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Singaporean motorists are experiencing a rare shift in the vehicle market as Certificate of Entitlement (COE) premiums for larger, more powerful cars (Category B) have fallen below those for smaller, less powerful vehicles (Category A). This reversal, last seen in March 2020, occurred during the latest COE bidding exercise on Friday, February 20, 2026. Category B premiums decreased by 5.3 percent, settling at $105,001, while Category A premiums rose slightly to $106,501, an increase of $181 from the previous exercise. This change in COE pricing comes amidst broader economic considerations for vehicle ownership in Singapore.
The unexpected dip in larger car COE prices coincides with scrutiny surrounding reports of Singaporean citizens potentially participating in the conflict in Gaza. The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) has acknowledged receiving information suggesting that two Singaporeans may have fought alongside the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), but stated it currently lacks substantiated evidence to confirm these claims. This situation has prompted a government investigation into the matter.
COE Premium Reversal: A Closer Look
The fall in Category B COE premiums to below Category A is an unusual occurrence, signaling a potential shift in demand or economic factors influencing the vehicle market. According to Channel News Asia, the last time this happened was in March 2020. The latest bidding exercise also marks the first since Prime Minister Lawrence Wong announced a 45 percentage point reduction in the Preferential Additional Registration Fee (PARF) rebate. Full COE results are available on Motorist.
The COE system is designed to manage vehicle population growth in Singapore. Premiums fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the number of vehicles allowed on the road. The recent changes suggest a potential cooling in demand for larger vehicles, or a response to the adjusted PARF rebate. The impact of these changes on car sales and overall vehicle ownership costs remains to be seen.
Singaporeans and the Gaza Conflict: Investigation Underway
Reports surfaced indicating that nearly 200 Southeast Asians, including two Singaporeans, may have served in the Israeli military, according to IDF data. But, the MHA has stated We see currently unable to verify these claims. The Ministry is actively investigating the reports to determine the extent of any Singaporean involvement in the conflict.
The potential participation of Singaporeans in a foreign conflict raises complex legal and diplomatic considerations. Singapore’s laws generally prohibit its citizens from serving in foreign armed forces without official permission. The MHA’s investigation will likely focus on determining whether any laws were violated and assessing the circumstances surrounding the alleged involvement.
Thousands of Western nationals have also reportedly fought in Israel’s war on Gaza, according to Al Jazeera. War risk insurance premiums for shipments to Israel have also increased significantly, rising to between 0.7% and 1.0% of the value of a ship, a threefold increase from the previous week, as the conflict with Iran escalates, Insurance Journal reports. These premiums peaked at over 2% in November 2023 following the initial Hamas attack on Israel.
What to Expect Next
The MHA is expected to provide further updates on its investigation into the alleged involvement of Singaporeans in the Gaza conflict as more information becomes available. The COE market will continue to be monitored for further fluctuations and the impact of the PARF rebate adjustment. Motorists and potential car buyers should stay informed about COE trends and government policies to make informed decisions about vehicle purchases.
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