National Academies Expedite Climate Assessment Initiative to Address Urgent Environmental Concerns

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National Academies to Review EPA’s Climate Science Basis Amidst Trump-Era scrutiny

Washington D.C. – The National academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine announced today it will undertake a rapid review of the scientific evidence underpinning the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) 2009 “endangerment finding” – the determination that greenhouse gas emissions threaten public health and welfare. This move comes in response to a recent report commissioned by the Department of Energy (DOE) during the Trump administration, which has been widely criticized by climate scientists as being based on a narrow and dissenting viewpoint.

The DOE report, released earlier this year, prompted concerns about a potential rollback of climate regulations. Critics argue the report cherry-picked data and relied on experts representing a fringe minority within the scientific community. The National Academies’ review aims to provide an independent, authoritative assessment of the current state of climate science, specifically focusing on developments since the 2009 endangerment finding.

“This is a critical step towards ensuring policy decisions are grounded in the best available science,” said Bob Sussman, former EPA Deputy Administrator.”The need for disinterested expert advice is paramount, especially when facing politically motivated challenges to established scientific consensus.”

The Academies are leveraging a newly developed “rapid response” capability – initially tested with avian influenza diagnostics – to expedite the review process. This reflects a growing recognition of the need for swift scientific input on urgent policy issues.

Andrew Dessler, Director of the Texas Center for Extreme Weather at Texas A&M University, emphasized the Academies’ unique role. “They were established to provide precisely this kind of impartial scientific guidance to the government. The DOE should have relied on this resource from the outset.”

While the National Academies review is underway, a separate effort lead by Dessler is also mobilizing a broad coalition of academics to submit a comprehensive response to the DOE report directly to the EPA. This initiative, rapidly gaining momentum through platforms like Bluesky, suggests a strong determination within the scientific community to defend the established understanding of climate change.

The review highlights the ongoing tension between scientific consensus and political agendas, especially concerning climate policy. It also underscores the importance of independent scientific bodies in providing objective assessments to inform crucial regulatory decisions.

Source: Inside Climate News (https://insideclimatenews.org/news/07082025/national-academies-will-review-endangerment-finding-science/)

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What specific methodologies are being implemented to accelerate the traditionally lengthy climate assessment process?

Accelerating the Pace of Climate Research

responding to increasingly dire climate predictions, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine are considerably accelerating their climate assessment initiatives. This expedited approach aims to provide policymakers and the public with the most up-to-date scientific information possible, enabling more informed decision-making in the face of escalating climate change. The move comes as global temperatures are projected to remain at or near record levels for the next five years (WMO, 2025). This isn’t just about long-term trends; it’s about preparing for the immediate impacts of a rapidly changing climate.

Key Focus Areas of the Initiative

The accelerated assessment focuses on several critical areas, including:

Extreme Weather Events: Analyzing the increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves, droughts, floods, and wildfires. This includes improved modeling for climate risk assessment and early warning systems.

Sea Level Rise: Providing refined projections for sea level rise and its impacts on coastal communities, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Research will focus on both global average sea level rise and regional variations.

Ecosystem Vulnerability: Assessing the vulnerability of key ecosystems – forests, coral reefs, wetlands – to climate change and identifying potential adaptation strategies. This includes studying biodiversity loss and its connection to climate disruption.

Climate-Related Migration: Investigating the potential for climate change to drive human migration and displacement, and developing strategies to address the associated challenges.

Carbon Cycle Dynamics: Deepening understanding of the carbon cycle, including the role of natural sinks (oceans, forests) and the effectiveness of carbon sequestration technologies.

New Methodologies for Rapid Assessment

Traditionally, extensive climate assessments have taken years to complete. The National Academies are adopting several new methodologies to speed up the process:

1. Rapid Response Teams: Establishing specialized teams of experts ready to analyze emerging climate data and events in near real-time.
2. data Synthesis Platforms: Developing platforms to integrate and synthesize data from multiple sources, including satellite observations, climate models, and ground-based monitoring networks.
3. Scenario Planning: Utilizing scenario planning exercises to explore a range of potential future climate pathways and their implications. This allows for proactive planning rather than reactive responses.
4. Enhanced Collaboration: Fostering closer collaboration between scientists, policymakers, and community stakeholders to ensure that assessments are relevant and actionable.

The Role of Technology in Climate Assessment

Advanced technologies are playing a crucial role in this expedited initiative. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are being used to analyze vast datasets, identify patterns, and improve the accuracy of climate models. Remote sensing technologies, such as satellites and drones, are providing unprecedented insights into environmental changes. Furthermore, big data analytics are helping to track and understand the complex interactions within the Earth’s climate system.

Benefits of Accelerated Climate Assessments

The benefits of faster, more frequent climate assessments are substantial:

Improved Policy-Making: Providing policymakers with the information they need to develop effective climate mitigation and adaptation policies.

Enhanced Resilience: Helping communities prepare for and respond to the impacts of climate change.

Increased Public Awareness: Raising public awareness of the urgency of the climate crisis and the need for action.

Targeted Resource Allocation: Enabling more efficient allocation of resources to address the most pressing climate challenges.

Innovation in Climate Solutions: Stimulating innovation in climate technologies and strategies.

Real-World Examples & Case Studies

The recent heatwaves across Europe and North America in 2023 and 2024 underscored the need for rapid climate assessment. Initial analyses, quickly compiled by research teams, directly informed public health advisories and emergency response plans. Similarly, assessments of the accelerating melt rate of the Greenland ice sheet have provided critical data for coastal communities preparing for increased sea levels. These examples demonstrate the tangible benefits of timely climate information.

Addressing Data Gaps and Uncertainties

While the initiative aims for speed, maintaining scientific rigor is paramount. The National Academies are actively working to address existing data gaps and uncertainties in climate modeling.This includes investing in research to improve our understanding of complex climate processes, such as cloud formation and ocean currents. Transparent communication of uncertainties is also a key priority, ensuring that policymakers and the public have a clear understanding of the limitations of current knowledge. Climate modeling is constantly being refined, but acknowledging inherent uncertainties is crucial for responsible decision-making.

sources:

WMO. (2025). WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (2025-2029). https://wmo.int/publication-series/wmo-global-annual-decadal-climate-update-2025-2029