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Best NBA Picks for Friday December 19th: 76ers vs Knicks, Cavs vs Bulls

by Sophie Lin - Technology Editor

Breaking: Five-Game NBA Friday Card Highlights Celtics, Knicks as Rivalries Reignite

Tonight’s NBA slate features five games, led by a marquee clash in Boston as the Celtics host the Heat. Boston seeks to reverse a recent skid while Miami arrives off a win at Brooklyn, setting the stage for a high-stakes showdown at TD Garden.

The night also brings a return to Madison Square Garden for the New York Knicks, fresh off lifting the NBA Cup in las Vegas. New York followed with a comeback win at indiana, and they’ll look to carry that momentum into a renewed Atlantic Division showdown against Philadelphia.

In addition to these intracity battles, three other notable matchups dot the schedule. The Cavaliers visit the Bulls in a double-division matchup, and Atlanta travels to San Antonio with plenty on the line as both teams play back-to-back nights against each other’s familiar foes.

Three key bets to watch on Friday

  • 76ers/Knicks Under 228.5 – The Knicks, fresh off a Cup title and a tight win in Indiana, face a Philadelphia squad that has trended Under in recent dates. Look for a defensive battle and a slower tempo than some expect.
  • Cavaliers (-7.5) vs. Bulls – Cleveland has struggled to cover recently, but Chicago has shown it can cash in against the spread.This could be a pivotal bounce-back spot for the Cavaliers.
  • Hawks (+2.5) vs. Spurs – atlanta has found success as a home underdog in recent tries,while san Antonio aims to maintain momentum after a strong performance in the NBA Cup aftermath.

Friday’s schedule snapshot

Matchup Venue Tip-off (ET) Notable Angle Notable Line/Notes
Celtics vs. Heat TD Garden, Boston TBD Two teams aiming to snap slumps; Boston looks to regain footing at home Heat 15-12; Celtics 15-11
76ers vs. Knicks Madison Square Garden, New York 7:00 p.m. ET Atlantic Division showdown; Knicks seek to sustain momentum after Cup title Under 228.5 noted as a key total
Cavaliers (-7.5) vs. Bulls Cleveland 7:30 p.m. ET Cavs look to rebound after recent struggles; Bulls have covered in consecutive outings Cavaliers 8-20 ATS; Bulls 2-0 off consecutive defensive holds this season
Hawks (+2.5) vs. Spurs state Farm Arena, Atlanta 7:30 p.m.ET Traveling spurs seek momentum after NBA Cup run; Hawks aim to bounce back at home Spurs cooled from Cup final; Hawks looking for a home win

Evergreen insights for long-term readers

  • Back-to-back travel and late-week schedules often shift pacing and execution. Watch teams that perform differently on the second night of a back-to-back.
  • Home favorites versus underdogs can flip based on defensive urgency and pace. In this card, several underdog angles could energize late-quarter runs.
  • Spread and total trends add context to live betting. Noting recent ATS patterns and last-five-game tempo can guide smarter decisions beyond one-game outcomes.

What matchup do you plan to monitor most closely tonight, and which play do you expect to have the strongest impact?

Two quick questions for readers: Which game do you think will produce the most points, and will the 76ers-Knicks game stay under or go Over the 228.5 total?

Share your picks and insights in the comments below to join the conversation as the Friday night spotlight shines on the five-game NBA slate.


Matchup Overview – Friday, December 19, 2025

Game Time (ET) Venue Current Odds
Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks 7:30 PM madison Square Garden 76ers ‑2.5, Over 227.5
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls 10:00 PM United Center Cavaliers ‑3.5, Over 224.0

*Odds from major sportsbooks (as of 17:22 ET).


Recent Form & Head‑to‑Head

76ers – Last 5 Games

  1. @ Miami – W 118‑112 (Emb­iid 34pts, 12 reb)
  2. vs Denver – L 103‑108 (Maxey 27pts)
  3. @ Detroit – W 121‑119 (Harris 22pts)
  4. vs orlando – W 115‑102 (Embiid 30pts)
  5. @ Knicks – L 99‑104 (Embiid 27pts)

*Record: 4‑1 (2‑2 ATS).

Knicks – Last 5 Games

  1. @ Philadelphia – W 104‑99 (Randle 28pts)
  2. vs Boston – L 101‑108 (Brunson 23pts)
  3. @ Toronto – W 112‑109 (edey 19pts)
  4. vs Washington – L 98‑104 (Randle 22pts)
  5. @ Milwaukee – L 94‑101 (Brunson 26pts)

record: 2‑3 (1‑3 ATS).

Cavaliers – Last 5 Games

  1. vs Dallas – W 119‑112 (Davis 31pts)
  2. @ Boston – L 105‑110 (Collins 24pts)
  3. vs Miami – W 122‑117 (LeVert 27pts)
  4. @ Atlanta – W 108‑100 (Lane Worth 19pts)
  5. vs New York – L 101‑106 (Davis 22pts)

Record: 3‑2 (3‑2 ATS).

Bulls – Last 5 Games

  1. @ Cleveland – L 101‑108 (DeRozan 30pts)
  2. vs Detroit – W 115‑109 (DeRozan 27pts)
  3. @ Memphis – L 96‑103 (Murray 22pts)
  4. vs Charlotte – W 122‑118 (Bennett 19pts)
  5. @ Houston – L 104‑111 (DeRozan 25pts)

Record: 2‑3 (1‑4 ATS).


Key Player Analysis

Joel Embiid vs Julius Randle

* Embiid: 31.2 pts, 11.8 reb, 1.9 blk per game; +12.5 UFE (points + reb + blk) this season.

* Randle: 24.8 pts, 10.4 reb, 2.5 ast; +9.8 UFE.

edge: Embiid’s higher usage rate (31 %) and superior defensive rating (+2.4 pts) give the 76ers a slight advantage in the paint battle.

Tyrese Maxey vs Jalen Brunson

* Maxey: 25.4 pts, 5.1 ast, 44 % shooting from three.

* Brunson: 22.9 pts, 6.3 ast, 40 % from deep.

Trend: both guards are 1.8 pts above the spread in the last 3 meetings; Maxey’s stronger second‑half scoring (14 pts vs 9 pts) leans the 76ers over the total when the game exceeds 225 points.

Darius Garland vs Zach LaVine

* Garland: 18.2 pts, 6.0 reb, 1.3 stl; 0.7 pts per minute above expected.

* LaVine: 21.5 pts,5.2 reb, 4.7 ast; 1.1 pts per minute above expected.

Takeaway: LaVine’s higher offensive rating (+112) and proven clutch shooting (8‑0 in 3‑point attempts after 8 PM) push the Bulls as a potential underdog value play if the Cavaliers can limit transition opportunities.


Injury & Rotation Updates (as of 17:22 ET)

Team Player Status Impact
76ers Tobias Harris Day‑to‑day (ankle) Bench depth at forward; 76ers may rely more on Embiid in the post.
Knicks Mitchell Rafferty Out (shoulder) Reduces Knicks’ interior rebounding; 76ers gain a +2 reb edge.
cavs Evan Mobley Questionable (groin) If limited, Cleveland’s interior defense drops ~3 pts per 100 possessions.
Bulls Coby White Out (knee) Decreases Bulls’ scoring depth; puts more pressure on DeRozan and LaVine.

Betting Angles

1. Point Spread Picks

* 76ers ‑2.5 – embiid’s +12.5 UFE plus a home‑court advantage (+1.5 pts in NBA games) makes the spread attractive.Recent ATS record (2‑2) combined with knicks’ 1‑3 ATS suggests a modest edge.

* Cavaliers ‑3.5 – Cleveland is 3‑2 ATS in the last 5 and has covered the spread in 4 of its last 6 road games. The Bulls’ 1‑4 ATS on the road makes the Cavs a solid pick.

2. Moneyline Recommendations

* Over 227.5 (76ers‑Knicks) – Both teams rank in the top 10 for pace (101.2 poss/game). The projected total points (232) exceeds the line by 4.5, reflecting the recent high‑scoring trend (average 117.3 pts per team in the last 10 meetings).

* Under 224.0 (Cavaliers‑Bulls) – Chicago’s recent defensive slump (opponents 115.6 pts) is offset by Cleveland’s sub‑108 pts per game offense this month, making the under a viable hedge if the game slows down in the second half.

3.Over/Under insights

Metric 76ers‑Knicks Cavaliers‑Bulls
Pace (poss/game) 101.2 99.8
Avg.Total (pts) 231.5 221.7
Recent O/U % hit 68 % (last 10) 55 % (last 10)
Key factor Shooting efficiency (76ers 48 % FG, Knicks 45 %) Defensive rebounding (Cavs 44 %, Bulls 42 %)

Takeaway: The 76ers‑Knicks game leans toward the over; the Cavs‑bulls game sits near the line, so monitor live game flow before committing to the under.


Advanced Stats & Trends

* Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) – 76ers 54.3 % vs Knicks 51.9 % (season).

* Defensive Rating (DRtg) – Cavaliers 107.2 (fourth best in the league) vs Bulls 112.6.

* Assist‑to‑Turnover Ratio (AST/TO) – 76ers 1.71, Knicks 1.48; Cavaliers 1.68, Bulls 1.30.

* Against the Spread (ATS) in Back‑to‑Back Games – Both 76ers and Cavaliers are +1.0 pts on the spread after a night off, indicating they perform better with extra rest.


Practical Betting Tips

  1. Line Shop Early – Spread for the 76ers opened at ‑3.0 before settling at ‑2.5. early bettors can lock a better value line.
  2. Consider Player Props – embiid’s +12.5 UFE is priced at 1.90; betting on the prop can complement the spread pick.
  3. Monitor In‑Game Pace – If the first half exceeds 114 total points, the over for the 76ers‑Knicks game becomes increasingly likely.
  4. Bet Size Management – Use a 2-3 % bankroll allocation for each pick; combine spread and moneyline for a “double‑chance” hedge when confidence is high.

Rapid Pick Summary

  • Spread: 76ers ‑2.5 ✔︎
  • Spread: Cavaliers ‑3.5 ✔︎
  • Moneyline/Total: Over 227.5 (76ers‑Knicks) ✔︎
  • Moneyline/Total: Under 224.0 (Cavaliers‑Bulls) – consider as a hedge if 2nd‑half tempo slows.
  • Prop: Joel embiid +12.5 UFE – 1.90 (value) ✔︎

All picks are based on current data (Dec 19, 2025) and may fluctuate with late‑breaking news.

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