Biden is on his way to a record 80 million votes

The Democrat’s lead in popular suffrage – a margin of nearly 6 million votes – is revealed as Trump insists he won the election.


US President-elect Joe Biden is approaching a record 80 million votes as Democratic strongholds continue to process ballots and the 2020 presidential election sets new turnout records.

Biden has already set a mark for the highest number of votes for a successful presidential candidate, and President Donald Trump has also reached a new mark for the most votes for a losing candidate.

With more than 155 million votes counted and with California and New York still counting ballots, voter turnout reached 65% of all eligible voters, the highest figure since 1908, according to data from The Associated Press and the US Elections website. Project.

The increase in Biden’s total and his advantage in the popular vote – a margin of almost 6 million votes – were announced at a time when Trump has once again insisted that he won the election and his campaign and his supporters intensify their challenges to stop or postpone the certification of results, which could potentially annul the votes of the citizens.

“It’s just too loud because Donald Trump makes a lot of noise when he moves,” said Douglas Brinkley, a presidential historian at Rice University. “Once the noise clears, it will be clear that Biden had a very convincing victory.”

Currently, the former vice president leads the electoral vote by 290 to 232, but that count does not include the votes of Georgia, where Biden leads Trump by 0.3 percentage points while authorities perform a manual count. The Associated Press has not declared a winner in the entity, but if Biden’s victory is confirmed, he will have obtained 306 votes from the Electoral College to 232 from Trump, an identical margin to the one that brought the president to the White House in 2016. In At the time, Trump described it as “overwhelming.”

Trump sealed that victory with a margin of 770,000 votes in three hotly contested states, while the difference in favor of Biden would be slightly smaller, at about 45,000 votes in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin.

However, that narrower margin victory remains decisive by the standards of election law, said Rick Hasen, a professor at the University of Irvine and a voting expert.

Although the margin in favor of Biden in states like Arizona and Wisconsin may seem small – between 12,000 and 20,000 votes – these contests are not considered close enough for the results to be altered in counts or lawsuits. Typically, a recount shows changes in just a few hundred ballots. In 2000, a margin of difference of 537 votes in Florida sparked a recount and a legal dispute over the White House.

“If you talk about being disputed enough to be within what industry experts call the litigation margin, this is not within the litigation margin,” Hasen said.

A close triumph

Timothy Naftali, a presidential historian at New York University, compared the rising margins for Biden in the popular vote and the electoral vote with those of every winner of the presidential race since 1960. His Finding: Biden is right in the middle, a more contested victory than the bulky electoral victories of Barack Obama in 2008 and Ronald Reagan in 1984, but with a wider margin than Trump’s victory in 2016 or either of George W. Bush’s two victories. .

The closest analogy was Obama’s reelection, in which he won by about the same margin that Biden currently enjoys.

“Did anyone consider 2012 to be a tight win? No, ”Naftali stressed.

Despite that, Trump and his allies continue to attempt to stop the election’s certification, in an unlikely attempt to strip states of the ability to empower voters in favor of Biden.

These efforts are highly unlikely to bear fruit, but they reached a new level this week when two Republican members of Michigan’s largest county counting and counting commission managed to block the certification of votes there. They allowed the certification to proceed after an outraged backlash was unleashed, but it is an indication of how deeply Trump’s unfounded allegations of voter fraud have permeated the public.

In fact, argued Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor analyzing vote counting for the US Elections Project, Biden’s relatively tight wins in some of the most competitive states tell a different story than the one the president is promoting.

Democrats worry that the gap between the popular vote and Electoral College counts widens as Democratic voters flock to both coasts of the country and outside states with no clear political leanings. That dynamic could make it difficult for Democrats to win legislative races, creating a continuing disadvantage when promoting policies.

“If the data reveals anything, it is the way the system is unfavorable to the Democrats, not to Trump,” McDonald said.


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