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Bitcoin Price consolidation: What Investors Need to Know

The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), is currently navigating a period of stabilization as various financial and economic factors influence investor outlook. Key indicators-including on-chain data, exchange-traded product (ETP) activity, and upcoming economic reports from the United States-will be crucial in determining the next phase of Bitcoin’s trajectory.


Profit-Taking Activity Slows

Recent data suggests a moderation in selling pressure compared to the previous month. The Bitcoin Realized Profit Index, which measures actual profits when Bitcoin is sold above its purchase price, reached approximately $788 million on september 9. This indicates a degree of caution among some investors,who might potentially be opting to secure profits rather than anticipate immediate price increases.

ETF Flows Demonstrate Institutional Uncertainty

Bitcoin ETF flows experienced significant fluctuations last week, oscillating between inflows and outflows. This volatility highlights ongoing uncertainty within the institutional investment community, with reactions closely tied to macroeconomic data releases, such as employment figures. Despite a significant outflow on September 4, overall weekly flows remained positive, a potentially encouraging sign for the medium term, although short-term movements remain sensitive to external news.

Spot Bitcoin ETF flow (USD)

Upcoming US Economic Data

Crypto markets are bracing for the release of several key US economic indicators on September 11. These include:

Indicator August Value Forecast
Consumer Price index (YoY) 2.9% 2.7%
core CPI (MoM) 0.3% 0.3%
CPI (MoM) 0.3% 0.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls 234K 237K
10-Year Treasury Auction Yield 4.813%

These figures are anticipated to maintain a cautious approach from the Federal Reserve, with sustained high interest rates continuing to exert pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Technical analysis: A Range-bound Market

Last week, Bitcoin successfully defended the 61.8% Fibonacci support level around $108,000 before experiencing a slight rebound. Currently, the price is trading near the 50% Fibonacci level, approximately $111,000. Historically, in bullish trends, Bitcoin typically requires 189 to 245 days to surpass its previous all-time high. based on this pattern, a breakthrough above the $124,532 peak could take at least 131 more days. In the immediate term,the price is expected to remain within the $108,000 to $113,000 range.

BTCUSD Weekly Chart

Bitcoin remains above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), confirming the continuation of the long-term upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently indicates neutral momentum.

  • A breakout above $113,000 could pave the way for a test of $124,000.
  • A decline below $108,000 might trigger a deeper retracement toward $99,000.

BTC/USD Chart - Sep 9,2025

The liquidation heatmap reveals significant liquidity clusters between $113,000 and $115,000,indicating areas of concentrated leveraged positions and a potential for increased volatility.

Binance BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap

Analysis of the cluster/footprint chart further supports this assessment:

  • $115,000 – $124,000: Strong sell imbalances suggest substantial resistance.
  • $99,000 – $104,000: Strong buy imbalances indicate key support levels.

Furthermore, the declining cumulative delta-despite a slight price increase-suggests weakening aggressive buying pressure, hinting at a potential reversal following a test of liquidity around $113,000.

BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures Cluster Chart

Key Takeaways for Traders

  • Short-Term Traders: Exercise caution and wait for definitive confirmation signals.The $108,000-$113,000 range could present opportunities for both gains and losses.
  • Long-Term Investors: The overall uptrend remains intact above the 200 SMA, but patience is advised.A sustained breakout above the all-time high may still require several months.

Understanding Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate potential areas of support or resistance. These levels are based on the Fibonacci sequence and are often used by traders to identify possible entry and exit points. The 61.8% and 50% levels mentioned in the analysis are commonly observed retracement points.

Did You know? The Fibonacci sequence appears frequently in nature and has been applied to financial markets for decades.

Pro Tip: Combining Fibonacci levels with other technical indicators, such as moving averages and RSI, can improve the accuracy of trading signals.

Frequently Asked Questions About Bitcoin’s Current Market


What are your thoughts on bitcoin’s current market situation? Share your insights in the comments below!


What risk factors could prevent Bitcoin from reaching a new all-time high within the next 131 days?

Bitcoin’s Potential All-Time High: Should You Buy or sell with 131 Days to Go?

Understanding the Current Bitcoin Landscape

As of September 11,2025,bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing renewed bullish momentum. With roughly 131 days remaining in the year, the question on every investor’s mind is: should you buy more, sell to lock in profits, or hold your current position? Several factors are converging, creating a potentially pivotal moment for the leading cryptocurrency. Analyzing these elements – market sentiment, ancient data, and upcoming catalysts – is crucial for informed decision-making. we’ll explore the arguments for both sides, considering various risk tolerances and investment strategies. This analysis will cover Bitcoin price prediction, crypto investment strategy, and digital asset management.

Historical performance & Potential for a New ATH

Bitcoin has historically demonstrated strong performance in the final quarter of the year. Looking back, the fourth quarter often sees increased institutional investment and retail participation, driving up demand.

2020: Critically important gains leading to a new all-time high (ATH) in December.

2021: Continued upward trajectory, reaching its then-ATH in november.

2022: A bear market, but even then, late-year rallies were observed.

2023: A recovery year, with Q4 showing positive momentum.

These patterns suggest a potential for Bitcoin to challenge its previous ATH of around $69,000 before the end of 2025. though, past performance is not indicative of future results. Bitcoin historical data is a useful tool, but should be used cautiously.

Bullish Arguments: Why You Might Want to Buy

Several factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin:

Halving Event Aftermath: The April 2024 halving event, which reduced the block reward for miners, historically precedes significant price increases. The full impact of this event is still unfolding.

Spot Bitcoin etfs: The approval and growing adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 have opened up Bitcoin investment to a wider audience, increasing demand. Continued inflows into these ETFs are a positive sign.

Macroeconomic Factors: Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and global economic uncertainty could drive investors towards Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset and alternative investment.

Increasing Institutional Adoption: More institutions are exploring and investing in Bitcoin, signaling growing confidence in its long-term potential.

Limited Supply: Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins remains a essential driver of its value proposition. Bitcoin scarcity is a key talking point.

Bearish Arguments: Why You Might Want to Sell

Despite the bullish signals, several risks warrant consideration:

Regulatory Uncertainty: Increased regulatory scrutiny from governments worldwide could negatively impact Bitcoin’s price. Crypto regulation remains a significant concern.

Market Corrections: Bitcoin is known for its volatility. A significant market correction is always possible, even within a broader bullish trend.

Macroeconomic Headwinds: Unexpected economic downturns or geopolitical events could trigger a risk-off sentiment, leading investors to sell their Bitcoin holdings.

Competition from Altcoins: The rise of alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) could divert investment away from Bitcoin.Altcoin market analysis is important for a holistic view.

Whale Activity: Large Bitcoin holders (“whales”) can significantly influence the market with their buying or selling activity. Monitoring Bitcoin whale movements can provide insights.

Risk Management Strategies: Balancing Potential Gains and Losses

nonetheless of your outlook, implementing robust risk management strategies is essential:

  1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Invest a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This helps mitigate the risk of buying at the top.
  2. Stop-Loss Orders: set automatic sell orders at a predetermined price level to limit potential losses.
  3. Diversification: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investment portfolio across diffrent asset classes.
  4. Take Profits: If Bitcoin reaches your target price, consider taking some profits off the table.
  5. Position Sizing: only invest what you can afford to lose.Bitcoin investment risk should be carefully assessed.

Real-World Example: The 2021 Bull Run & Subsequent Correction

The 2021 bull run saw Bitcoin surge to nearly $69,000 before experiencing a significant correction in late 2021 and throughout 2022. Investors who took profits along the way were able to mitigate their losses during the downturn. This highlights the importance of having a well-defined exit strategy. This is a prime example of Bitcoin market cycles.

Tools and Resources for Informed Decision-Making

CoinMarketCap & CoinGecko: For real-time price data and market capitalization.

TradingView: For technical analysis and charting.

Glassnode: For on-chain analytics and insights.

**Crypto News Out

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Japan Pioneers Carbon-Neutral Energy Wiht E-Methane Production

Nagaoka City, niigata Prefecture – In a significant step towards a sustainable energy future, a collaborative effort between INPEX, Osaka Gas, and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) is demonstrating the viability of producing e-methane from captured carbon dioxide and hydrogen. This innovative process aims to create a localized, carbon-neutral energy source and is poised to reshape the energy landscape.

Converting Waste into Fuel: The Nagaoka Methanation demonstration

The project, dubbed the Nagaoka Methanation Demonstration, utilizes hydrogen and carbon dioxide recovered from the Koshijihara Plant at the INPEX Nagaoka Field Office. These resources are than converted into e-methane, a synthetic natural gas, and directly injected into INPEX’s existing natural gas pipeline for distribution to consumers. This process represents a closed-loop system, minimizing carbon emissions and maximizing resource utilization.

Initiatives using CO2NNEX®
Initiatives using CO2NNEX®

Tracking Environmental value With CO2NNEX®

Central to the project’s success is the implementation of the CO2NNEX® platform, developed by MHI. This platform provides thorough visualization and management of the entire e-methane production chain, including the tracking of hydrogen and carbon dioxide sources. Moreover, it will facilitate the management of Clean Gas certificates, verifying the environmental benefits of this innovative fuel source.

Clean Gas Certificates: A New Era of Carbon accounting

The companies involved are also exploring a certificate system for Clean Gas Certificates, expanding beyond the existing framework for liquid fuels like Sustainable Aviation fuel (SAF). This system will allow for the accurate quantification and trading of the environmental value associated with e-methane and biomethane, incentivizing further investment in carbon-neutral technologies. According to a recent report by the International Energy Agency, investment in carbon capture technologies needs to increase sixfold by 2030 to meet climate goals.

Component Role in Process
Hydrogen (H2) Raw material for e-methane production.
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Raw material for e-methane production, captured from existing sources.
E-methane Synthetic natural gas produced from H2 and CO2.
CO2NNEX® Platform for tracking and managing the carbon lifecycle.
Clean Gas Certificates Verification of the environmental benefits of e-methane.

Future Implications and Industry Collaboration

This demonstration project is being supported by Japan’s New energy and Industrial Technology Development Institution (NEDO), showcasing the national commitment to renewable energy solutions. japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) is also preparing for the broader implementation of a clean fuel certificate system by 2026.

INPEX, osaka Gas, and MHI all have significant commitments to carbon neutrality. INPEX aims to provide lower-carbon energy solutions, while Osaka Gas focuses on technological development for a carbon-neutral society. MHI is positioned as a leader in carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies.

Did You Know? E-methane, when burned, doesn’t increase the net amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, as the CO2 used in its production was previously captured.

Pro Tip: Understanding the lifecycle assessment of different energy sources is crucial for making informed decisions about sustainability.

The Growing Importance of E-Methane

E-methane is gaining traction globally as a key component in the energy transition. Its compatibility with existing natural gas infrastructure makes it a cost-effective solution for decarbonizing the gas sector. Beyond Japan, similar projects are underway in Europe and North America.The potential of e-methane extends to various applications, including power generation, heating, and transportation.

Frequently asked Questions About E-Methane

  • What is e-methane? E-methane is a synthetic natural gas produced by combining captured carbon dioxide with hydrogen.
  • How does e-methane contribute to carbon neutrality? By utilizing captured CO2, e-methane prevents it from entering the atmosphere, resulting in a net-zero carbon emission cycle.
  • What is the role of Clean Gas Certificates? These certificates verify and quantify the environmental benefits of e-methane, incentivizing its production and use.
  • What is CO2NNEX®? CO2NNEX® is a platform developed by MHI for visualizing and managing the CO2 supply chain.
  • Is e-methane a viable alternative to traditional natural gas? Yes, e-methane can be blended with or replace traditional natural gas in existing infrastructure.

Will this project in Nagaoka City mark a turning point in the global pursuit of carbon-neutral energy solutions? what other innovative technologies hold the key to a sustainable future?

Share your thoughts in the comments below and join the conversation!


How does the Nagaoka Methanation Project’s use of CONNEX® address the challenges of verifying and tracking the renewable origin of e-methane compared to traditional methods?

Nagaoka Methanation Project Leverages CO₂NNEX® Digital Platform for e-Methane Clean Gas Certificate Management and Transfer

The Rise of e-Methane and Power-to-Gas Technologies

The global push for decarbonization is driving notable investment in power-to-gas (PtG) technologies, wiht e-methane – synthetic natural gas produced from renewable energy and captured carbon dioxide – emerging as a key component. This synthetic gas offers a drop-in replacement for conventional natural gas, utilizing existing infrastructure while drastically reducing carbon emissions. The Nagaoka Methanation Project in Japan exemplifies this trend,and its adoption of the CO₂NNEX® digital platform marks a significant step forward in the clear and efficient management of renewable gas certificates.

Understanding the Nagaoka Methanation Project

Located in Nagaoka City,Niigata Prefecture,the nagaoka Methanation Project is a pioneering initiative focused on producing e-methane through the sabatier process.This process combines captured CO₂ with hydrogen generated from renewable electricity (primarily solar and wind power) to create methane (CH₄). The project aims to demonstrate the viability of large-scale e-methane production and contribute to Japan’s enterprising carbon neutrality goals.

Key aspects of the project include:

CO₂ Source: Utilizing captured CO₂ from local industrial sources, minimizing the carbon footprint.

Renewable Hydrogen: Employing electrolysis powered by renewable energy sources to produce green hydrogen.

Methanation Capacity: Designed for a substantial production capacity,contributing significantly to regional gas supply.

Grid Injection: The produced e-methane is injected into the existing natural gas grid, ensuring seamless integration.

CO₂NNEX®: A Digital Backbone for e-Methane Certification

The core challenge in scaling e-methane production lies in accurately tracking and verifying the renewable origin of the gas. This is where the CO₂NNEX® digital platform comes into play. Developed by Energy Web, CO₂NNEX® provides a secure and transparent system for:

Certificate Issuance: Automatically generating Renewable gas Certificates (RGCs) based on verified e-methane production data. These certificates represent the environmental attributes of the e-methane, proving its renewable origin.

Certificate Tracking: Utilizing blockchain technology to ensure the immutable and auditable tracking of rgcs throughout their lifecycle. This prevents double-counting and ensures openness.

Certificate Transfer: Facilitating the seamless transfer of rgcs between producers,traders,and end-users,enabling a robust market for renewable gas.

Data Management: providing a centralized repository for all relevant data related to e-methane production, including CO₂ source, hydrogen production, and methanation efficiency.

Benefits of Utilizing CO₂NNEX® in the Nagaoka Project

Implementing CO₂NNEX® within the Nagaoka Methanation Project delivers several key benefits:

Enhanced transparency: blockchain-based tracking builds trust and confidence in the renewable origin of the e-methane.

streamlined Compliance: Automated certificate issuance simplifies compliance with renewable gas regulations and standards.

Market Access: Facilitates access to growing markets for renewable gas and RGCs, unlocking new revenue streams.

reduced Administrative Costs: Automates manual processes, reducing administrative burden and costs associated with certificate management.

Improved Data Accuracy: Ensures data integrity and accuracy, leading to more reliable reporting and decision-making.

The Role of Renewable Gas Certificates (RGCs)

Renewable Gas Certificates (RGCs) are crucial for verifying and monetizing the environmental benefits of e-methane. Each RGC typically represents 1 MWh of renewable thermal energy. They function similarly to Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) used in the electricity sector.

Here’s how RGCs work within the CO₂NNEX® framework:

  1. Production Verification: The Nagaoka project’s e-methane production is independently verified against established standards.
  2. Certificate Generation: CO₂NNEX® automatically generates RGCs based on the verified production volume.
  3. Certificate registration: The RGCs are registered on the Energy Web blockchain, creating a unique and immutable record.
  4. Certificate trading: RGCs can be traded on dedicated marketplaces, allowing companies to offset their carbon footprint or meet renewable energy targets.
  5. Certificate Retirement: End-users retire the RGCs to claim the environmental benefits of the e-methane they consume.

Implications for the Future of e-Methane and PtG

The Nagaoka Methanation Project, coupled with the CO₂NNEX® platform, serves as a blueprint for scaling e-methane production globally. This prosperous implementation demonstrates the feasibility of:

decarbonizing the gas Sector: replacing fossil natural gas with renewable e-methane significantly reduces greenhouse gas emissions.

Leveraging Existing Infrastructure: Utilizing existing natural gas pipelines and storage facilities minimizes infrastructure investment.

Creating a Circular Carbon Economy: Capturing and utilizing CO₂ as a feedstock for e-methane production promotes a circular economy.

* Driving Innovation in PtG Technologies: Encouraging further research and progress in electrolysis

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