America is exhausted, dragons and elephants dance to usher in a new order | Blog Post

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar in New Delhi today. A top Chinese visit to India for the first time since the 2020 border clash between China and India left casualties. The United States will feel that maintaining neutrality in the Russian-Ukrainian war and not condemning Russia’s two Asian powers will change the world.

President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. (Photo by Xinhua News Agency)

The media speculated that the high-level meeting between the two countries without warning this time is not only regarding the Sino-Indian border dispute. Fang Tianci, an expert on India at Tsinghua University, said in an interview with Deutsche Welle: “In the BRICS countries (BRICS) And the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), China and India are the key players.” Discord between China and India is not good for the above organizations. Under the division of the Trump administration, there have been geopolitical conflicts between China and India in the past, and India has followed the Western front to impose severe restrictions on Chinese technology.

Since 2020, India has banned more than 200 Chinese applications including social media TikTok and WeChat. At the same time, with the support of the United States, India announced that it has self-developed 5G technology, and Huawei will be shut out. On February 14 this year, the Indian government issued a new ban, banning more than 54 Chinese apps, on the grounds that “these apps pose a threat to the privacy and security of Indians”. India is extremely unfriendly to Chinese technology companies. Some commentators say that China’s economic and technological progress poses a threat to India. At the same time, the United States is deploying a battle point in the Indo-Pacific to curb China’s rise. India has no hesitation in joining the “Quartet Security Dialogue” “(Quad) organization, joined forces with the United States, Japan, and Australia to fight China.

Russia has been trying to pull China and India together in the past. According to reports, Putin visited India at the end of last year, and it was reported that Russia wanted to hold the “Russia-India-China” three-country mechanism (RIC). Putin attended the Beijing Winter Olympics and Xi Jinping announced the Sino-Russian joint statement. Observers believe that a meeting between Modi and Xi is possible due to Russia’s shuttle efforts. As a result, there was indeed a subtle interaction between China, Russia and India. “When China and India voted in the United Nations on the issue of the Russian-Ukrainian war, they almost all voted the same.” That is, the two major Asian countries refused to stand on the side of the US and the West sanctioning and condemning Russia.

India is a country that advertises non-alignment and pursues an independent diplomatic line. It has never been overly biased towards one side. Although India has an unusual relationship with the former Soviet Union and Russia, especially in military equipment, energy and commodities, all of which rely on Russia for supplies. However, this Relations will not spill over to changing relations with China. Instead, maintaining US-West relations in the Indo-Pacific and continuing to compete with China is more in line with India’s multilateral interests.

However, since the emergence of the new crown Delta variant virus, which has caused a large number of Indians to become exhausted, the United States has not provided special assistance to India, but has imposed export restrictions on the supply of vaccine materials. India has almost suffered a disaster. Later, the United States strengthened the Quartet Security dialogue, in order to win India once morest China, the vaccine issue can be loosened. Furthermore, the Russian-Ukrainian war once once more exposed the unilateral interests of the United States, requiring all allies to suffer various economic, trade and transportation losses to sanction Russia.

India can probably see that the United States is an aging hegemony today, and it lacks creativity and cannot provide growth opportunities for the world economy, except for creating bubble finance. The Belt and Road Initiative proposed by China in 2013 is a century-long grand plan that will benefit Europe, Asia-Pacific, and then enter Africa, and is conducive to the development of China’s real economy.

The world trend is “rising in the east and descending in the west”. The realization of the dragon and elephant dancing between China and India is in line with the general trend. With the addition of a resource and military power, Russia, the United States and the West will soon complete their historical tasks.