Urgent Breaking News: Tropical Disturbance Four-E Could Become Tropical Storm Near Southwest Mexico Coast
A low-pressure system off the Mexican Pacific coast is rapidly organizing and threatening to become a tropical storm within the next few hours. Designated as Potential Tropical Disturbance Four-E (PTC 4-E), this weather phenomenon has triggered a watch for a broad stretch of the coast of southwest Mexico. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is closely monitoring the situation.
Current Status and Forecast
As of this Friday morning, PTC 4-E is located approximately 475 kilometers south of Zihuatanejo in the Mexican state of Guerrero. It is moving north at a speed of 15 kilometers per hour, with sustained winds close to 55 kilometers per hour. Satellite imagery and data indicate an increasing organization within the system.
Impact on Mexican Coasts
Forecasts predict that PTC 4-E will shift its trajectory to the northwest and then move west over the weekend. If this path continues, the storm’s center will move parallel to the Mexican southwest coast without making landfall but close enough to generate significant climatic impacts. The probability of it becoming a tropical storm within the next 48 hours remains at 100%, according to the NHC.
Tropical Storm Watch Issued
The NHC has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo. This notice implies that tropical storm conditions, including strong wind gusts and heavy rain, could affect these areas within the next 48 hours. The watch may be extended further northward as the system progresses.
Education and Context
The development of PTC 4-E is favored by warm waters, which support its intensification. However, the system’s size and the presence of wind shear at higher altitudes may slow its strengthening in the next 36 to 48 hours. If PTC 4-E reaches tropical storm status, it will be named “Dalila,” the fourth official name for the 2025 Eastern Pacific Hurricane season.
Regional Exposure and Preparations
The Mexican states most likely to be affected include Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima. PTC 4-E is expected to bring external storm bands that could cause heavy rainfall over mountainous areas, increasing the risk of flash flooding and landslides. Forecasted rainfall amounts are between 50 to 100 millimeters, with localized spots potentially reaching 150 millimeters over the weekend.
Next Steps and Staying Informed
Local residents and authorities are urged to stay informed and take necessary precautions as PTC 4-E continues to develop. For the latest updates and detailed forecasts, keep visiting archyde.com, your go-to source for breaking news and real-time weather updates.
As the weather pattern evolves, make sure to follow guidance from local authorities and emergency services. Preparing early and staying updated is crucial for wellbeing and safety.