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New Delhi – India is at a pivotal moment as it seeks to integrate artificial intelligence into its economy and society, a drive underscored by a recent summit hosted by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The convergence of India’s ambitions with the capabilities of US tech giants like OpenAI, Google and Anthropic is raising complex questions about technological dependence and national sovereignty, particularly as the nation anticipates a potentially transformative period coinciding with its 80th anniversary of independence in 2027.
Modi framed the potential of AI as a civilizational reset, comparing its impact to the discovery of fire. The AI Impact Summit in Delhi saw announcements of deals aimed at expanding access to AI tools like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude. However, this pursuit of technological advancement is unfolding against a backdrop of geopolitical competition, with the United States actively seeking to strengthen its technological ties with India as a counterweight to China’s influence.
The US government, viewing AI as central to its strategic competition with China, has been actively facilitating partnerships with Indian counterparts. A key element of this effort is the “Pax Silica” technology agreement, designed to foster closer collaboration between the US and India in the realm of technology and to steer India away from reliance on Chinese AI models. Jacob Helberg, the US under secretary of state for economic affairs, emphasized the perceived risks of relying on alternative AI sources, referencing a suspected Chinese cyberattack on Mumbai in 2020 – an incident where, according to Helberg, “we have seen the lights of a great Indian city extinguished by a keystroke.”
India’s reliance on external sources for essential components like semiconductors, power infrastructure, and data centers presents a significant challenge to its AI ambitions. The nation faces a critical choice between aligning with US or Chinese AI ecosystems, a decision with profound implications for its future economic and political trajectory. Stuart Russell, a professor of artificial intelligence at the University of California, Berkeley, suggests that if artificial general intelligence (AGI) is achieved, AI could come to dominate global economic output, potentially controlling as much as 80% of it.
The Pax Silica Agreement and US-India Tech Alignment
The Pax Silica agreement represents a strategic move by the US to solidify its technological partnership with India. US officials have characterized the agreement as an alliance between two democracies that have “broken centuries of colonial rule,” framing it as a collaborative effort to build a future based on shared values. Michael Kratsios, Donald Trump’s former science and technology advisor, argued that building on the “American AI stack” would provide India with a secure and independently controlled technological foundation. He stated, “Any country that builds on top of the American AI stack will have the most open, independently controlled, secured stack the world has to offer.”
Prime Minister Modi meets with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman at the India AI Impact Summit 2026.
Sovereignty Concerns and the Path Forward
Despite the allure of US technological partnership, concerns remain within India about potential digital dependence. Shri Krishnan, Modi’s tech secretary, acknowledged the demand to align with “like-minded countries” to avoid becoming “enslaved” by technological reliance. OpenAI’s head of global policy, Chris Lehane, attempted to assuage these concerns, stating that the company views India as a “strategic partner” rather than merely a customer. However, skepticism persists, with some observers, like Stuart Russell, suggesting that Silicon Valley companies may prioritize user engagement – potentially creating “AI addicts” – over genuine technological empowerment.
India is investing heavily in developing its own data center capacity and semiconductor manufacturing capabilities, but these efforts will take years to materialize. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman acknowledged the challenges facing Indian entrepreneurs attempting to compete in the foundational AI space, bluntly stating, “Look, the way this works is we’re going to tell you it’s totally hopeless to compete with us on training foundation and you shouldn’t even endeavor, and it’s your job to try anyway and I believe both of those things.”
As India navigates this complex landscape, it can leverage its position to demand adaptations of US AI models to its diverse linguistic and cultural context, and to establish robust safeguards. Joanna Shields, a former Facebook and Google executive, cautioned against the dangers of a “monoculture” based on a limited number of AI models, warning that it could erode cultural diversity. The path forward for India will require a delicate balance between embracing the opportunities presented by AI and safeguarding its own technological sovereignty.
The coming years will be critical as India attempts to harness the power of AI while mitigating the risks of technological dependence. The success of this endeavor will not only shape India’s economic future but too its position on the global stage. Further developments in India’s AI strategy, including specific policy decisions and investment plans, will be closely watched.
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