Antananarivo, Madagascar – A swift and dramatic shift in power has taken place in Madagascar, with Colonel Michael Randrianirina confirmed as the nation’s recent president following weeks of protests and the flight of former President Andry Rajoelina. The move, orchestrated amidst a constitutional crisis, has simultaneously elevated Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko, previously the head of the opposition, to the position of President of the National Assembly, and sparked speculation about a potential realignment of Madagascar’s foreign policy towards Moscow.
The events unfolded rapidly in mid-October 2025. Weeks of demonstrations, largely driven by Madagascar’s “Gen Z” population protesting systemic poverty, culminated in a power vacuum. On October 14, 2025, the High Constitutional Court, responding to a request filed two days prior, declared a vacancy at the highest level of state and authorized Colonel Randrianirina to assume presidential duties. This decision effectively ended Rajoelina’s presidency and paved the way for the military to take control, suspending several key institutions including the Senate, the High Constitutional Court, and the Independent National Electoral Electoral Commission, as reported by Al Jazeera.
Randrianirina, a former governor of the Androy region – one of Madagascar’s poorest areas – and a senior military commander, was formally invested as president on October 17, 2025. (RIJASOLO/AFP). Still, the most intriguing development may be the ascent of Siteny Randrianasoloniaiko. He was elected President of the National Assembly on October 15, 2025, solidifying his position in the new political landscape.
Randrianasoloniaiko’s Rise and Potential Russian Alignment
Prior to the recent upheaval, Randrianasoloniaiko was already described as “the man of Moscow,” suggesting pre-existing ties to Russia. Now, with increased influence, he is reportedly positioned to advocate for closer relations between Madagascar and Russia. The Le Monde report indicates that Randrianasoloniaiko appeared satisfied while observing the unfolding events on October 14, 2025, from within the Capsat headquarters – the military unit that initiated the takeover.
Randrianirina himself has a complex background. Born in 1974 in the village of Sevohipoty, he previously served as Governor of Androy from 2016 to 2018, according to Wikipedia. He also spent time in a maximum-security prison, a detail highlighted by the BBC, before joining the protests against the previous administration. The military, under Randrianirina, has stated it will rule the country for up to two years, alongside a transitional government, before organizing new elections. During this period, a referendum will be held to establish a new constitution.
The Path Forward for Madagascar
The immediate future of Madagascar remains uncertain. The military’s stated intention to hold a referendum and organize elections within two years offers a potential path towards a return to civilian rule. However, the extent of Randrianasoloniaiko’s influence and the potential for a shift in foreign policy towards Russia will be key factors to watch. The suspension of key institutions raises concerns about the rule of law and the protection of democratic processes.
The events in Madagascar underscore the growing instability in the region and the potential for military intervention in response to popular discontent. The role of “Gen Z” in initiating the protests highlights the increasing political awareness and activism of young people in Africa. As Madagascar navigates this period of transition, the international community will be closely monitoring the situation to ensure a peaceful and democratic outcome.
What comes next for Madagascar will depend on the military’s commitment to its stated timeline and the ability of all stakeholders to engage in constructive dialogue. Share your thoughts in the comments below, and please share this article with your network.
