COVID-19’s Endemic Shift: Navigating the New Normal of Respiratory Virus Resurgences
As fall 2025 unfolds, a familiar pattern is emerging: a rise in respiratory illnesses, including COVID-19. But this isn’t a repeat of 2020. Hospital surveillance networks across France are reporting a 15.7% weekly increase in COVID-19 cases at the end of September, coupled with a surge in consultations for acute respiratory infections. This isn’t necessarily cause for alarm, but a signal that COVID-19 is settling into a new reality – one of endemicity, seasonal resurgences, and evolving variants. The question isn’t *if* we’ll see more COVID-19, but *how* we adapt to living with it long-term.
The “Frankenstein” Variant and the Evolving Viral Landscape
Currently circulating is a variant dubbed “Frankenstein” (scientifically known as XFG), a recombination of previous Omicron subvariants LF.7 and LP.8.1.2. While the moniker evokes images of a monstrous threat, experts at the Pasteur Institute emphasize that, at present, there’s no evidence suggesting XFG is more dangerous than its predecessors. Its increased contagiousness, flagged by the World Health Organization (WHO) since June, is the primary concern. This highlights a crucial point: the virus is constantly evolving, and vigilance is paramount.
“These are most often infectious signs of the superior respiratory tree, fatigue, headache, sometimes a loss of taste or smell,” explains Antoine Flahaut, professor of public health at the University of Geneva. “While vaccination remains highly protective against severe illness and long COVID, staying up-to-date with boosters is crucial, especially for vulnerable populations.”
Endemicity: A “Low Noise” Circulation with Potential for Waves
The prevailing scenario, according to the Pasteur Institute, is one of endemicity – a constant, “low noise” circulation of the virus punctuated by occasional small waves. This is largely due to the immunity built up through vaccination and prior infections. However, the possibility of a significantly different variant emerging, one less susceptible to existing immunity, cannot be ruled out. This underscores the need for continued global monitoring and proactive preparedness.
The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) echoes this sentiment, observing increased SARS-CoV-2 circulation in Europe with, so far, limited impact on hospitalizations. This suggests that while the virus is spreading, the severity of illness is generally lower than in previous waves.
The Role of Vaccination in a Changing Landscape
France’s fall-winter vaccination campaign, launching October 14th and running through January 2026, is targeted towards the elderly and those most vulnerable. Vaccination isn’t a silver bullet, but it remains the most effective tool in preventing severe illness, hospitalization, and long COVID. The key takeaway? Staying current with boosters is no longer about preventing infection entirely, but about mitigating risk.
Boost Your Immunity Beyond Vaccination: Prioritize a healthy lifestyle – adequate sleep, a balanced diet rich in vitamins, and regular exercise – to bolster your immune system and enhance your response to vaccination.
Beyond COVID-19: The Broader Context of Respiratory Virus Season
It’s important to remember that COVID-19 isn’t operating in a vacuum. Increases in respiratory illnesses, generally, are being observed across all age groups. This is typical for the fall and winter months, as people spend more time indoors and viruses spread more easily. The interplay between COVID-19, influenza, and other respiratory pathogens will likely shape the coming months.
Did you know? The characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 differ from influenza in its circulation pattern. While the flu is typically confined to winter months, COVID-19 exhibits year-round “background circulation,” with seasonal peaks.
Future Trends and Implications: Preparing for the Long Haul
Looking ahead, several key trends are likely to shape the future of COVID-19 and respiratory virus management:
- Variant Surveillance: Continued genomic surveillance will be crucial for identifying and tracking emerging variants, allowing for rapid adaptation of vaccines and public health measures.
- Personalized Vaccination Strategies: Future vaccines may be tailored to specific variants or even individual immune profiles, offering more targeted protection.
- Improved Therapeutics: Research into antiviral treatments will continue, aiming to develop more effective therapies for preventing severe illness and reducing viral load.
- Integrated Respiratory Virus Monitoring: Public health systems will need to integrate surveillance of multiple respiratory viruses to gain a comprehensive understanding of the overall burden of illness.
- Enhanced Public Health Infrastructure: Investing in robust public health infrastructure, including testing capacity and contact tracing, will be essential for responding to future outbreaks.
The Potential for “Hybrid Immunity”
The combination of vaccine-induced immunity and immunity gained from natural infection – often referred to as “hybrid immunity” – appears to offer robust protection. Understanding the durability and effectiveness of hybrid immunity will be a key area of research in the coming years. This could inform future vaccination strategies and help refine risk assessments.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is the “Frankenstein” variant more dangerous?
Currently, there is no evidence to suggest that the XFG variant (dubbed “Frankenstein”) is more dangerous than previous variants. The primary concern is its potentially higher contagiousness.
Should I get a COVID-19 booster?
Yes, especially if you are elderly or have underlying health conditions. Boosters remain highly effective in preventing severe illness, hospitalization, and long COVID.
What can I do to protect myself from respiratory viruses?
In addition to vaccination, practice good hygiene – wash your hands frequently, cover your coughs and sneezes, and consider wearing a mask in crowded indoor settings. Maintaining a healthy lifestyle also boosts your immune system.
The COVID-19 pandemic has fundamentally altered our relationship with respiratory viruses. While the acute crisis has passed, the virus is here to stay. By embracing a proactive approach – prioritizing vaccination, investing in research, and strengthening public health infrastructure – we can navigate this new normal and minimize the impact of future resurgences. What are your predictions for the evolution of COVID-19 in the coming years? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
See our guide on understanding respiratory virus transmission for more information.
Explore our coverage of the latest vaccine developments.
Learn more about long COVID and its management.