Bitcoin Bull Run Brewing? Long-Term Holders Signal Market Shift
December 30, 2025 – In a potentially game-changing development for the cryptocurrency market, major selling pressure on Bitcoin is easing, according to new analysis. Long-term Bitcoin holders, often considered the ‘smart money’ in the space, have recently flipped to net buyers, a signal that could foreshadow a significant market shift. This breaking news, closely monitored by investors and industry experts, is already generating buzz and could be a key indicator for a potential bull run. We’re bringing you this breaking news directly, optimized for Google News and SEO to keep you ahead of the curve.
The Halt of Long-Term Selling: A Turning Point?
Data from on-chain analysis, shared by Matthew Siegel of VanEck and Kiyoung Ki, CEO of CryptoQuant, reveals that the selling activity from long-term Bitcoin holders has essentially stopped. Siegel noted this is the highest level since 2019. Long-term holders (LTHs) are typically defined as entities holding Bitcoin for over 155 days. The shift is visually represented in a chart showing the 30-day supply change for LTHs: blue bars above the zero line indicate buying, while red bars below signify selling.
Currently, the chart shows a clear transition from red to blue, indicating a cessation of large-scale selling by these key market participants. This is particularly noteworthy because LTHs often act as counter-cyclical investors – buying during periods of fear and selling during times of exuberance. The fact that they’ve largely exhausted their planned selling at current prices suggests a bottom may be forming.
Why This Matters: Removing a Major Headwind
The prolonged selling by LTHs has been a significant drag on Bitcoin’s price throughout much of 2025. Removing this pressure is crucial. Historically, when LTHs stop selling, it often precedes a period of price consolidation or, more optimistically, a renewed upward trend. If demand remains stable or increases in the absence of this selling pressure, the potential for a price surge becomes significantly higher.
It’s also worth noting Bitcoin’s performance this year. Despite a 5.19% decline since January 1st, historical patterns suggest a strong rebound is possible. In years where major cryptocurrencies experienced annual losses, the following year saw an average gain of 124.5%.
Beyond the Headlines: Understanding Bitcoin Market Cycles
Understanding Bitcoin’s market cycles is essential for any investor. LTH behavior is a critical component of this understanding. These holders aren’t driven by short-term speculation; their actions reflect a long-term belief in Bitcoin’s potential. Their accumulation during bear markets provides a foundation for future price appreciation. This isn’t just about technical analysis; it’s about understanding the psychology of the market and the motivations of its key players.
However, not everyone is convinced a bull run is imminent. Mike Novogratz of Galaxy Digital believes Bitcoin needs to reclaim the $100,000 level before a true bull market can be declared. This highlights the importance of cautious optimism and continued monitoring of market indicators.
The current shift in LTH behavior is a positive sign, but it’s just one piece of the puzzle. Factors like macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and institutional adoption will also play a crucial role in shaping Bitcoin’s future. Stay informed and stay ahead of the curve with archyde.com, your source for the latest in cryptocurrency news and analysis. For more in-depth coverage of Bitcoin and the broader digital asset space, explore our dedicated Bitcoin section and subscribe to our newsletter for exclusive insights.
