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By Brexit, Emmanuel Macron makes a hard warning in Boris Jonhson

by Omar El Sayed - World Editor
written by Omar El Sayed - World Editor

Macron Issues Stark Warning to UK Amidst Johnson’s Brexit Triumph: A New Era for Europe?

Brussels – The political landscape shifted dramatically Friday as Boris Johnson secured a resounding victory in the UK general election, paving the way for a swift Brexit. Simultaneously, French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a pointed message to the United Kingdom, urging it to avoid becoming an “unfair competitor” to the European Union. This dual development signals a complex and potentially fraught new chapter in UK-EU relations, and is being closely watched globally. This is a breaking news story, and archyde.com is providing continuous updates.

Macron’s Call for a ‘Loyal Relationship’

Speaking at the conclusion of a summit in Brussels, Macron emphasized his desire for the UK to remain a close ally, friend, and partner. However, he stressed that this relationship hinges on establishing “rules of a loyal relationship.” “We do not want it to be a unfair competitor,” Macron stated, highlighting concerns about potential regulatory divergence and trade practices post-Brexit. This statement underscores the EU’s determination to protect its single market and prevent the UK from gaining an undue advantage after leaving the bloc. The implications for future trade negotiations are significant, and experts suggest a hard line from Paris could complicate the process.

Global Reactions to Johnson’s Victory

The international community responded swiftly to Johnson’s landslide win. US President Donald Trump enthusiastically congratulated Johnson, proclaiming the opportunity for a “huge” new trade agreement now that the UK is “free” from the EU. “Great Britain and the United States will now be free to achieve a New commercial agreement huge after Brexit!” Trump tweeted. This sentiment reflects the US administration’s long-held desire for a bilateral trade deal with the UK.

Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed a desire for “constructive dialogue and full cooperation” with both the UK and the EU, suggesting Russia sees opportunities in the evolving European dynamic. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte acknowledged Johnson’s clear mandate and expressed a willingness for “constructive cooperation,” while also cautioning that the Brexit process will continue to be a significant undertaking for years to come.

Relief and Concerns Across Europe

Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa welcomed the result as a means of ensuring an “orderly, duly negotiated Brexit,” averting the potential chaos of a no-deal scenario. This sentiment was echoed by many who feared the economic and social disruption a chaotic exit would have caused. However, not all reactions were positive. Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babis lamented the UK’s departure as “a shame for Europe,” while Czech President Milos Zeman’s spokesperson, Jiri Ovcak, delivered a scathing critique of “liberal extremists.”

Romanian President Klaus Iohannis expressed optimism for Romanian citizens in the UK, noting Johnson’s commitment to a Brexit deal that protects their rights. This is particularly important given the large Romanian diaspora in the UK.

Brexit: A Historical Turning Point & What It Means for You

Brexit, the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union, has been a defining issue in British politics for over three years. The initial 2016 referendum exposed deep divisions within the country, and the subsequent negotiations with the EU proved complex and contentious. Understanding the nuances of Brexit requires recognizing its historical context – the UK’s often ambivalent relationship with European integration, dating back decades.

For businesses, the outcome of the election and the future trade relationship with the EU will be critical. Companies need to prepare for potential changes in regulations, tariffs, and supply chains. For individuals, the implications range from travel arrangements to employment opportunities. Staying informed about the evolving situation is crucial. Resources like the UK government’s website (https://www.gov.uk/brexit) and the EU’s website (https://europa.eu/european-union/brexit_en) offer valuable information.

The coming months will be pivotal as the UK and EU negotiate the terms of their future relationship. Macron’s warning serves as a clear indication that the EU will defend its interests, and the path forward will likely be challenging. The world is watching, and archyde.com will continue to provide in-depth coverage and analysis of this unfolding story. Stay tuned for further updates and expert commentary as we navigate this new era in European politics.

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EU Membership Outlook: Realistic Possibilities for Accession within a Decade

by James Carter Senior News Editor
written by James Carter Senior News Editor

:## Scotland Eyes EU Return Within Decade as Independence Push Gains Momentum

Edinburgh, Scotland – Momentum is building for another push for Scottish independence, with Foreign Affairs Minister Angus Robertson predicting Scotland and a united Ireland could rejoin the European Union within the next ten years. The comments come as support for leaving the United Kingdom continues to grow, despite a previous referendum rejection.

Robertson, a veteran of Scottish politics, highlighted the desire for a fresh vote amidst growing dissatisfaction with the current political landscape. “We push for a referendum so that we can make a decision so that we can join the European Union again,” he stated, emphasizing the Scottish National Party’s (SNP) commitment to regaining EU membership.

The path to a new referendum isn’t straightforward. The British government must approve any vote, and officials in London are likely to resist, fearing another attempt to break up the United Kingdom.”You will find a lot of reasons to say: Now is not the right time,” Robertson acknowledged, referring to potential objections from Westminster.

Though, Robertson is confident that the political climate is shifting. A decade ago, 55% of Scottish voters rejected independence, while 45% favored it. Recent polls suggest this gap has narrowed, fueling the SNP’s determination. “We want it to take place quickly,” Robertson stated.

A Look at Scottish Independence and EU Membership: Key Facts

Referendum Date Independence Vote (%) Remain in UK Vote (%) EU Membership status (Currently) SNP’s Stance
September 18, 2014 45% 55% Outside EU (post-Brexit) Pro-Independence, Pro-EU Rejoining

💡 Did you know? While Scotland voted overwhelmingly to remain in the EU in the 2016 Brexit referendum, it was outvoted by England and Wales, ultimately leading to the UK’s departure.

Robertson, who previously worked as a radio journalist in Austria, believes that both Scotland and a united Ireland are poised to return to the EU fold. This assertion comes amidst ongoing discussions about the future of Northern Ireland and the potential for a referendum on Irish reunification.

✅ Pro Tip: Understanding the historical context of the Scottish independence movement – including economic factors,cultural identity,and political grievances – is essential to understanding the current push for a new referendum.

The Scottish government is actively preparing for a referendum, but the timing remains uncertain, contingent on approval from the British government.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Scotland and the EU

The prospect of Scotland rejoining the EU would have significant implications for both Scotland and the bloc. From economic integration to regulatory alignment, the path forward would require careful negotiation and planning.

Do you think Scotland’s potential return to the EU would strengthen the bloc? And how might a second independence referendum impact the political landscape of the United Kingdom?

What specific political or economic factors would need to change in Turkey for its EU accession process to be realistically revived?

Table of Contents

EU Membership Outlook: Realistic Possibilities for Accession within a Decade

Current Accession Candidates & Their Status (2025)

as of late 2025, several nations are actively pursuing EU membership. Their progress varies significantly, impacting the likelihood of accession within the next ten years. Here’s a breakdown of the key candidates, categorized by their current stage in the process:

* Albania & North Macedonia: These two nations began accession talks together in 2022, but progress has been hampered by bilateral disputes and internal political challenges. While both are committed to reforms, full membership before 2035 appears optimistic. Key hurdles include judicial reform and tackling organized crime.

* Bosnia and Herzegovina: Granted candidate status in December 2022,Bosnia and Herzegovina faces substantial obstacles. Deep-rooted ethnic divisions,a complex political system,and important economic challenges require extensive reforms. Accession within a decade is highly improbable without a major political breakthrough. Focus areas for improvement include rule of law, public administration, and economic stability.

* Georgia: Awarded candidate status in December 2023, Georgia is demonstrating strong political alignment with the EU. However,concerns remain regarding democratic backsliding and political polarization. Accelerated reforms, particularly in judicial independence and media freedom, are crucial for maintaining momentum. A realistic timeframe for membership is late 2030s.

* Moldova: Also granted candidate status in December 2023, alongside Ukraine, moldova is benefiting from strong EU support due to its vulnerability following the conflict in Ukraine. Rapid implementation of EU-aligned reforms is underway, but economic fragility and the unresolved Transnistria conflict pose significant challenges. Potential accession by the early 2030s is possible, contingent on continued progress.

* Montenegro: The longest-standing candidate, having initiated accession talks in 2008, Montenegro’s progress has stalled due to concerns over corruption and rule of law. Renewed commitment to these areas is essential to revitalize the process. Membership before 2030 is possible, but requires significant acceleration.

* Serbia: Officially a candidate since 2012, Serbia’s accession process is heavily influenced by its relationship with Kosovo. Normalization of relations remains a key condition. Internal reforms related to the rule of law and media freedom are also critical. A realistic timeframe is mid-2030s, dependent on political developments.

* Turkey: Although a candidate since 1999, Turkey’s accession process is effectively frozen due to concerns over democratic backsliding, human rights violations, and rule of law. A significant shift in political direction would be required to revive the process. Accession within a decade is extremely unlikely.

* Ukraine: granted candidate status in June 2022, Ukraine’s path to EU membership is inextricably linked to the outcome of the ongoing conflict with Russia. Even with a swift resolution, substantial reconstruction efforts and comprehensive reforms will be necessary. Accelerated procedures are being considered, but full membership before 2035 is a challenging prospect.

Key Factors influencing Accession Timelines

several overarching factors determine the speed and success of EU enlargement:

  1. Political Stability & Good Governance: Demonstrable commitment to democratic principles, the rule of law, and human rights is paramount.
  2. Economic Convergence: Candidate countries must demonstrate a functioning market economy and the capacity to withstand economic pressures within the EU. This includes aligning with the Single Market and adopting the Euro.
  3. Administrative Capacity: Effective public administration and the ability to implement and enforce EU legislation are crucial.
  4. EU Internal Dynamics: The political climate within the EU itself, including the willingness of member states to accept new members, plays a significant role. Concerns about budgetary implications and potential impacts on existing policies can influence the process.
  5. Geopolitical Considerations: External factors, such as regional conflicts and strategic alliances, can also impact accession timelines. The war in Ukraine has significantly altered the geopolitical landscape and accelerated the EU’s consideration of Ukrainian membership.

The Role of Chapters & Screening Processes

The accession process is structured around 35 negotiating chapters, covering various policy areas. Each candidate country must demonstrate its ability to align with EU standards in each chapter.

* Screening: The initial phase involves a detailed assessment of the candidate country’s existing legislation and practices against EU acquis communautaire (the body of EU law).

* Negotiation: Based on the screening results

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world

Pascual Pérez-Paredes: “We are one step away from including European citizens in hate speeches”

by Omar El Sayed - World Editor
written by Omar El Sayed - World Editor

Brexit Fallout: European Researchers Launch Project to Counter ‘Brexit Lies’

Brussels, Belgium – A team of European researchers, deeply impacted by the 2016 Brexit vote, are preparing to present a powerful counter-narrative to the disinformation that fueled the UK’s departure from the European Union. The project, dubbed FOM@PLAY, is a compelling collection of 100 interviews with European citizens living across the continent, and is set to be unveiled at the European Parliament on September 25th.

The Genesis of FOM@PLAY: A Response to Brexit Disinformation

Pascual Pérez-Paredes, a professor of Applied Linguistics and English Linguistics at the University of Murcia (UMU) in Spain, was working as a researcher in Cambridge when the Brexit referendum took place. “At first, I couldn’t believe it. Then, I began to understand that there were geopolitical and economic interests behind all that great lie,” Pérez-Paredes shared from his current research post in Hong Kong. This realization sparked a collaborative effort, funded by an Erasmus+ grant, to create alternative discourses supporting freedom of movement within Europe.

The project isn’t simply an academic exercise. It’s a deeply human response to a political upheaval that continues to resonate across the continent. FOM@PLAY aims to provide a platform for voices often marginalized in the Brexit debate – the everyday Europeans whose lives were, and continue to be, affected by the decision.

90 Hours of Stories: The Heart of the Project

FOM@PLAY isn’t a collection of dry statistics or political arguments. It’s a tapestry woven from the personal experiences of individuals navigating life in a post-Brexit Europe. The project amassed 90 hours of recordings, capturing stories of adaptation, resilience, and the challenges faced by those exercising their right to live and work across borders.

The interviews reveal recurring themes, from the practical hurdles of language acquisition – with some parents questioning whether to pass on their native tongue for fear of hindering their children’s opportunities – to the persistent bureaucratic obstacles that complicate cross-border living. One poignant example highlighted in the project involves Romanian emigrants who settled in Spain before Romania joined the EU, and whose children, now Spanish citizens, are grappling with their own identities and sense of belonging.

Beyond Brexit: A Warning About Rising Xenophobia

While born out of the Brexit experience, the project’s findings raise broader concerns about the rise of anti-immigrant sentiment and the vulnerability of European citizens to discriminatory rhetoric. Pérez-Paredes warns that stereotypes targeting citizens from Eastern European countries – particularly Bulgaria and Romania – remain prevalent, fueled by misinformation and prejudice. “We have a lot of evidence in the scientific literature,” he states, “relating them to criminals or untrustworthy people.”

The researchers fear this trend could extend to other marginalized groups within the EU, mirroring the divisive tactics employed during the Brexit campaign. “There are many economic forces that want a divided, atomized, and poor Europe,” Pérez-Paredes emphasizes. He points to the UK press’s decade-long focus on blaming EU citizens for societal problems, from straining social services to overburdening the healthcare system, as a cautionary tale.

A Resource for Educators and a Call for Dialogue

The team isn’t just presenting their findings to policymakers; they’re equipping educators with the tools to foster critical thinking and promote understanding. FOM@PLAY has created a suite of pedagogical materials, which will be distributed at the European Parliament presentation, allowing schools and universities to incorporate the project’s insights into their curricula. The project’s website, fomatplay.eu, offers access to the interviews after registration, essentially creating a “Netflix-style” archive of personal stories.

The project also features compelling individual narratives, such as Viktoriya, a Russian journalist forced to emigrate for her safety and now living in Italy, and Adrián S., a Romanian living in Salamanca who worries his daughter’s accent might limit her job prospects. These stories, and many others, serve as a powerful reminder of the human cost of political division.

As Europe navigates an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape, the lessons of Brexit – and the voices captured in FOM@PLAY – are more relevant than ever. The project serves as a vital reminder of the importance of safeguarding freedom of movement, combating disinformation, and fostering a more inclusive and united Europe.

Stay tuned to archyde.com for continued coverage of this developing story and in-depth analysis of the implications of Brexit for Europe and beyond.

Map of Europe

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world

Trump Tariffs & US Economy: A Brexit Warning?

by James Carter Senior News Editor
written by James Carter Senior News Editor

The Slow Burn of Tariffs: Why Economists Were Right to Worry (and What Comes Next)

Over $152 billion. That’s the amount the Trump administration’s tariffs have already generated this year, with the figure poised to climb as new levies take effect. But beyond the headline numbers, a crucial question lingers: are we witnessing a fundamental shift in global trade, or simply a delayed reaction to policies economists warned against from the start? The answer, increasingly, appears to be the latter – but the lag time, and the geopolitical implications, are far more complex than initially predicted.

The Inflationary Tide is Turning – Slowly

Initial predictions of immediate, sharp inflation and widespread shortages following the imposition of tariffs haven’t fully materialized… yet. As economist Adam Tooze points out, this doesn’t invalidate the underlying economic principles. Instead, it highlights the complex and often protracted nature of economic consequences. The signs are there: a rebound in inflation, particularly in goods – the sector most directly impacted by trade – is already underway. The Federal Reserve’s reluctance to cut interest rates underscores this concern.

This isn’t a sudden shock, but a gradual creep. Supply chains are intricate, and the effects of tariffs ripple through them over months, even quarters. The “foreigners are going to eat the tariff” narrative – the idea that other countries will simply absorb the cost – is proving largely untrue. Instead, businesses are navigating a delicate balance: passing costs onto consumers, accepting reduced profit margins, or potentially exiting the market altogether. This dynamic, reminiscent of the long-term consequences of Brexit, suggests a similar trajectory for the U.S. economy, particularly for low-income consumers.

Manufacturing’s Mirage: Tariffs and Investment

The promise of a manufacturing renaissance fueled by tariffs has largely failed to materialize in a meaningful way. While the administration has touted large investment announcements – Apple’s $500 billion pledge, Nvidia’s similar commitment, and others – these are often the result of direct presidential persuasion rather than a direct response to tariff policy. Tooze describes these as “glad-handing” and “corporate announcements extracted by a phone call from the president.”

Furthermore, the impact of tariffs on manufacturing is ambiguous. Heavy tariffs on steel and aluminum, for example, raise costs for many American manufacturers who *use* these materials, potentially undermining their competitiveness. The benefit accrues primarily to domestic steel and aluminum producers, creating a windfall for a select few while potentially harming a broader swath of the industry. Genuine, sustained investment requires certainty, something the haphazard nature of recent tariff policy has consistently failed to provide.

Tariffs as Geopolitical Leverage: A Gulliver’s Travels Approach

Perhaps the most revealing aspect of this tariff strategy is the underlying worldview driving it. It’s a vision, as Tooze describes, akin to “Gulliver’s Travels” – the belief that the U.S. is a sleeping giant unfairly exploited by smaller nations. The expectation is that a show of strength will compel these countries to fall into line and return resources to the U.S. This approach has seen limited success.

While tariffs may have exerted some pressure on Europe, the model simply doesn’t translate to larger economies like China, India, or Russia. The case of India is particularly illustrative. The U.S. initially encouraged India to purchase discounted Russian oil as part of its broader strategy against Russia, only to later criticize India for doing so. This inconsistency highlights the inherent flaws in a strategy based on simplistic power dynamics. The attempt to strong-arm Apple into relocating production to the U.S., disrupting a carefully constructed supply chain that leveraged India’s manufacturing capabilities, further exemplifies this disconnect. The Council on Foreign Relations’ Global Conflict Tracker provides further context on these geopolitical tensions.

The Future of Trade: Fragmentation and Uncertainty

The long-term implications of this tariff-driven approach are clear: a fragmentation of the global trading system and increased economic uncertainty. The idea of a swift, positive outcome – a “big flow back of resources” to the U.S. – is increasingly unrealistic. Instead, we’re likely to see a continuation of protracted negotiations, retaliatory measures, and a gradual erosion of the rules-based international order. This isn’t to say that trade policy is without merit, but that the current approach, based on unilateral action and a flawed understanding of global economics, is unlikely to deliver the promised benefits.

The coming months will be critical. Monitoring inflation data, tracking actual investment figures, and observing the geopolitical fallout from ongoing trade disputes will be essential. The initial warnings from economists are proving prescient, and the slow burn of tariffs is likely to have lasting consequences for the U.S. and the global economy. What are your predictions for the future of international trade? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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