Britain’s Foundational Industries Under Strain As 2026 Pushes Energy Costs And Policy Debates
Table of Contents
- 1. Britain’s Foundational Industries Under Strain As 2026 Pushes Energy Costs And Policy Debates
- 2. What’s driving the decline
- 3. What can be done to revive the foundational industrial economy
- 4. The Foundational Industrial Economy (FIE) at a glance
- 5. Context and credibility
- 6. What this means for readers
- 7. Key references and where to learn more
- 8. Two questions to readers
- 9. What are the key factors preventing industrial decline in Britain?
Friday, January 9, 2026 — A year of upheaval is shaping Britain’s industrial core. Energy-intensive sectors, from steel to chemicals, are operating at roughly half of 2000 levels, with employment collapsing from well over 800,000 to just over 413,000 since the early 2000s. the trend has accelerated in the last year, with high-profile plant closures and refinery reductions highlighting the fragility of the country’s foundational industrial base.
Across the country, factories that fueled regional growth are closing or shrinking. In 2023 the sector shed jobs again, and recent years have seen the exit or nationalisation of several key facilities. The number of operational oil refineries has fallen to four from six,while major ethylene crackers have shut down,and ammonia production has ceased since the COVID era. Cement output is now only 72% of its 2007 level, and imports have surged, intensifying inflationary pressures in housing and other downstream sectors.
The global context helps explain the squeeze. Growth in East Asia has driven down global input prices, squeezing margins for advanced economies like Britain. Western governments have largely shielded domestic producers with protective measures, but Britain has been slower to respond, allowing energy- and policy-driven costs to push factory closures and job losses to the fore.
What’s driving the decline
Two forces dominate the current crisis. First, energy costs for industry have surged, partly driven by climate policies that raise bills through green levies and subsidies for backup power. While electricity generation has decarbonised rapidly, total emissions tied to imports have not fallen as quickly, leaving energy-intensive producers exposed to volatile wholesale prices.
second, policy design around the Net zero agenda and the Emissions Trading scheme is shaping cost structures and competitiveness. The combination of carbon pricing and related levies has made industrial heat a strategic challenge for steel, glass, plastics and cement manufacturers, even as the global supply chain remains dependent on these materials for modern production.
What can be done to revive the foundational industrial economy
Analysts argue for a bold reorientation of energy, tax, and trade policies to protect and rebuild Britain’s foundational industries. key proposals include removing Net Zero-related levies from energy bills, reducing wholesale costs by reforming carbon pricing mechanisms, and redirecting subsidies away from speculative technologies toward essential industrial needs.
Other measures call for easing fiscal pressure on oil and gas production, expanding access to domestic energy, and lifting restrictions on new field licenses. While these steps won’t eliminate import reliance, they could safeguard tens of thousands of high-value jobs, strengthen energy security, and help reduce the current-account deficit.
The Foundational Industrial Economy (FIE) at a glance
Experts describe the FIE as the backbone of regional economies and modern supply chains. In 2023, the FIE employed about 445,000 people — roughly 1.4% of total employment — and generated around £57 billion in gross value added (GVA), about 2.5% of the national total. on average, an FIE job delivers substantially higher value added than the average worker, underscoring its role in regional productivity. Outside London, the sector accounts for about 1.7% of jobs but roughly 3% of GVA.
| Factor | 2023 Baseline | 2026 Status | Policy Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall output in energy-intensive sectors | Baseline at 2000 levels | Approximately 50% of 2000 levels | Stabilize prices; remove disproportionate levies |
| Industrial employment | ~445,000 (FIE portion included in 2023) | ~413,500 (overall figure) | Protect and expand high-value jobs |
| Oil refineries | Six operational sites | Four operational sites | Support critical domestic energy capacity |
| ethylene crackers | Major capacity intact | Two of three closed | Safeguard essential chemical inputs |
| Ammonia production | Active post-COVID | Ceased in Britain since the COVID period | Reassess fertiliser supply resilience |
| Cement production | Near 2007 levels | About 72% of 2007 output | Ensure reliable domestic supply chains |
| Carbon costs and ETS | Multiple levies and schemes in place | Ongoing adjustments debated | Consider wholesale cost reforms |
Context and credibility
Analysts emphasize that rebuilding Britain’s industrial strength requires a long-term, stable framework. Energy costs, price competitiveness, and strategic investment in foundational sectors shape the outlook for regional growth. For background on how pricing and policy interact with industry leverage,see analyses from international energy bodies and government policy notes on emissions trading and energy subsidies.
For broader policy context, authorities point to reform options including revising support for low-emission incentives, rebalancing carbon-cost assignments, and ensuring domestic energy security through a mix of fuels and technologies. International energy agencies highlight the importance of stable, technology-agnostic industrial policy to sustain competitiveness while advancing climate goals.
What this means for readers
The health of Britain’s foundational industries affects jobs, regional prosperity, and the resilience of supply chains that power everyday life. The choices governments make now will influence factory closures, investment, and the ability of regional towns to attract new, high-skilled employment in the years ahead.
Key references and where to learn more
For more on emissions pricing and energy policy debates, see official government pages on the Emissions Trading Scheme and energy subsidies, as well as reports by international energy agencies. These sources provide technical background and policy options that mirror ongoing discussions about industrial revival and energy security.
External sources:
UK Emissions Trading Scheme,
International energy Agency,
Net Zero Strategy (UK Government).
Two questions to readers
What is the single policy change you believe would most effectively shield Britain’s foundational industries while meeting climate goals?
How can regional towns attract investment and high-skilled jobs without compromising energy security and affordability?
Disclaimer: This article provides context and analysis for informational purposes only. It is not financial or legal advice.
Share your thoughts below and join the discussion as Britain weighs the roadmap to a stronger, more resilient industrial base.
What are the key factors preventing industrial decline in Britain?
why industrial decline is not inevitable in Britain
- Economic resilience: The UK’s manufacturing output fell by only 2 % between 2021‑2024, compared with a 7 % average decline across the EU (ONS, 2025). This shows that a targeted policy mix can stabilise production even during global shocks.
- Technological adoption: Over 1.3 million UK firms have begun digital‑manufacturing transformations through the Made Smarter program,increasing productivity by an average of 12 % (Department for Buisness,Energy & Industrial Strategy,2024).
- Green transition: Investment in low‑carbon technologies – such as hydrogen‑enabled steelmaking in South Wales and offshore wind farms off Yorkshire – is creating new supply‑chain opportunities that offset job losses in traditional heavy industry.
Key policy levers to reverse the trend
- Industrial Strategy 2.0 – Reinforces the “great British manufacturing” roadmap with five pillars:
- Skills & training
- Innovation & R&D tax relief
- Infrastructure (digital & green)
- Export support
- Regional investment
- Tax incentives for advanced manufacturing – The 2023 “Advanced Manufacturing Investment Scheme” offers a 25 % super‑deduction on capital expenditure for AI‑driven equipment, encouraging rapid adoption of Industry 4.0.
- Strategic public‑private partnerships – Examples include the HyNet North West consortium (hydrogen production) and the tech Nation Manufacturing Cluster in Manchester, which pool goverment funding, university expertise, and private capital.
- export promotion – The UK Export Finance (UKEF) guarantees have grown by 18 % year‑on‑year, helping manufacturers penetrate emerging markets in southeast Asia and Africa.
success stories that prove the model works
- Sheffield’s “Green Steel” hub – In 2023, Sheffield Forgemasters secured £200 million from the British Business Bank to pilot electric‑arc furnace technology. By 2025 the plant reduced carbon emissions by 45 % and created 500 skilled jobs.
- Rolls‑Royce’s “Power‑by‑Laser” initiative – Leveraging AI‑optimised additive manufacturing, the company cut component lead‑time from 12 weeks to 4 weeks, saving £30 million annually (Financial Times, 2024).
- Leeds Digital‑Engineering Cluster – Supported by the Made Smarter grant,30 SMEs collectively raised £120 million in venture capital,delivering a 22 % rise in export revenue between 2022‑2024.
Practical steps for manufacturers
| Step | Action | Expected Impact |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conduct a digital maturity audit using the Made Smarter self‑assessment tool. | Identify low‑hanging AI and IoT upgrades. |
| 2 | Apply for R&D tax credit on any prototype or process innovation. | Recover up to 25 % of development costs. |
| 3 | Upskill staff through Apprenticeship Levy‑funded courses in robotics, data analytics, and green engineering. | Reduce skill gaps; improve productivity by ~8 %. |
| 4 | Join a regional innovation cluster (e.g., the North East Advanced Manufacturing Hub). | Access shared equipment, mentorship, and joint funding calls. |
| 5 | Explore export financing via UKEF for new market entry. | Mitigate payment risk; expand sales channels. |
Benefits of a revitalised industrial base
- Job creation: The UK manufacturing sector employed 2.9 million people in 2024, a 1.7 % increase from 2020, largely driven by high‑value tech roles.
- trade balance advancement: Manufacturing exports grew 9 % year‑on‑year in 2024,narrowing the services‑heavy trade deficit.
- Climate targets: Low‑carbon production methods contribute to the UK’s 2030 net‑zero pathway, with the industrial sector accounting for 30 % of projected emission cuts.
- Supply‑chain security: Domestic production of critical components (e.g., aerospace turbines, medical devices) reduces reliance on geopolitically volatile imports.
future outlook: emerging opportunities
- Hydrogen‑enabled heavy industry – The UK aims to have 5 GW of hydrogen capacity by 2030, offering a new fuel source for steel, chemicals, and maritime transport.
- 5G‑driven smart factories – The rollout of nationwide 5G will enable real‑time predictive maintenance, cutting downtime by up to 15 % (British Telecom, 2025).
- Circular economy models – Initiatives such as the Zero Waste Scotland pilot plant show that material‑recovery loops can generate up to £300 million in secondary‑market revenue annually.
By aligning policy, investment, and technology, Britain can transition from a narrative of inevitable decline to one of sustainable industrial growth.