Home » Technology » NFL DFS Picks for Chiefs vs. Jaguars: Best Plays for Week 5 Monday Night Football

NFL DFS Picks for Chiefs vs. Jaguars: Best Plays for Week 5 Monday Night Football

by Sophie Lin - Technology Editor


<a data-mil="8117430" href="https://www.archyde.com/a-person-enters-the-territory-illegally-from-the-south/" title="A person enters the territory illegally from the south">Chiefs</a> and <a data-mil="8117430" href="https://www.archyde.com/schedule-nfl-releases-week-18-schedule/" title="Schedule: NFL releases Week 18 schedule">Jaguars</a> Set for Sunday Night Clash: DFS Insights and Player Analysis

kansas City demonstrated renewed offensive prowess last Sunday, dispatching the Ravens with a dominant performance propelled by Patrick Mahomes’ four touchdown passes.While the Ravens’ defensive struggles contributed to this outcome,it signaled a potential turning point for a Chiefs offense that had previously faced challenges establishing consistent momentum this season. The return of Wide Receiver Xavier Worthy adds a dynamic element, promising to stretch opposing defenses.

Conversely, the Jacksonville Jaguars, currently holding a 3-1 record, have relied heavily on a bolstered defense to complement an offense that has not yet reached its anticipated potential under new Head Coach Liam Coen.Despite hopes that Coen would replicate his success with Baker Mayfield, Trevor lawrence remains a middling performer, while Running Back Travis Etienne has emerged as the team’s offensive focal point.

Defensive Standings and Key Metrics

Jacksonville’s defensive unit has been especially stout, conceding a mere 18 points per game and 5.1 yards per play, ranking them fourth and 11th in the league, respectively. The Chiefs aren’t far behind, allowing 19 points per game and 5.3 yards per play, placing them seventh and 16th. The defensive contrast extends to pass and run coverage, as detailed below:

Metric Jaguars Chiefs
EPA per Drop (Pass) 3rd 9th
DVOA vs. Pass 1st 16th
EPA (Run) 19th 31st
DVOA vs. Run 20th 31st

did You Know? Defensive EPA (Expected Points Added) measures the impact a play has on the team’s expected points scored. DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) considers the quality of the opponent.

Top DFS Plays for Sunday Night Football

As the teams prepare to meet, here’s a breakdown of key players to consider for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lineups:

Patrick Mahomes, Quarterback, Chiefs

Mahomes remains a premier fantasy option due to the Chiefs’ pass-centric attack and his remarkable skill set, including rushing capabilities. His floor is consistently high, and a competitive game scenario will likely unlock his full potential. While the Jaguars present a capable defense, a close contest could considerably increase Mahomes’ production.

Travis Etienne, Running Back, Jaguars

Etienne has been the standout performer for the Jaguars’ offense this season, amassing 394 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 65 carries, along with additional contributions as a receiver.His consistent performance has made him a prime captain candidate in single-slate DFS contests.

Xavier Worthy, Wide Receiver, Chiefs

Worthy represents the Chiefs’ highest-ceiling player, standing out among teammates kareem Hunt, Isiah Pacheco, and Travis Kelce. His speed and big-play potential offer a unique upside. A touchdown or two could dramatically elevate his fantasy value.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Wide Receiver, Chiefs

Even though his peak performance might potentially be behind him, smith-Schuster has maintained a reliable floor over the last two weeks, even with Worthy’s return. He is a consistent target for Mahomes, especially on short to intermediate routes.

Parker Washington, Wide Receiver, Jaguars

Washington’s usage has been somewhat inconsistent, but his explosiveness, demonstrated by a recent kick return touchdown, makes him an intriguing tournament option.He’s a player to watch for potential breakout performances.

Brenton Strange,Tight End,Jaguars

Strange has emerged as a dependable target in the Jaguars’ passing game,consistently seeing a high volume of targets over the past two weeks. While he hasn’t yet reached the endzone, his reliability makes him a valuable addition to DFS lineups.

Pro Tip: Consider stacking Mahomes with Worthy in your DFS lineups to capitalize on their connection and potential for explosive plays.

Understanding DFS Strategy

Daily Fantasy Sports involve selecting a roster of players who accumulate points based on their real-life performance. Accomplished DFS players need a deep understanding of player matchups, injury reports, and team dynamics.Utilizing statistical analysis, like EPA and DVOA, provides a competitive edge in identifying undervalued players and predicting performance.

The landscape of the NFL is ever-changing, with player roles and team strategies evolving weekly. Staying informed through credible sports news sources and analytical websites is crucial for consistent success in DFS.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • What is DFS? Daily Fantasy Sports allow fans to create virtual teams and compete against others based on real-life player statistics.
  • How does EPA impact fantasy scoring? EPA (Expected Points Added) helps identify players who consistently contribute to scoring drives.
  • What is DVOA and why is it significant? DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) provides a more comprehensive measure of player performance by adjusting for the strength of the opposition.
  • Is Patrick Mahomes always a good DFS pick? Generally, yes, due to his high ceiling and consistent performance, but always consider the opposing defense.
  • Which Jaguars player offers the best DFS value? Travis Etienne appears to be the most reliable and impactful offensive player for the jaguars.
  • How can I find reliable DFS information? Reputable sports news websites and data analytics platforms are grate resources for informed DFS decisions.

What are your predictions for this Sunday’s game? do you think Etienne can exploit the Chiefs’ run defense?

Share your thoughts and DFS lineups in the comments below!

Which Jaguars receiver benefits most from single coverage opportunities?

NFL DFS Picks for Chiefs vs. Jaguars: Best Plays for Week 5 Monday Night Football

Understanding the Matchup: Chiefs vs. Jaguars

The Kansas city Chiefs (4-1) travel to Jacksonville to face the jaguars (3-2) in a crucial Week 5 Monday Night Football showdown. This game features two potent offenses, but also defenses capable of making game-changing plays.For NFL DFS players, this presents a wealth of opportunities. Understanding the key matchups and player roles is paramount for building winning lineups on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel. This article will break down the top fantasy football picks and DFS strategies for this primetime contest.

Key Players to Target: Chiefs

* Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC): The obvious choice. Mahomes consistently delivers high fantasy points regardless of matchup. Expect a high-volume passing game, especially if the Jaguars can keep the game competitive. His price tag will be steep, but he’s a cornerstone for Monday Night Football DFS lineups.

* Travis Kelce (TE, KC): Even with a slight dip in production compared to previous seasons, Kelce remains a target monster. He’s Mahomes’ favorite weapon and a consistent red-zone threat. A strong TE pick for DraftKings and FanDuel.

* rashee Rice (WR, KC): Rice has emerged as a reliable target for Mahomes. His role continues to grow each week, making him a valuable mid-range option in NFL DFS. Look for opportunities in the short to intermediate passing game.

* Isiah Pacheco (RB, KC): Pacheco is the lead back in a run-first offense when they choose to run. He’s a solid play, particularly in PPR formats where his receiving upside adds value. Monitor his workload as Jerick McKinnon continues to be involved.

Key Players to Target: Jaguars

* Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAX): Lawrence is coming off a strong performance and faces a chiefs defense that, while improved, is still vulnerable.He offers a good value compared to Mahomes and has the potential for a big game. A solid QB DFS pick.

* Christian Kirk (WR, JAX): Kirk is Lawrence’s primary target and consistently sees a high volume of passes. He’s a reliable option in all formats and a strong contender for a high-scoring performance. Excellent wide receiver DFS value.

* Evan Engram (TE, JAX): engram is a key part of the Jaguars’ passing attack. He’s a mismatch problem for opposing defenses and a consistent red-zone target. A viable tight end DFS option.

* Travis Etienne Jr. (RB, JAX): Etienne is a dynamic runner and receiver. He’s the focal point of the Jaguars’ rushing attack and a threat to score on every touch. A strong running back DFS play,especially in full PPR leagues.

Value Plays & Contrarian Options

Identifying value plays is crucial for maximizing your DFS lineup potential.

* Justin Watson (WR,KC): With Skyy Moore’s inconsistent performance,Watson has seen increased snaps. He’s a cheap option with the potential for a few key catches.

* Parker Washington (WR, JAX): Washington is a deep threat who could capitalize on single coverage. A low-cost option with upside.

* Noah gray (TE, KC): If Kelce draws particularly tough coverage, Gray could see an increased role in the passing game.

Game Script Considerations & DFS Strategy

The game script will heavily influence player performance.

* High-Scoring Affair: If both offenses click, expect high passing volume and plenty of fantasy points for quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends. Prioritize players with high target shares.

* Defensive Battle: A low-scoring game could favor running backs and defenses. Focus on players who excel in short-yardage situations and red-zone efficiency.

* Blowout Potential: If the Chiefs take an early lead, Pacheco could see increased carries to run out the clock.Conversely, if the Jaguars jump ahead, Lawrence might be forced to throw more frequently.

Utilizing Player Projections & DFS Tools

Leveraging NFL player projections and DFS tools is essential for informed decision-making. Sites like FantasyPros, Rotoworld, and numberFire provide valuable data and insights. Pay attention to:

* Snap Counts: Identify players who are consistently on the field.

* Target Shares: Determine which players are receiving the most opportunities.

* Red Zone Usage: Focus on players who are frequently targeted in the red zone.

* Matchup analysis: Assess how each player’s skillset matches up against their opponent.

Recent Trends & Historical Data (2023-2024)

Looking back at previous matchups between these teams and individual player performances can provide valuable context.In their 2023 meeting, Mahomes threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns, while Lawrence struggled against the Chiefs’ pass rush. However, the Jaguars’ offense has evolved substantially since then, adding key pieces like Gabriel Davis. Analyzing these trends helps refine DFS lineup construction.

DraftKings vs. FanDuel: Format Specific strategies

* **Draft

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