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Bitcoin stagnates at USD 90,000: what factors could drive its price?

Bitcoin Price Stalls Near $90,000 as Washington Policy Decisions Loom – Is a Rally Imminent?

New York, NY – January 26, 2026 – Bitcoin is experiencing a period of consolidation, trading around $90,200 as of Friday afternoon, a slight dip of 2% from this time last year. The world’s first cryptocurrency, while enjoying a brief New Year’s rally, has struggled to break through the $95,000 barrier – a level it hasn’t consistently surpassed since an October sell-off wiped out nearly a third of its value. This pause comes as investors keenly await crucial policy decisions emanating from Washington, D.C., impacting everything from international trade to the future of digital assets. This is a breaking news development for the crypto market, and archyde.com is bringing you the latest.

Policy Uncertainty Weighs on Bitcoin

The current stagnation isn’t happening in a vacuum. Investors are holding their breath for rulings on several key issues. A Supreme Court decision on the legality of President Trump’s tariffs, initially expected today, remains outstanding, adding to the overall market uncertainty. Simultaneously, questions surrounding the leadership of the Federal Reserve and the potential for shifts in monetary policy are contributing to a cautious atmosphere. Perhaps most directly impacting the crypto space, pending cryptocurrency legislation is creating a “wait-and-see” environment.

“We are seeing a classic post-rally consolidation after Bitcoin’s strong start to 2026,” explains Jake Ostrovskis, director of over-the-counter trading at Wintermute. The market is digesting recent gains and bracing for potential catalysts – or headwinds – from Washington.

Economic Data and Rate Cut Expectations

Adding another layer of complexity, recent economic data has been surprisingly robust. This strength is tempering expectations for swift interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates generally make riskier assets like Bitcoin more attractive, so a delay in cuts is putting downward pressure on prices. “Macroeconomic data has generally been stronger than expected, modestly reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in March and likely adding more near-term pressure on prices,” notes James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares.

Why This Consolidation Could Be Constructive

Despite the current pause, some analysts view the situation positively. The recent period has seen a resolution to concerns surrounding tax-loss harvesting and fears that MSCI would exclude digital asset treasuries from major indices. “Bitcoin is consolidating around $90,000 following a prolonged sell-off linked to tax-loss harvesting and fears that MSCI will exclude digital asset treasuries from major indices,” says Brian Vieten, senior blockchain and digital asset research analyst at Siebert Financial. “With that risk now resolved, the selling pressure has practically exhausted itself.” MSCI’s decision to maintain Treasury bonds within digital asset portfolios has been a significant relief for investors.

Long-Term Optimism Remains High

Looking ahead, many remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. Butterfill predicts a potential price of $200,000 by the end of the year, while Ostrovskis believes a sustained break above $95,000 could trigger a reflexive buying surge, propelling prices into six-figure territory. “A sustained break above $95,000 will likely become reflexive,” Ostrovskis asserts. This highlights the psychological importance of key price levels in the volatile crypto market.

Evergreen Insight: Understanding Bitcoin’s price movements requires a grasp of both technical analysis (chart patterns, support/resistance levels) and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical events). Diversification remains a crucial strategy for any investor navigating the crypto landscape. Before investing in Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency, it’s essential to conduct thorough research and understand the inherent risks involved. Resources like CoinDesk, CoinMarketCap, and reputable financial news outlets can provide valuable insights.

The coming weeks promise to be pivotal for Bitcoin. The decisions made in Washington, coupled with evolving economic conditions, will undoubtedly shape the trajectory of the cryptocurrency for the remainder of 2026. Stay tuned to archyde.com for the latest updates and in-depth analysis of the digital asset market. For more on the evolving economic landscape, explore our dedicated economic news section.

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