INDIANAPOLIS – As the Big East regular season winds down, both the Creighton Bluejays and the Butler Bulldogs find themselves vying for improved positioning heading into the conference tournament. Both teams face crucial matchups, with Butler hosting Creighton on Wednesday, March 4th, at Hinkle Fieldhouse. The game, slated for a 6:00 PM EST tip-off and televised on FS1, presents a significant opportunity for both squads to bolster their tournament resumes. Butler is closing out its home schedule with this contest.
Despite recent struggles, the stakes remain high. Creighton (14-16, 8-11 in the Big East) can secure a first-round bye in the upcoming Big East tournament with a win and some help from other results. Butler (15-14, 6-12 in the Big East) is also looking to improve its seeding, currently tied with Xavier for eighth place in the conference. Both teams are angling for better positioning as the tournament approaches.
According to Caesars Sportsbook, Butler opened as a 2.5-point favorite. The moneyline currently has Butler at -145 and Creighton at +122. The over/under is set at 155.5 points (-110 for both sides). These odds reflect the close nature of the matchup and the importance of home-court advantage.
Key Betting Trends
Recent performance against the spread paints a stark contrast between the two teams. Creighton has struggled to cover, going 1-13 against the spread in its last 14 games. Conversely, Butler has been solid, covering in 4 of its last 5 games. However, Butler has a less impressive 4-8 ATS record in its last 12 home games. The over has hit in 12 of Creighton’s last 18 games, while Creighton is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings against Butler. These trends suggest a potential edge for Butler, particularly given their home-court performance.
Finley Bizjack: Butler’s Key to Success
All eyes will be on Butler guard Finley Bizjack, who leads the Bulldogs in scoring with an average of 17.3 points per game. He also contributes 2.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists, and is Butler’s primary threat from beyond the arc, shooting 35.4%. Bizjack’s performance will be critical if Butler hopes to secure a win.
Why Butler Has the Edge
Beyond the betting trends, statistical analysis suggests Butler has a distinct advantage at home. Creighton’s effective field goal percentage drops by 6% when playing on the road, and their scoring margin decreases from a positive 4.8 to a negative 5.7. In contrast, Butler’s effective field goal percentage improves by 4.8% at Hinkle Fieldhouse, and their scoring margin jumps from -4.8 on the road to +8.7 at home. Butler demonstrates more disciplined play, ranking 60th in effective possession ratio compared to Creighton’s 230th. These factors point towards a favorable outcome for the Bulldogs.
The teams previously met on December 30, 2025, with Creighton securing an 89-85 victory in Omaha. In that contest, Jasen Green led Creighton with 23 points, while Yohan Traore paced Butler with 20. The previous matchup was closely contested, suggesting another tight game is likely.
The pick is Butler -2.5 (-110).
As both teams prepare for the Big East tournament, Wednesday’s game carries significant weight. The outcome will not only impact their seeding but also their momentum heading into the postseason. Fans can expect a hard-fought contest with high stakes.
What are your thoughts on this matchup? Share your predictions in the comments below!
