Klay Thompson’s Ascent: How Lillard’s Injury Fuels a Three-Point Milestone
The NBA landscape shifted dramatically this offseason, not just with player movement, but with a significant injury. Damian Lillard’s Achilles tear, sidelining him for the foreseeable future, has inadvertently opened a window of opportunity for Dallas Mavericks guard Klay Thompson. While sympathy for Lillard’s setback is widespread, the statistical reality is stark: Thompson is now poised to surpass him on the all-time three-pointers made leaderboard, a climb that was already within reach but now feels significantly accelerated.
Currently, Thompson sits at fifth all-time with 2,697 three-pointers, just 107 behind Lillard’s 2,804. Ray Allen, the NBA’s all-time leader, remains 276 ahead of Thompson. But the path to fourth place, and potentially beyond, is now clearer than ever.
The Numbers Game: Predicting Thompson’s Timeline
Thompson’s consistency is remarkable. He’s averaged at least three three-pointers per game in every season since his fourth year in the league. Last season alone, he drained 216 from beyond the arc. If he maintains that pace – and plays 70+ games – he’s projected to hit between 180-200 three-pointers this season.
Based on his average of three per game, Thompson is on track to surpass Lillard around January 8th, 2025, in a matchup against the Utah Jazz. However, even a slight dip in games played or shooting percentage could shift that date. A particularly compelling scenario? Thompson could potentially pass Lillard during the NBA’s Rivals Week, on January 22nd, against his former team, the Golden State Warriors, sharing the moment with Steph Curry, the current all-time leader.
Beyond Lillard: Thompson’s Resilience and Inspiration
Some will undoubtedly frame Thompson’s ascent as solely a product of Lillard’s misfortune. But that narrative overlooks Thompson’s own incredible journey. He’s battled back from both an ACL and Achilles tear, missing the entire 2019-20 and 2020-21 seasons. His dedication to rehabilitation and his unwavering shooting prowess are a testament to his resilience.
Thompson’s choice of the number 31 upon joining the Mavericks wasn’t arbitrary. He explicitly cited Reggie Miller, a childhood idol and iconic shooter, as a primary inspiration. “I loved Reggie Miller growing up,” Thompson stated after surpassing Miller on the leaderboard last season. “I watched his film and game-winners my whole life. He’s always inspired me to shoot the ball and be a killer. It’s just surreal.” This connection to basketball history underscores Thompson’s respect for the game and his drive to leave his own mark.
The Long View: Can Thompson Challenge Ray Allen?
While surpassing Lillard is a realistic goal for this season, catching Ray Allen’s record of 2,973 three-pointers remains a more distant prospect. However, given Thompson’s longevity and continued dedication, it’s not entirely out of the question. Current projections suggest he could potentially surpass Allen sometime during the 2026-27 season, assuming he remains healthy and continues to play at a high level.
The Mavericks’ Role: Maximizing Thompson’s Impact
Thompson’s success isn’t solely dependent on his individual skill. The Dallas Mavericks’ offensive system will play a crucial role in maximizing his opportunities. While the team may lack the consistent playmaking of the Warriors dynasty, finding ways to consistently get Thompson open looks will be paramount. His ability to create space and shoot efficiently makes him a valuable asset, but the Mavericks must prioritize ball movement and off-ball screens to unlock his full potential. Analyzing the Mavericks’ offensive strategies will be key to understanding how Thompson integrates into the team’s overall approach.
The story of Klay Thompson isn’t just about three-pointers; it’s about perseverance, inspiration, and the relentless pursuit of excellence. His climb up the leaderboard, accelerated by unforeseen circumstances, is a compelling narrative that will captivate NBA fans throughout the season. As Thompson closes in on Lillard, and potentially sets his sights on Ray Allen, the debate over the greatest shooters of all time will undoubtedly intensify.
What impact will Klay Thompson have on the Mavericks this season? Share your predictions in the comments below!
