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The US warns of the formation of the Fernand storm but indicates that it is not a danger

by Omar El Sayed - World Editor
written by Omar El Sayed - World Editor

Tropical Storm Fernand Shifts Course, No Immediate Threat to US & Canada – Breaking News

Miami, FL – August 25, 2023 – A collective sigh of relief is spreading along the Eastern Seaboard as Tropical Storm Fernand, the sixth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, is now projected to move away from the United States and Canada. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) confirmed Monday that Fernand poses no immediate risk to populated areas, offering a welcome respite after recent close calls.

Fernand’s Trajectory and Current Status

As of the latest NHC bulletin, Tropical Storm Fernand is located approximately 685 kilometers (425 miles) northeast of Bermuda. The storm is currently traveling northeast at a speed of 20 kilometers per hour (13 mph) and packing maximum sustained winds of 95 kilometers per hour (59 mph). While Fernand isn’t expected to intensify significantly today, forecasters predict a gradual weakening beginning Tuesday, with the storm likely becoming a post-tropical cyclone by Wednesday.

(Image: Projected path of Tropical Storm Fernand. Source: National Hurricane Center)

A Season of Activity: From Erin to Fernand

Fernand’s development comes just a week after Hurricane Erin, the first hurricane of the season, skirted the US coastline, prompting evacuations in parts of North Carolina. Erin’s journey began near Cabo Verde, Africa, tragically claiming seven lives, and continued with heavy rainfall and strong winds throughout the Caribbean. Even as it weakened, Erin brought cyclonic swells that authorities warned were life-threatening. Before Erin, Tropical Storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal, and Dexter also formed in the Atlantic, with Chantal making landfall in the US, sadly resulting in two fatalities in North Carolina in July.

Understanding the Atlantic Hurricane Season & Staying Prepared

The Atlantic hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1st to November 30th, is proving to be more active than usual. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts a “higher than normal” season, predicting between 13 and 18 tropical storms, with 5 to 9 potentially strengthening into hurricanes. This heightened activity underscores the importance of preparedness.

What You Can Do to Prepare: A Quick Guide

  • Stay Informed: Regularly check updates from the National Hurricane Center (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) and your local weather authorities.
  • Develop a Plan: Create a family emergency plan, including evacuation routes and communication strategies.
  • Build a Kit: Assemble a disaster supply kit with essentials like water, non-perishable food, medications, a flashlight, and a first-aid kit.
  • Secure Your Property: Trim trees, clear gutters, and secure loose outdoor objects.

The recent activity serves as a stark reminder that even storms that initially pose no direct threat can evolve rapidly. Staying vigilant and prepared is crucial for protecting lives and property. The science of hurricane forecasting is constantly improving, but nature remains unpredictable. Understanding the risks and taking proactive steps are the best defenses against the potential impacts of these powerful storms.

As Fernand continues its journey out to sea, attention remains focused on the broader Atlantic basin. Archyde.com will continue to provide up-to-the-minute coverage of the hurricane season, delivering the information you need to stay safe and informed. For more in-depth weather analysis and breaking news, explore our dedicated Weather Section.

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Hurricane Erin Advances Away from Puerto Rico, Expected to Intensify to Category 1 by Thursday – Metro Puerto Rico

by James Carter Senior News Editor
written by James Carter Senior News Editor

Tropical Storm Erin Forecast To Pass North Of Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands

Table of Contents

Published: August 24, 2023

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) Reports That Tropical Storm Erin Is Currently Tracking Westward. Though, Forecasts Indicate A Turn To The Northwest, Steering The System North Of Puerto Rico And The Virgin Islands.

as Of The 11 A.M. Bulletin, Tropical Storm Erin Was Located At Latitude 16.3 Degrees North And Longitude 43.4 Degrees West. Maximum Sustained Winds Remain At 45 Miles Per Hour, With The System Moving West At 17 Miles Per Hour.

Gradual Strengthening Is Anticipated Today, And Erin Is Expected To Become A Hurricane By Thursday Night Or Friday. Outer Bands Of The Storm Could Begin To Approach As Early As Friday Night Or Saturday Morning, With A Higher Probability Of Impact on Saturday Afternoon.

Residents In Puerto Rico Can Expect Periods Of Short Rains During The Morning And Night. More Intense Rainfall, With The Potential For Isolated storms, Is Possible In The Southwest Region During The Afternoon Hours. Winds Will Predominantly Blow From The Northeast Throughout The Week, Affecting Both Surface Levels And Higher Atmospheric Levels.

A Drier Air Mass Is Forecast To Move Across The Region On Thursday, Which Should Reduce Rainfall And The Risk Of Flooding. Isolated Showers May Still Occur,But They Are Expected To Be Less Intense And More Localized. The Current Trajectory Suggests That Erin’s Center Could Pass Near Or North of The Northern Leeward Islands During The Weekend.

Currently, Sustained Winds Are At 45 Miles Per Hour (75 Km/H), With higher Gusts. The Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 1004 Millibar (29.65 Inches). Tropical Storm-Force Winds Extend Up To 60 Miles (95 Kilometers) From The center.

No Coastal Watches Or Warnings Are Currently In Effect. Still, The NHC Urges Residents Of The Northern Leeward Islands, The Virgin Islands, And Puerto Rico To Closely Monitor The Storm’s Progress.

Hurricane Preparedness Tips

Preparing for A Hurricane Is Crucial For Ensuring Your Safety And Minimizing Potential Damage. Here Are Some Essential Steps to Take:

  • Secure Your Home: Bring In Outdoor Furniture, secure Windows And Doors, And Trim Trees.
  • Stock Up On Supplies: Gather Non-Perishable Food, Water, Medications, Flashlights, And Batteries.
  • Develop An Evacuation Plan: Know Your evacuation Route And Have A Designated Meeting Place.
  • Stay informed: Monitor Weather Updates From Reliable Sources Like the NHC And Local News Outlets.

Frequently Asked Questions

  • What Is The Current Status Of Tropical Storm Erin? Tropical Storm Erin Is Currently Tracking Westward But Is Forecast To Turn Northwest, Passing North Of Puerto Rico and The virgin Islands.
  • When Is Erin Expected To Become A hurricane? Erin Is Expected To Become A Hurricane By Thursday Night Or Friday.
  • What Areas Are Most Likely To Be Affected? The Northern Leeward Islands, The Virgin Islands, And Puerto Rico Should Closely Monitor The Storm’s Progress.
  • Where Can I Find More Data? visit The national Hurricane Center Website At https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ For The Latest Updates.

Disclaimer: This Information Is Based On Current Forecasts And Is Subject To change. Always Refer To Official Sources Like The National hurricane Center For The Most Up-To-Date Information.

Share This Article: Help Keep Your Community Informed! share This Article On Social Media And Encourage Others To Stay Prepared.

Have Thoughts? Leave A Comment Below And Let Us Know What You Think.

What specific coastal areas of Puerto Rico are experiencing the most perilous surf and rip current conditions due to Hurricane Erin?

Hurricane Erin Advances Away from Puerto Rico, Expected to Intensify to Category 1 by Thursday – metro Puerto rico

Current Status & Forecast Track

As of August 13, 2025, Hurricane Erin is moving away from Puerto Rico, but remains a notable weather concern for the Leeward Islands. The National Hurricane center (NHC) forecasts Erin will likely intensify into a Category 1 hurricane by thursday. Current projections show the storm tracking generally west-northwestward. While the direct threat to Puerto rico has diminished, residents are still experiencing lingering effects from outer bands, including increased surf and rip currents.

Key Data (as of 2025-08-13 18:00 AST):

Location: Approximately 250 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands.

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75 mph (120 km/h) – nearing hurricane strength.

Movement: West-northwest at 13 mph (20 km/h).

Minimum Central Pressure: 995 mb (29.39 inches).

Expected Intensification: Category 1 hurricane by thursday.

Impact on Puerto Rico: Lingering Effects & Preparedness

Although Puerto Rico is no longer under a direct hurricane watch, the island is experiencing the following:

High Surf & Rip Currents: Dangerous conditions persist along Puerto Rico’s northern and eastern coasts. Beachgoers are strongly advised to stay out of the water.

Increased Rainfall: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible, potentially leading to localized flooding in low-lying areas.

Wind Gusts: While not hurricane-force, gusty winds are still occurring, particularly in elevated terrain.

Puerto Rican authorities are urging residents to remain vigilant and continue monitoring weather updates. This event serves as a crucial reminder of the importance of hurricane preparedness, especially during peak season.

Leeward Islands: Hurricane Watch & Potential Impacts

The Leeward Islands, including Dominica, Guadeloupe, and Antigua, are currently under a Hurricane Watch.Residents in these areas should prepare for the following potential impacts:

Strong Winds: Category 1 hurricane conditions are expected, potentially causing damage to trees, power lines, and unsecured structures.

Heavy Rainfall: Significant rainfall is anticipated,increasing the risk of flash flooding and landslides. Rainfall totals could reach 4-6 inches in some areas.

Storm Surge: A storm surge of 1-3 feet is absolutely possible along the coasts, potentially causing coastal flooding.

Dangerous Marine Conditions: High waves and dangerous rip currents will make marine activities extremely hazardous.

Hurricane Preparedness Checklist: What You Need to Do

Preparing for a hurricane is vital for protecting yourself and your family.Here’s a thorough checklist:

  1. Secure Your Home: Board up windows and doors, reinforce garage doors, and bring loose outdoor items inside.
  2. Emergency Supplies: Stock up on non-perishable food, water (at least one gallon per person per day for several days), medications, first-aid supplies, flashlights, batteries, and a NOAA weather radio.
  3. Interaction Plan: Establish a communication plan with family members, including a designated meeting place.
  4. Important Documents: Gather important documents (insurance policies, identification, medical records) and store them in a waterproof container.
  5. Fuel Up: Fill your vehicle’s gas tank and ensure you have a full charge on portable power banks.
  6. Cash on Hand: ATMs may be unavailable during and after the storm, so have cash readily available.

Ancient Context: Puerto Rico & Hurricane season

Puerto Rico has a long history of being impacted by hurricanes. Hurricane Maria in 2017 caused catastrophic damage and a prolonged humanitarian crisis. More recently, Hurricane Fiona in 2022 brought widespread flooding and power outages. These events underscore the vulnerability of the island and the importance of robust infrastructure and preparedness measures. The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1st to November 30th, with peak activity typically occurring between mid-August and late October. Understanding these patterns is crucial for effective disaster planning.

Resources for Staying Informed

National Hurricane Center (NHC): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Puerto Rico Emergency Management Agency (PREMA): https://prema.pr.gov/

Local News Outlets: Stay tuned to local television and radio stations for the latest updates.

Social Media: Follow official government agencies and weather organizations on social media for real

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Atlantic Tropical Wave: Potential for Cyclogenesis Over Next Days

by James Carter Senior News Editor
written by James Carter Senior News Editor

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Tropical Wave Emerging From Africa Shows Potential For Cyclonic Development

Table of Contents

By Archyde News Desk | August 27, 2023

A Tropical Wave is expected to leave the West African coast within the next few days, and forecasters are monitoring its potential for cyclonic development. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami issued a statement Sunday morning outlining the system’s projected path and chances of intensification.

According to the NHC, the wave is forecast to move westward-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the latter part of the week. Conditions appear increasingly favorable for gradual development as it progresses.

Currently, the NHC estimates a 30% chance of this system developing into a tropical cyclone within the next seven days. Experts are closely watching the wave for any signs of strengthening.

In addition to the African wave, another low-pressure system off the East Coast of the United States is also under scrutiny. This non-tropical low, located approximately 180 miles from the North Carolina coast, has a 50% chance of cyclonic development over the next 48 hours.

The NHC reports that this system is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for it to become a tropical or subtropical storm today or Monday, as it moves east-northeastward at around 10 mph, remaining well offshore of North Carolina.

Understanding tropical wave

What specific sea surface temperature range is identified as crucial for tropical cyclone development?

Atlantic Tropical Wave: Potential for Cyclogenesis Over Next Days

Current Status & location (August 3, 2025)

As of 15:00 UTC on August 3, 2025, a significant Atlantic Tropical Wave is located approximately 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.This system, designated invest 93L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), is exhibiting signs of increasing institution and has a high probability of developing into a tropical depression within the next 48-72 hours. current data from satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of low pressure and disorganized thunderstorms. Tropical cyclone formation is becoming increasingly likely.

key Factors Supporting Development

Several atmospheric conditions are contributing to the potential for cyclogenesis:

Warm Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs): SSTs along the projected path of the wave are currently 28-29°C (82-84°F), well above the threshold required for tropical cyclone development. These warm waters provide the necessary energy to fuel intensification.

Low Vertical Wind shear: Wind shear, the change in wind speed and direction with altitude, is currently low across the region. Low shear allows thunderstorms to remain vertically aligned, promoting further development.High wind shear inhibits storm growth.

Favorable Atmospheric Moisture: A moist mid-level atmosphere is present, providing ample moisture for thunderstorm development. Increased atmospheric moisture is a critical component.

Weakening of the Subtropical High: The subtropical high-pressure system, which typically steers tropical waves westward, is showing signs of weakening.This could allow the wave to slow down and possibly curve northward, increasing the threat to the Lesser Antilles and potentially the U.S. East Coast.

Projected Path & Intensity

current hurricane models (including the GFS, ECMWF, and HWRF) show a range of possible scenarios. The consensus suggests a westward to west-northwestward track over the next few days.

Scenario 1 (Most Likely): The wave develops into a tropical storm and continues westward, passing near or over the northern Leeward Islands by August 6th-7th. Intensity forecasts range from 40-60 mph sustained winds.

Scenario 2 (less Likely): The wave encounters stronger wind shear and remains a disorganized tropical wave, with minimal intensification.

Scenario 3 (Concerning): The wave rapidly intensifies into a hurricane as it approaches the Leeward Islands, potentially posing a significant threat to the region. This scenario is less probable but cannot be ruled out given the favorable conditions. Rapid intensification is a growing concern in a warming climate.

Potential Impacts & Areas at Risk

The following areas should closely monitor the progress of Invest 93L:

Lesser Antilles: The northern Leeward Islands (including the Virgin Islands,Puerto Rico,and the Dominican Republic) are at the highest risk of experiencing tropical storm-force winds,heavy rainfall,and potential flooding.

Bahamas: Depending on the eventual track, the Bahamas could also be affected by the system.

U.S. east Coast: while it’s too early to determine the exact impact, the U.S. East coast should monitor the system’s development. A northward curve in the track could bring impacts as far north as Florida,Georgia,and the Carolinas. East Coast storms are frequently enough unpredictable.

Preparing for a Potential Tropical Cyclone

Taking proactive steps now can substantially reduce your risk:

Review Your hurricane Plan: Ensure your family has a well-defined hurricane plan, including evacuation routes and communication strategies.

Gather Supplies: Stock up on essential supplies, including non-perishable food, water, medications, flashlights, and batteries. A hurricane preparedness kit is essential.

Secure Your Property: Bring in outdoor furniture, secure loose objects, and trim trees and shrubs.

Stay Informed: Monitor updates from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), your local National whether Service office, and trusted news sources. Pay attention to tropical weather outlooks.

Know Your Evacuation Zone: Determine if you live in an evacuation zone and be prepared to evacuate if ordered to do so.

Historical Context: Similar Systems

In 2017, Hurricane Irma followed a similar track, devastating the Leeward Islands. While Invest 93L is not currently projected to reach Irma’s intensity, it serves as a stark reminder of the potential for significant impacts from these systems. The 2020 hurricane season was also exceptionally active, highlighting the increasing frequency of strong tropical cyclones. Learning from past hurricanes is crucial for future preparedness.

Resources for tracking & Facts

National Hurricane Center (NHC): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Archyde.com Weather Center: [Link to Archyde’s Weather Section – Placeholder]

Local National Weather Service Office: [Link to NWS Website – Placeholder]

* Tropical Cyclone Updates: Search “tropical cyclone updates” on reliable news websites.

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Hurricane Erick: Two Dead, 120,000 Without Power

by Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief
written by Alexandra Hartman Editor-in-Chief

Hurricane Erick Leaves Trail Of Destruction In Southern Mexico

Table of Contents

Southern Mexico is grappling with the aftermath of Hurricane Erick, which has left a trail of destruction and claimed the lives of two individuals. The once-powerful storm, though now weakened, continues to impact coastal communities, leaving residents to assess the damage and begin the long process of recovery.

Tragic Fatalities Reported

The Oaxaca government reported a fatal incident where a man was electrocuted while assisting with post-storm cleanup efforts. He was handling high-voltage cables near a stream in San Pedro Pochutla, Oaxaca.

In the neighboring state of Guerrero, Civil Protection authorities confirmed the death of a minor in San Marcos. The child was tragically swept away by a stream as their mother attempted to cross it while carrying them.

Hurricane Erick Weakens, But Impact Lingers

According to the National Hurricane Center (Cnh) in the United States, the storm has weakened considerably. It is now classified as a low-pressure system, situated approximately 155 kilometers from Acapulco, with sustained winds of 45 km/h.

Initially, Hurricane Erick made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale (out of 5), near the border of Oaxaca and Guerrero.Briefly, it was almost a category 4 storm.

coastal Communities Devastated

Coastal communities, including the Chacahua lagoons in Oaxaca, home to around 2,800 people, bore the brunt of the hurricane. Reports indicate widespread destruction, with palm roofs torn from homes and businesses and streets submerged in floodwater.

“It was very strong, very ugly; the whole town is homeless, without clothes, we have no help,” said Francisca Ávila, a 45 -year -old housewife while regretting the loss of much of their household goods.

Despite the storm moving inland and encountering a mountain chain, heavy rainfall persists, raising concerns about potential landslides and flooding.

Government Response And Continued Warnings

president Claudia Sheinbaum addressed the public, stating that intense rains are still expected in Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz, and Puebla.

she also expressed gratitude to the public for heeding the authorities’ recommendations. As an inevitable result of the storm, there are 15 closed roads and Social Security hospital sustained water damage in Oaxaca. Over 123,000 electricity customers experienced power outages.

In Acapulco, still recovering from the devastation of Category 5 Hurricane Otis in 2023, residents worked diligently to secure their properties and vessels.

Airports and ports in affected regions remain closed, and non-essential activities, including classes, have been suspended.

Puerto Escondido, a popular tourist destination with approximately 30,000 residents, also felt the effects of Hurricane Erick, with downed signs, poles, and tree branches reported.

Merchant Luis Alberto Gil, 44, noted the unprecedented water levels in Puerto Escondido.The Federal Government has deployed hundreds of military personnel as part of the contingency plan, and over 2,000 shelters have been prepared.

Mexico’s Vulnerability to Cyclones

Due to its geographical location, Mexico is susceptible to cyclones annually, impacting both the Pacific and Atlantic coasts, typically between May and November.

In September 2024, the southern coast of the Mexican pacific was struck twice by Hurricane John, which reached Category 3 strength and resulted in at least 15 fatalities, primarily in Acapulco.

Impact Comparison

Here’s a brief comparison of recent hurricanes impacting Mexico:

Hurricane Name Category Year Primary Impacted Area Notable Effects
Erick 3 2025 Oaxaca,Guerrero Heavy rains,flooding,infrastructure damage
John 3 2024 Acapulco 15 deaths,widespread destruction
Otis 5 2023 Acapulco Extensive damage,numerous fatalities

Understanding Hurricane Preparedness

Did You Know? Hurricanes are categorized on a scale of 1 to 5,with Category 5 being the most severe. Preparing in advance can considerably reduce the impact of these storms.

Pro Tip: Create an emergency kit that includes water, non-perishable food, a first-aid kit, and a battery-powered radio.

Key Steps For Hurricane Preparedness:

  • Stay Informed: Monitor weather updates from reliable sources like the National Hurricane Center.
  • Evacuation Plan: Know your evacuation routes and have a plan in place.
  • Secure Your Property: Reinforce windows and doors, and trim trees and shrubs.
  • Emergency Supplies: Stock up on essential supplies, including medications and personal hygiene items.

Frequently Asked Questions About Hurricanes

What is a hurricane?
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone characterized by sustained winds of 74 miles per hour or higher.
How are hurricanes named?
Hurricanes are named using a predetermined list of names,alternating between male and female names.
What is the Saffir-Simpson scale?
The Saffir-simpson scale classifies hurricanes based on their wind speed, ranging from Category 1 to Category 5.
How can I stay safe during a hurricane?
Stay indoors, away from windows, and follow instructions from local authorities during a hurricane.
what should I do after a hurricane?
Avoid downed power lines and flooded areas, and report any damage to your insurance company after a hurricane.

What steps do you take to prepare for hurricane season? Share your tips and experiences in the comments below!

What long-term strategies can be implemented to mitigate the impacts of future hurricanes, focusing on infrastructure reinforcement and community preparedness?

Hurricane Erick: Two Lives Lost, 120,000 Without Power and the Lingering aftermath

Hurricane Erick, a notable weather event, caused substantial damage and disruption. This article provides a detailed overview of the hurricane’s impact, its consequences on affected populations, and the ongoing recovery efforts. We will delve into various aspects, including casualties, power outages, and the resulting humanitarian needs. Understanding the *hurricane’s effect* is crucial for preparedness and mitigation of future events.

Casualties and Human Impact

The most tragic aspect of Hurricane Erick was the loss of life. sadly, the hurricane claimed two lives. The *direct and indirect effects* of the storm highlight the urgency of disaster preparedness and rapid response. The details surrounding the deaths are vital for formulating a strategy to help residents better prepare for *extreme weather* events.

Impact on Local Communities

  • Economic Hardship: Damage to infrastructure led to business shutdowns and job losses, affecting the local economy.
  • Psychological distress: Communities often experience long-term emotional trauma after such events.
  • Displacement: Some people were displaced from their homes due to damage.

Power Outages: A Widespread Disruption

One of the most significant immediate effects of hurricane Erick was the widespread power outages. Approximately 120,000 people experienced a loss of electricity,hindering daily life and essential services. The *cause of power outages* often includes downed power lines that pose significant risks during a storm.

Restoration Efforts and Challenges

Restoring power is a complex process,especially after a severe hurricane. Crews face many difficulties, from accessing damaged areas to dealing with the extent of infrastructure damage. The long-term effects of an *extended power outage* include:

  1. Food spoilage and loss of essential resources.
  2. Increased risk of illness due to lack of refrigeration for medication, amongst other essential items.
  3. Disruptions of dialog and access to facts.

Critical Infrastructure Damage and Restoration

Hurricane Erick severely impacted critical infrastructure. Roads, communication networks, and essential services were greatly affected. This had far-reaching implications for recovery progress.Effective coordination between different agencies is crucial to ensure resources are directed efficiently.

Infrastructure Damage Impact Recovery Efforts
Roads and bridges Hindered movement and delivery of aid. Emergency repairs and debris removal.
Communication Networks Interrupted communication, hampered aid distribution. Restoration of cell towers.
Water and sanitation systems Risk of contamination outbreaks. Restoration of essential services.

Long-Term Recovery & Future Preparations

Beyond immediate aftermath, recovery is a long-term process. This involves rebuilding, providing assistance, and strengthening infrastructure.Learning from experience and enhancing measures of protection are crucial for the hurricane-prone communities.

Mitigation Strategies

To improve safety and preparedness, several critical areas must be addressed:

  • Strengthening Infrastructure: Strengthening buildings to withstand major storms, and bury power lines to improve the resilience of power systems.
  • Early Warning Systems: Upgrading and enhancing early warning systems.
  • Community Education: Educate the populace about risks.

For local communities, safety measures are quite important during these storms. You can find a list of hurricane readiness tips from the Ready.gov website.

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