Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces: WNBA Playoffs Game 4 – Insights, Odds, and Predictions for September 28

Aces Poised to Close Out Fever in Game 4: Betting Breakdown & Predictions

Indianapolis, IN – The Las Vegas Aces hold a 2-1 series lead over the Indiana Fever after an 84-72 Game 3 victory, fueled by Jackie young’s 25 points and Chelsea Gray’s 15. Despite a quiet performance from A’ja Wilson (6-of-20 shooting,13 points),the Aces demonstrated their championship mettle,tightening their defence in the fourth quarter and securing a crucial win. Game 4 is set for Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse (3 p.m. ET on ABC), where Las Vegas looks to close out the series and the Fever aim to extend it.

Indiana struggled from the field (31.7% 6-for-19 from deep) and couldn’t capitalize on lexie Hull’s strong showing (16 points, 10 rebounds).With Caitlin Clark sidelined due to a groin injury, the Fever face an uphill battle against the experienced Aces.

Key Betting Angles & Player Props for Game 4:

The current total of 159.5 (-105) reflects the series trend of controlled scoring. Considering Indiana’s shooting struggles, the Under appears a prudent bet unless the Fever considerably improve their efficiency.

The Aces -4.5 spread (-110) aligns with their late-game control in Game 3, making them a strong consideration to cover. A compelling player prop is Lexie Hull over 9.5 Points (+100).With increased minutes due to Indiana’s roster limitations, hull offers good value, having already surpassed this total in Game 3.

Betting Recommendations:

Bet Type	Selection	BetMGM Odds	FanDuel Odds
Total	Under 159.5	-105	-105
Spread	Aces -4.5	-110	-110
Player Points	Lexie Hull O 9.5	+100	+100
Money Line	Aces	-200	-200

Player Prop Insights:

* Chelsea gray O 10 Points (-128): Gray’s consistency and playmaking ability make her a safe bet to exceed 10 points.
* NaLyssa Smith O 10 Points (-106): smith has been a valuable addition for the Aces, and her performance in recent games suggests she’ll continue to contribute offensively.

Game 4 Details:

* When: Sunday, September 28, 2025
* Time: 3:00 PM ET
* Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
* TV: ESPN2
* Live Stream: Fubo

The Aces’ experience and late-game composure position them favorably to close out the series in Game 4. While a spirited effort from the Fever is anticipated, the Aces remain the clear favorites.

What strategic adjustments might the Indiana Fever implement to disrupt A’ja Wilson’s scoring and rebounding dominance in Game 4?

Current Series Standings & Game Context

The Indiana Fever trail the Las Vegas Aces 2-1 in the best-of-five WNBA Finals. Game 4, taking place on September 28th, is a crucial matchup. A win for the Aces secures their second consecutive championship, while a Fever victory forces a decisive Game 5 back in Las vegas. This series has been characterized by intense competition, star performances, and dramatic shifts in momentum, making it one of the most compelling WNBA Finals in recent memory. Key storylines include Caitlin Clark’s impact, A’ja Wilson’s dominance, and the overall team depth of both franchises.

Team Form & Key Player Performances

Indiana Fever

The Fever are coming off a hard-fought victory in Game 3,fueled by a strong performance from Caitlin Clark and a collective defensive effort.

* Caitlin Clark: Averaging 18.3 points and 6.7 assists in the Finals, Clark continues to be a focal point for the Fever offense. Her ability to create shots and draw fouls is paramount to their success.

* Aliyah Boston: Boston’s rebounding and interior defence are vital. She’s averaging 10.7 rebounds per game in the series.

* NaLyssa Smith: Smith provides a consistent scoring threat, averaging 14.7 points.

* Recent Performance: The Fever’s win in Game 3 demonstrated their resilience and ability to perform under pressure. However, consistency remains a concern.

Las vegas Aces

The Aces, despite losing Game 3, remain the favorites. their experienced roster and championship pedigree make them a formidable opponent.

* A’ja Wilson: Wilson is the reigning WNBA MVP and a dominant force. She’s averaging 22.3 points and 11.7 rebounds in the Finals.

* Chelsea Gray: Gray’s playmaking and scoring ability are crucial to the Aces’ offense. she’s averaging 16.7 points and 7.3 assists.

* Kelsey Plum: Plum provides a consistent scoring punch, averaging 15.3 points.

* Recent Performance: The Aces’ loss in Game 3 was uncharacteristic, but they are expected to bounce back with a strong performance in Game 4. their offensive firepower and defensive versatility remain critically important advantages.

Head-to-Head Record & Historical Data

Throughout the 2024 regular season, the Aces won three out of four matchups against the Fever. However, the playoffs present a different dynamic.The Fever’s Game 3 win proves they can compete with, and defeat, the Aces. Analyzing past games reveals the Aces’ strength in transition offense and the Fever’s reliance on three-point shooting. The Aces typically control the paint, while the Fever attempt to spread the floor.

Betting Odds & Predictions (September 28th)

As of September 28th,the betting odds favor the Las Vegas Aces:

* Moneyline: Aces -250,Fever +200

* Spread: Aces -6.5, Fever +6.5

* over/Under: 175.5 points

Prediction: While the Fever demonstrated their capability in Game 3, the Aces’ experience and overall talent are likely to prevail on their home court. Expect a closely contested game, but the Aces are predicted to win by a margin of 3-5 points. A key factor will be the Aces’ ability to contain Caitlin Clark and limit her scoring opportunities.

Key Matchups to Watch

* A’ja Wilson vs. Aliyah Boston: This interior battle will be crucial. Wilson’s scoring and rebounding will test Boston’s defensive capabilities.

* Chelsea Gray vs. Caitlin Clark: The matchup between these two playmakers will dictate the pace and flow of the game.

* Kelsey Plum vs. Indiana’s perimeter Defense: Plum’s ability to create shots off the dribble will challenge the Fever’s perimeter defenders.

Strategic Considerations & Coaching Adjustments

Expect both coaches to make strategic adjustments based on Game 3. The Fever will likely focus on double-teaming A’ja Wilson and forcing other Aces players to make plays. The Aces will likely prioritize limiting Caitlin Clark’s open looks and controlling the boards. Effective use of bench players and timely substitutions will also be critical.

WNBA Finals injury Report (September 28th)

* Indiana Fever: No significant injuries reported.

* Las Vegas Aces: No significant injuries