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Carney’s Deliver‑First Doctrine: Rebuilding Canadian Power Through Projects, Not Posture

by Omar El Sayed - World Editor

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Carney Government Shifts Canada Towards Pragmatic Power, Away From Symbolic Gestures

Ottawa – Prime Minister Mark Carney is spearheading a notable re-evaluation of Canada’s approach to governance, prioritizing tangible results and strategic capacity over traditional diplomatic posturing. This shift comes amid growing acknowledgment of a changing global landscape characterized by economic pressures and a “new world order,” demanding a more assertive and pragmatic approach to national sovereignty. The current administration believes that true sovereignty is no longer asserted through rhetoric, but through a nation’s ability to deliver.

From Process to Performance: A Managerial Overhaul

The Government’s focus is markedly managerial, aiming to transform the federal bureaucracy from a system preoccupied with procedure to one focused on successful implementation. Recent initiatives like the major Projects Office, the revamped Building Canada Act, and the creation of a federal housing delivery organization underscore this commitment. The intention is for Ottawa to determine *how* projects are completed, not simply *if* they should be undertaken. This move represents a clear break from the past decade, where federal influence frequently enough relied on incentives, extensive consultations, and aligning with broadly-accepted social goals, with accountability for outcomes often diffused and timelines flexible.

Regional Disparities and the Challenge of Alignment

Achieving nationwide consensus will be a key hurdle. Provincial interests are diverse, and aligning them presents a substantial political challenge. Western provinces are prioritizing speed and increased export opportunities, while ontario focuses on bolstering competitiveness and addressing housing shortages. Quebec seeks infrastructure development without federal interference, and atlantic Canada aims for enhanced connectivity and economic growth. These objectives aren’t automatically compatible and will require skillful orchestration and demonstrated progress. Failure to deliver on promises – announcements without approvals, approvals without construction, and construction without completion – will quickly undermine central coordination efforts.

Navigating Climate policy and Political Realities

Internally, the Liberal Party faces a delicate balancing act.The recent removal of the consumer carbon tax signals a recognition of the importance of policy legitimacy and the need for visible benefits to accompany policy costs. Carney appears to be pursuing a strategy of shifting the burden from individual households to industrial-level emissions pricing, coupled with investments in emissions reduction technologies. This is a rational approach, but politically precarious, requiring the party to reconcile its historical commitment to climate activism with the realities of energy development and carbon capture technologies.

A Calculated Risk: Escalation as Negotiation Tactic?

Perhaps the most significant risk lies in the realm of foreign policy and trade. Carney’s increasingly assertive rhetoric suggests a willingness to confront global challenges directly. Experts suggest the government might potentially be employing an “escalate to de-escalate” strategy – intentionally heightening tensions to gain leverage in negotiations before seeking compromise. This tactic, though potentially effective, carries inherent dangers, particularly regarding Canada’s relationship with the United States. Canada’s influence rests not on displays of strength, but on reliability, throughput, and credibility, factors that could be undermined by unchecked escalation.

What is Carney’s Deliver‑First Doctrine?

Carney’s Deliver‑First Doctrine: Rebuilding Canadian Power Through Projects, Not Posture

For decades, Canadian foreign policy has often been characterized as a pursuit of “soft power” – influence achieved through diplomacy, aid, and cultural exchange. While valuable, this approach has arguably left Canada strategically vulnerable, lacking the tangible capabilities too consistently project influence and protect its interests on the global stage. The “Deliver-First Doctrine,” championed by figures like former Governor of the Bank of Canada, Mark Carney, proposes a notable shift: prioritizing concrete project delivery as the primary means of rebuilding Canadian power and influence. This isn’t about abandoning diplomacy, but augmenting it with demonstrable action.

The Limitations of Traditional canadian Foreign Policy

Canada’s ancient reliance on multilateralism and a reputation for peacekeeping has been a cornerstone of its international identity. However,this approach faces increasing challenges in a world marked by rising geopolitical competition and a growing emphasis on hard power.

* dependence on Alliances: Over-reliance on the United States and other allies can limit Canada’s autonomy and ability to pursue independent foreign policy objectives.

* Limited Hard Power Capabilities: Underinvestment in defense and a reluctance to project military force have constrained Canada’s ability to respond effectively to crises and deter aggression. The ongoing debate surrounding NORAD modernization exemplifies this challenge.

* Soft Power Plateau: While Canadian soft power remains significant, its impact is frequently enough diffuse and difficult to measure. It’s less effective in dealing with actors who don’t share Canada’s values or prioritize diplomatic engagement.

* economic Vulnerability: A heavy reliance on resource extraction and trade with a single partner (the US) creates economic vulnerabilities that can be exploited for political leverage.

What is the Deliver-First Doctrine?

The Deliver-First Doctrine isn’t a radical departure from Canadian values, but a pragmatic recalibration. It argues that Canada can best advance its interests and enhance its influence by focusing on delivering tangible benefits to other countries – specifically through large-scale infrastructure projects and technological collaborations.

This means:

  1. Strategic Project Selection: Identifying projects aligned with Canadian strengths (clean technology, lasting infrastructure, resource management) and the needs of partner countries.
  2. Long-Term Investment: Committing to sustained financial and technical support for these projects, going beyond short-term aid commitments.
  3. Capacity Building: Focusing on transferring knowledge and skills to local populations, ensuring projects are sustainable and contribute to long-term development.
  4. De-Risking Investment: Utilizing public funds and development finance institutions to mitigate risks and attract private sector investment.

Case Study: The Canada-Germany Hydrogen Alliance

A prime example of the Deliver-First Doctrine in action is the burgeoning Canada-Germany Hydrogen Alliance. Announced in August 2022, this initiative aims to establish a transatlantic hydrogen supply chain, with Canada exporting clean hydrogen to Germany to help diversify its energy sources and reduce its reliance on Russian gas.

this isn’t simply about selling a commodity; it’s about:

* Infrastructure Development: Building hydrogen production facilities in Canada and import terminals in Germany.

* Technological Collaboration: Sharing expertise in hydrogen technology and developing new innovations.

* Economic Partnership: creating jobs and stimulating economic growth in both countries.

* Geopolitical Alignment: Strengthening the relationship between Canada and Germany, and bolstering energy security in Europe.

This project demonstrates how Canada can leverage its natural resources and technological capabilities to deliver concrete benefits to a key ally, enhancing its influence and securing its economic interests.

Beyond Hydrogen: Expanding the Scope

the Deliver-First Doctrine isn’t limited to energy. Potential areas for expansion include:

* Critical Minerals Supply Chains: Investing in the responsible extraction and processing of critical minerals needed for the green energy transition, securing supply chains for Canada and its allies.

* Sustainable Infrastructure in Africa: Partnering with African nations to develop sustainable infrastructure projects (renewable energy, transportation, water management) that address critical development needs.

* Arctic infrastructure: Investing in infrastructure in Canada’s North to enhance connectivity, support economic development, and assert Canadian sovereignty in the Arctic region.

* Digital Infrastructure: Collaborating with developing nations to build secure and reliable digital infrastructure, promoting economic growth and digital inclusion.

Benefits of a Project-Focused Approach

Shifting towards a Deliver-First Doctrine offers several key benefits for Canada:

* Increased Influence: Demonstrable action carries more weight than rhetoric. Delivering tangible benefits builds trust and strengthens relationships.

* Economic Diversification: Investing in new industries and markets reduces Canada’s economic vulnerability.

* Enhanced Security: Strengthening economic ties with allies enhances collective security.

* Improved Global Standing: Positioning Canada as a reliable partner and a leader in addressing global challenges.

* Domestic Job creation: Large-scale infrastructure projects create jobs and stimulate economic growth within Canada.

Practical Tips for Implementation

Successfully implementing the Deliver-First doctrine requires a strategic and coordinated approach:

* Streamline Regulatory Processes: Reduce bureaucratic hurdles and expedite project approvals.

* Increase Development Finance: Expand the capacity of canadian development finance institutions to provide funding and risk mitigation for projects.

* Foster Public-Private Partnerships: Leverage private sector expertise and investment.

* Prioritize Indigenous Partnerships: Ensure meaningful consultation and participation of Indigenous communities in all projects.

* Invest in Skills Development: Train Canadians for the

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Area of Focus Previous Approach Current Approach (Carney Government)
Governance Style Process-oriented, consultative Results-oriented, managerial
Policy Focus Symbolic alignment, incentives Tangible delivery, direct investment