carousel
While player movement dominated headlines, the appointment of Nathan Buckley to a new role (details unspecified in the source material) highlights another critical aspect of the AFL landscape: the coaching carousel. High-profile coaches are increasingly sought after, and their ability to attract and retain players is becoming a significant factor in club success. A stable and respected coaching staff is essential for building a winning culture and navigating the complexities of the modern AFL.
Looking Ahead: The Future of AFL Trades
The 2025 trade period wasn’t just about who went where; it was a glimpse into the future of AFL list management. Expect to see even more aggressive bidding wars, a greater emphasis on draft capital, and a continued rise in player agency. Clubs will need to be proactive, strategic, and willing to adapt to the changing dynamics of the league. The era of simply holding onto star players is over; the focus is now on building sustainable success through a combination of shrewd trading, effective drafting, and a compelling club culture. What are your predictions for the 2026 AFL trade period? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
