VED Tax Hike 2026: How Much More Will You Pay for Your Petrol or Diesel Car?
Brace yourself: the cost of owning a petrol or diesel car is about to get more expensive. New analysis predicts almost all drivers will face increased Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) charges from April 2026, adding to the already significant financial strain on motorists. Experts estimate bills for the highest-polluting vehicles could jump by as much as £250 per year – a substantial blow, especially as the potential scrapping of the fuel duty freeze looms.
The Inflationary Impact on Road Tax
The upcoming VED increases aren’t a sudden policy change, but rather a continuation of an existing trend. VED rates are adjusted annually based on the Retail Price Index (RPI) inflation. Pete Barden’s recent analysis suggests this inflation could be around 4.6%, translating to a direct increase in road tax for most vehicle owners. This means an extra £10–£40 annually for many, depending on their vehicle’s emissions band.
Currently, standard VED rates sit at £195 per year, potentially rising to £204 by April 2026. Even the cleanest models, currently paying £110, could see their annual fee increase to £115. However, the biggest impact will be felt by those driving higher-emission vehicles.
VED Rates for High-Polluting Vehicles: A Significant Jump
Vehicles emitting over 255g/km of CO2 already face hefty annual bills – a staggering £5,490, doubled by Labour last year. If the predicted RPI remains consistent, these owners could be looking at a £5,740 annual tax bill from April 2026. The Expensive Car Supplement, currently £425, is also expected to rise to £445.
VED rates are a key component of the overall cost of car ownership, and these increases come at a time when fuel, insurance, and servicing costs are also climbing faster than wages. This creates a perfect storm for cash-strapped drivers.
Beyond VED: The Potential End of the Fuel Duty Freeze
The predicted VED increases aren’t the only potential financial hit for motorists. There’s growing speculation that Chancellor Rachel Reeves may scrap the long-standing fuel duty freeze in the upcoming Autumn Budget on November 26th. This could add even more pressure to household budgets, potentially increasing the cost of filling up a tank by several pence per litre.
The combination of rising VED and potentially increased fuel duty could significantly alter the economics of car ownership, particularly for those reliant on petrol or diesel vehicles.
What Does This Mean for Electric Vehicle Owners?
While the focus is currently on petrol and diesel drivers, it’s important to remember that electric vehicle (EV) owners are now also subject to VED. However, the impact is currently less severe, as EV rates are generally lower. The government’s long-term strategy for EV taxation remains a topic of debate, and future changes could see EV owners facing higher charges as the technology becomes more mainstream.
The shift towards EVs is being incentivized by the current lower VED rates, but this incentive could diminish if rates increase significantly in the future. This highlights the importance of considering the total cost of ownership – including VED, fuel/electricity costs, and maintenance – when choosing a vehicle.
The Future of Vehicle Taxation: A Broader Perspective
The upcoming VED increases are symptomatic of a broader trend towards using taxation to influence driver behaviour and promote environmentally friendly vehicles. We can expect to see further adjustments to VED rates, potentially linked to real-world emissions data rather than just CO2 figures. The introduction of more sophisticated emissions testing and the increasing availability of data on vehicle performance will likely play a role in shaping future tax policies.
Furthermore, the government may explore alternative taxation models, such as pay-per-mile schemes or congestion charges, to address traffic congestion and environmental concerns. These schemes could disproportionately impact drivers in rural areas or those who rely on their vehicles for work.
Preparing for Increased Car Ownership Costs
So, what can drivers do to mitigate the impact of these rising costs? Here are a few strategies:
- Consider a more fuel-efficient vehicle: Switching to a lower-emission vehicle can significantly reduce your VED bill.
- Explore alternative transportation options: If possible, consider using public transport, cycling, or walking for shorter journeys.
- Maintain your vehicle: Regular servicing can improve fuel efficiency and reduce emissions.
- Shop around for insurance: Compare quotes from different insurers to find the best deal.
“The cumulative effect of these rising costs – VED, fuel, insurance, servicing – is putting a significant strain on household budgets. Drivers need to be proactive and explore all available options to minimize their expenses.” – Pete Barden, Automotive Analyst
The automotive landscape is evolving rapidly, and vehicle taxation is likely to become increasingly complex. Staying informed and planning ahead is crucial for managing the costs of car ownership.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: How is VED calculated?
A: VED is primarily based on a vehicle’s CO2 emissions. Different emissions bands are subject to different annual rates. Rates are also adjusted annually for inflation.
Q: Will the fuel duty freeze be lifted?
A: There is a strong possibility that the fuel duty freeze will be scrapped in the upcoming Autumn Budget, potentially adding several pence per litre to the cost of fuel.
Q: Are electric vehicles exempt from VED?
A: No, electric vehicles are now subject to VED, although the rates are currently lower than those for petrol and diesel vehicles.
Q: Where can I find more information about VED rates?
A: You can find detailed information about VED rates on the GOV.UK website.
What are your predictions for the future of vehicle taxation? Share your thoughts in the comments below!