Paris Saint-Germain travels to the Stade Louis II on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, to face Monaco in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League playoff clash. Whereas PSG ultimately conquered the Champions League last season, their domestic form has been inconsistent, currently sitting second in Ligue 1 after a recent 3-1 loss to Rennes. Monaco, meanwhile, is eighth in Ligue 1, despite a weekend victory over Nantes, and will be looking to upset the reigning champions. The match presents a crucial opportunity for PSG to regain momentum and reaffirm their dominance on the European stage.
The bookmakers heavily favor PSG to secure a first-leg advantage, with an away win currently priced at 11/20 on bet365 [source]. A combined bet of a PSG win and under 4.5 total goals offers even-money odds (1/1) on Paddy Power [source], suggesting expectations of a controlled victory for the visitors. Monaco is considered a significant underdog, with odds of 9/2 on Unibet [source], and a draw is priced at 18/5 with the same bookmaker.
Recent Form and Team Momentum
PSG’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with 9 wins and 3 losses in their last 15 games. They boast a strong attacking record, scoring 32 goals in that period, averaging 2.13 goals per game [source]. Defensively, they have conceded 16 goals, averaging 1.07 goals conceded per game [source]. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 73.33% of their matches during this stretch [source].
Monaco’s form is less convincing, with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses in their last 15 games. They have scored 22 goals and conceded 24, averaging 1.47 and 1.60 goals respectively [source]. Over 2.5 goals have occurred in 66.67% of their matches [source]. Team Momentum Performance (TMP) points further highlight the disparity, with PSG holding 313.6 points compared to Monaco’s 226.2 [source], indicating a significant advantage in current form and overall team strength.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, the head-to-head record between Monaco and PSG has been competitive, but recent encounters have favored the Parisians. In their most recent meeting on November 29, 2025, Monaco secured a 1-0 victory in Ligue 1 [source]. Prior to that, PSG won 4-1 on February 7, 2025, and 1-0 in the Trophée des Champions on January 5, 2025. A further gaze back reveals a 2-4 win for PSG on December 18, 2024, and a 0-0 draw on March 1, 2024 [source]. PSG also claimed a 5-2 victory on November 24, 2023, and Monaco won 3-1 on February 11, 2023 [source].
Ousmane Dembele, a forward for PSG, has been in good form, scoring three goals in his team’s last two games [source]. For Monaco, Folarin Balogun has been a key attacking threat, registering 22 shots in his eight league phase fixtures [source].
As PSG aims to defend their Champions League title and regain domestic momentum, this first leg against Monaco represents a significant test. The outcome will likely hinge on PSG’s ability to capitalize on their superior team momentum and attacking prowess, while Monaco will need to leverage their home advantage and hope for a clinical performance from Balogun. The second leg promises to be equally compelling as both teams battle for a place in the next stage of the competition.
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