Ascot Chase 2026: Can Pic D’Orhy Make History, or Will Jonbon Reign Supreme?
The Betfair Ascot Chase on Saturday isn’t just another Grade 1 race; it’s a potential history-making moment. Pic D’Orhy stands on the cusp of becoming the first horse to win the prestigious contest three years in a row, but twelve-time Grade One winner Jonbon is a formidable opponent, and the clash is already being billed as a fascinating tussle. Experts are divided, and the outcome could signal shifting dynamics in the lead-up to the Cheltenham Festival.
The Case for Pic D’Orhy: A Course and Distance Specialist
According to analysis from Sky Sports Racing, Pic D’Orhy’s record at Ascot is exceptional, with five victories from ten starts. Declan Rix, speaking on Weekend Winners, favors Pic D’Orhy, citing value in backing the horse against the favorite. “He was dominant in this last year and this race round Ascot, at this trip, is his jam,” Rix stated. The horse’s familiarity with the track and distance is a significant advantage, particularly if jockey Harry Cobden can establish a comfortable rhythm on the front end. Host Kate Tracey echoes this sentiment, believing Pic D’Orhy is fresher coming into the race after a tough Clarence House contest where Jonbon benefited from a race that “fell apart” for his rivals.
Jonbon’s Challenge: Stamina and a Step Up in Trip
Despite Pic D’Orhy’s impressive record, Jonbon cannot be discounted. Having secured his thirteenth Grade One win, Jonbon’s stamina, demonstrated in his recent Clarence House Chase victory, is a key factor. Sam Boswell highlights that the step up in trip could suit Jonbon well, building on the stamina shown at Ascot last time out. However, Boswell also expresses concern about the ground conditions potentially hindering Pic D’Orhy’s chances, hoping Jonbon can capitalize.
Beyond the Big Two: Potential Upsetters
Even as the focus is firmly on Pic D’Orhy and Jonbon, other contenders are in the mix. Edwardstone and Blow Your Wad are expected to “outrun double-figure prices,” while Classic Maestro and Heltenham complete the sextet. Rix suggests these horses are primarily “pot hunting,” seeking to capitalize on the attention focused on the leading pair. However, a well-executed ride and favorable conditions could see one of these outsiders challenge for a place.
The Quick Turnaround: A Critical Factor
A key concern raised by Tracey is the quick turnaround between Jonbon’s Clarence House Chase win and the Ascot Chase. She believes the race fell into Jonbon’s lap, and the short recovery time could impact his performance. This highlights the importance of assessing a horse’s recovery and preparedness when evaluating their chances in closely scheduled races.
Looking Ahead: Implications for Cheltenham
The Ascot Chase is the final Grade 1 in Britain before the Cheltenham Festival, making it a crucial form indicator. A strong performance from either Pic D’Orhy or Jonbon will undoubtedly elevate their status as contenders for Cheltenham glory. The race provides valuable insights into which horses are peaking at the right time and are capable of handling the demanding conditions of the Festival.
What are your predictions for the Ascot Chase? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
